The Japanese Yen may continue to fall as markets celebrate a breakthrough NAFTA renegotiation deal but political jitters in the EU and the UK may boost the Swiss Franc.
Sunday, 30 September 2018
Yen May Fall More on NAFTA Deal as Franc Gains on EU, UK Politics
Asian Stocks Mixed As US, Canada Reach NAFTA Deal, CAD Gains
Asia Pacific stocks were mostly higher on news that the US and Canada had reached an eleventh hour deal on overhauling NAFTA although much work still remains to do
Crude Oil Prices Aims at 2018 High, Gold at Risk After NAFTA Deal
Crude oil prices may rise while gold prices decline as financial markets cheer after the US, Mexico and Canada agree on a renegotiatedNAFTA trade deal.
Philippine Peso May Gain on CPI as USD Eyes Jobs data, Brexit News
Philippine Peso prices may rise if local CPI increase, pressuring the BSP to hike interest rates again. Indonesian Rupiah awaits the US Dollar’s response to jobs data and Brexit news.
Australian Dollar Looks To RBA As TD Inflation Stays Docile
The Australian Dollar didn’t move far on news that a private sector inflation gauge remains subdued which comes just a day before the Reserve Bank of Australia sets monetary policy
USD/JPY Ignores 3Q Tankan Data, Eyes Stocks and Possible NAFTA Deal
USD/JPY barely reacted to the release of third quarter Tankan industry and capital expenditure measures. Equities’ reaction to a possible US-Canada NAFTA deal will have more to offer.
USD/CNH Pares Gains After PMI, US-China Tariffs in Focus
The offshore Chinese Yuan gained against the US Dollar after mostly in-line September PMI data crossed the wires. Trade wars may offer a reversal through volatility soon.
Weekly Tech Outlook AUD/USD, EUR/AUD. Consolidation and Reversal
After last week’s performance, Australian Dollar prices might have set themselves up for consolidation versus the US Dollar. Meanwhile, gains could be made against the Euro ahead.
Yen, Stocks Eye NAFTA Volatility. USD/CAD Resuming Downtrend?
The anti-risk Japanese Yen and Asia Pacific stocks eye NAFTA volatility as the new quarter begins, is USD/CAD resuming its downtrend from September?
Saturday, 29 September 2018
Fourth Quarter Forecasts for Dollar, Euro, Oil, Equities, and More
US Dollar Q4 Forecast: Dollar Feels Pressure of Its Trade Wars, Politics, Fed
Oil Q4 Forecast: Global Oil Demand in Question as OPEC Output Falters and US Shale Booms
Euro Q4 Forecast: Euro Stabilization in Q3 May Offer Base for a Rally in Q4
Euro Q4 Forecast: Euro Stabilization in Q3 May Offer Base for a Rally in Q4
British Pound Q4 Forecast: Pound Traders Will Find Brexit Remains the Driver
Friday, 28 September 2018
Gold Q4 Forecast: Gold Selloff Likely to Continue as Fed Proceeds with Rate Hikes
Barring an economic collapse that forces the Fed to reverse course, gold is likely to continue its downward trend throughout the fourth quarter.
Japanese Yen Q4 Forecast: Yen Still Lacks Interest Rate Support, Haven Bids Will Endure
Despite recent highs for USD/JPY, the pair leaves the quarter not much higher than where it started the period – or the year.
The S&P 500 is Due for a Break, the Dollar a Stall to Start 4Q
We are entering a new trading week, month and quarter. Historically, October represents one of the heaviest volume and highest volatility months of the calendar year. Paired with systemic risks, what lies ahead for traders?
Equity Forecast: Global Stocks’ Strength Masks Vulnerabilities
Global share prices accelerated upward in the third quarter, building on the rebound started in the preceding three months.Still, critical vulnerabilities are much too glaring to ignore; the global economy has decelerated in 2018.
As the Third Quarter Ends, Largest US ETFs see Outflows
As the third quarter ends, investors looked to move their funds out of the three exchange traded funds we have been analyzing in a generally risk-on week.
Weekly Technical Perspective on Gold Prices (XAU/USD)
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US Dollar Drives Higher as Fed’s Favorite Inflation Gauge Hits Target
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UK and Italian Politics in Focus for FTSE 100 and MIB | Webinar
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EUR/USD Falls as Italy Drives Euro Risk Aversion Ahead of Q3 Close
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EUR and Italian Assets Sink on Budget Proposal - US Market Open
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DXY Gains, EUR/USD Breaks Uptrend as Italian Budget Concerns Resurface
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Charts for Next Week – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Gold Price & More
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USDJPY Bulls In Control, Widening Bond Spreads Support Upside
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EURUSD Battles Negative Italian Budget Sentiment, Weak CPI
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Bitcoin (BTC) Price: Bullish Chart Pattern Forming
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Gold Price Range Finally Breaks, Silver Bear-flag Set to Trigger
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Thursday, 27 September 2018
Euro to Look Past CPI Data, May Fall on Italian Budget Woes
The Euro may continue to fall despite an increase in region-wide inflation as worries about financial instability in Italy continue to preoccupy the markets.
Gold Prices May Fall Further After Breaking 1-Month Range Floor
Gold prices look poised to decline further after a spirited recovery in the US Dollar triggered a break through one-month range support.
Asian Stocks Gain On US Dollar Strength, Nikkei Hits 27-Yr High
Asia Pacific shares were broadly higher as the month bowed out. The Nikkei was especially well bid. Plentiful economic data are still to come in Friday’s session
Dollar Break Higher a Move of Restraint, S&P Puts In Another Tail
Market pacing between the Dollar and S&P 500 seems to have reversed. The US indices reverted to range this week while the Greenback produced a bullish break. Now, are these moves that will persist?
Australian Dollar Steady on Credit Data, Looks to RBA Next Week
The Australian Dollar remains sorely pressured by yawning interest rate differentials in its US cousin’s favor. This is unlikely to change in the coming week.
Fed, EU Politics Paves Way for EUR/USD Short Targeting August Low
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EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: Trend-Defining Support Under Fire
The Euro finds itself at a decisive chart inflection point, with resolution here likely to be defining for its trend against the British Pound.
EUR/USD Prices Eye May Support as Italian Budget Fuels a Reversal
Italian budget worries began US Dollar rally as the Euro declined, EUR/USD prices eyes key May support next after trend break. Asia Pacific shares may echo gains in the S&P 500, weakening JPY.
US Dollar Price Action Setups: Q4 Preview
The Dollar put in a rip ahead of Quarter-End, but the big question is whether it can remain. In this webinar, we look at a number of prominent themes for the final quarter of 2018.
US Advance Goods Deficit Rises as US-China Trade War Progresses
The advance trade goods deficit climbed days after President Trump berated China and other trade partners at the United Nations General Assembly in New York for trade imbalances.
Becoming a Better Trader – Utilizing Reversal Candlesticks
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USD/JPY Price Outlook: Yen Decision Time as Rally Tests Yearly Highs
Price has rallied more than 8% off the yearly lows with the advance now approaching the 2018 highs. Here are the targets & invalidation levels that matter for USD/JPY.
Euro Drops as Italian Fears Return, CAD Pressured by NAFTA - US Market Open
Italian politics take centre stage once again with focus on the Italian draft budget announcement at 1800GMT, while CAD remains on the backfoot as NAFTA concerns weigh.
US Dollar Tests Resistance at Q3 Open, Risk-Off Potential Re-Emerges
The Dollar is holding on to strength while trading at weekly highs, but this may not be what you think, as the currency was in a state of stall until risk-off hints began to show this morning.
Bullish S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 Technical Outlook Faces Test After FOMC
U.S. stocks reversed course with vigor yesterday post-FOMC announcement; this has support levels under fire, a couple of key technical development in play.
GBPUSD Price at Risk of Break Lower on Brexit Splits, Firm Dollar
After strengthening for more than a month, there is a risk of a downward correction in GBPUSD as technical and fundamental factors combine to undermine it.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Chart Turning Positive after Latest Rally
Bitcoin Cash jumped over 20% in a few hours Wednesday, boosted by adoption news by crypto exchange Gemini and Bitmain’s IPO filing. And the charts now look a lot more positive.
CAD Buying Limited on NAFTA Concerns, Bulls Look to Governor Poloz
The main risk to CAD bulls is the is the outcome regarding NAFTA. With a touted deadline of October 1st and disputes still not settled, risks are rising with regard to no agreement being reached.
When Headlines Scream Oil Price to Reach $100, Skepticism is Called For
There are plenty of reasons why the crude oil price might strengthen further but headlines proclaiming it could hit $100/barrel may be a warning sign that it will soon be time to sell.
EURUSD Rattled by Italian Budget Fears and Fin Min Resignation Worry
EURUSD trades back below 1.1700 in early trade as news that the Italian budget may be delayed circulates around the market. Added to this Italian Fin Min Tria is rumoured to be considering his position if negotiations fail.
US Dollar, Yen Aim Higher as EU Politics Help Spoil Market Mood
The US Dollar and the Japanese Yen may continue to rise as political jitters in Italy and Sweden compound post-FOMC risk aversion across financial markets.
Wednesday, 26 September 2018
Euro and Krona at Risk Amid Sweden Political Gridlock
Asian Stocks Mostly Wilt As Fed Hike Knocks Wall St, US Data Eyed
A Week After the Break, The Chances for a EURUSD Trend
A Post-Fed Retreat Puts S&P 500 in Position to Reverse, Dollar Absorbs Trump
Despite the Federal Reserve extending its multi-year normalization scheme – and the contrast it draws to major counterparts – the Dollar spun its tires after Wednesday’s rate hike while risk trends started to waver.
USD/SGD, USD/PHP Still Face Risk Prices May Fall on Daily Charts
Looking ahead, USD/SGD and USD/PHP still face warnings signs that prices may fall on the daily charts. USD/IDR remains in consolidation mode as USD/MYR’s descent was kept at bay.
Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis: Support Firm,Consolidation Needed
The Nikkei 225 has enjoyed a stellar run, which has put ten-years highs back within striking distance. However the rush higher as been headlong. A break would probably be good
NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Struggling to Build on Upside Break
The New Zealand Dollar looks vulnerable to deeper losses against its US counterpart after breaking below Augusts’ swing bottom to hit a two-year low.
NAFTA Uncertainty Surpasses Fed, RBNZ Volatility. USD/CAD Reverses
Both the US and New Zealand Dollar saw high volatility on the Fed, RBNZ rate decisions. But USD/CAD held on to directional bias amidst NAFTA uncertainty. Asia Pacific shares may fall.
NZD/USD Buoyed by RBNZ Comments. Trade Wars and Consumer Confidence Next.
The New Zealand Dollar gained against its US namesake, as the RBNZ kept its OCR at 1.75% and noted signs of inflation pick-up. Trade wars may cause a reversal, however.
Dow Jones Drops as the Fed Hikes: Support Potential Remains
The Dow is dropping after the third rate hike out of the Fed this year, but it was the removal of a supposedly inconsequential word from the statement that appeared to get attention.
USD Undecided After Fed Hikes Rates to 2.00%-2.25%, Powell Speech
The US Dollar saw a slight bump during Fed Chairman Powell’s news conference where he soothed concerns about a change in the Fed’s language.
US Dollar Index Forecast: Every Hike Takes Us Closer to Cycle’s End
US Dollar Bulls appear to be a needy bunch. Despite the most favorable fundamental backdrop via the Fed, the US Dollar continues to sell-off and now faces critical support.
Weekly Technical Perspective on the Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD)
The US Dollar is down more than 3% against the Loonie since the June highs with major event-risk on tap. Here are the key levels that matter on the USD/CAD weekly chart.
US Dollar Tests Resistance at Prior Support Ahead of the Fed
Today brings the Federal Reserve's September rate decision to markets, and there isn't much question around today's 25 basis point hike. But what happens next?
USD Firms Ahead of FOMC Decision, Oil Eases on API Build - US Market Open
The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2.25%.
Preview for September FOMC Meeting and Outlook for US Dollar
The Federal Reserve will definitely issue a 25-bps rate hike today, but that much is already priced in for the US Dollar.
Bitcoin, Ether, Ripple, Litecoin - Charts Mixed and of Interest | Webinar
The cryptocurrency market remains in a bear trend, but a couple of the larger tokens are showing signs of a potential pull-back – will they play out?
S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq Eying Further Gains, Fed Provides Risk
Markets remain somewhat cautious ahead of the FOMC rate decision, in which the central bank is expected to raise interest rates.
Trading Outlook for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, Gold Price & More
The euro is trying to make good on a breakout from last week as the Fed arrives, traders can use the channel in USD/JPY as a guide, while avoiding gold until a break occurs.
GBPUSD Outlook Buffeted by FOMC Rate Outlook and Brexit News
Sterling’s relief rally off the recent 1.3055 level against the US dollar has stalled for now with prices trading in a tight range. Volatility is likely to return as the FOMC rate decision and the latest Brexit news hove into view.
Brent Crude Oil Price Ignores Trump, Reachest Highest Since 2014
The price of Brent crude oil continues to advance strongly despite US President Donald Trump’s calls for producers to increase output.
FTSE Chart Analysis – Rally Picks Up Pace, Has Prior Lows to Overcome
The FTSE has continued to rally with momentum since bottoming earlier this month; it has resistance at hand, but a break above could put the index in open space for further gains.
EURGBP Technical Outlook: DownTrend Remains in Place
EURGBP continues to nudge lower, after hitting a recent one-year high just under 0.9100, as the contentious Italian budget release nears.
USD Price at Risk as the FOMC Prepares to Raise US Interest Rates
The USD could fall back after the Federal Reserve increases US interest rates later today.
US Dollar May Celebrate Even a Status Quo Fed Policy Stance
The US Dollar may find scope for gains even if the Federal Reserve delivers a status quo announcement as policy divergence retakes the spotlight from sentiment trends.
Tuesday, 25 September 2018
USD Prices Eye Fed, Powell for Next Trend Move as Asia Stocks Up
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Gold, Crude Oil Prices May Fall as US Dollar Gains After FOMC
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This Fed Rate Decision Matters - Now What to Expect from the Dollar?
If you are trading the Dollar, US capital market benchmarks or just risk-sensitive assets in general; the upcoming FOMC rate decision is important. The group is set to hike rates yet again, but that isn’t even the start to this events importance.
Euro at Risk as Italy Prepares to Unveil Budget
The Euro is at risk as Italyprepares to unveil a budget that may – if the new nationalist/populist coalition has its way – turn out to be at odds with European Union rules.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Bounce Keeps Downtrend Intact
The Australian Dollar managed to recover some lost ground against its US counterpart but the dominant downtrend remains conspicuously intact.
New Zealand Dollar Gains On Less Dismal Business Confidence
The New Zealand Dollar spiked on news that domestic businesses are less gloomy than they were, although confidence remains a clear problem
Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY Needs Some Consolidation
The Japanese Yen is under fundamental pressure on all sides, translating into technical weakness. However, the process looks overdone and a pause is probably coming
Brexit Latest Boosts GBP/USD, Reversal Still a Threat. NZD Falls
Rising support for a vote on a final Brexit deal boosts GBP/USD but risk of reversing near-term gains still prominent. NZD/USD prices sink on record trade deficit ahead of RBNZ rate.
US Dollar Price Action Setups Ahead of the Fed
As we near the end of Q3 in a few days, a number of releases remain on the economic calendar. Tomorrow brings the Federal Reserve and a widely-expected rate hike.
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Option Traders Salivate Over $100/bbl Crude
After Trump's request to OPEC went unheeded in Algiers, the options market is betting on triple-digit crude. A bearish chart pattern stands in the way, but if it fails, the uptrend will likely continue unscathed.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Toward 2018 High with Intermarket Support
The Japanese Yen is within a whisper of 2018 lows (113.37 per USD,) and a supportive cast of higher sovereign yields and Japanese equities are firing on all cylinders after Abe is set to start another 3yrs as PM.
Weekly Technical Perspective on the Crude Oil Prices (WTI)
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USD Selling Persists Prompting Lift in GBP and EUR - US Market Open
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EUR/USD, GBP/USD Bounce from Chart Support Ahead of FOMC
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US Dollar Remains Biased Lower Before Tomorrow’s FOMC Meeting
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Trading Sentiment Positive Ahead of US Rate Increase | Webinar
Market confidence is high as traders prepare for an almost-certain hike in US interest rates Wednesday by the Federal Reserve.
GBPUSD Price Supported by MPC Rate Hike Musings, FOMC Ahead
Sterling pushed back above 1.3150 against the US dollar after external MPC member Gertjan Vlieghe said that 1-2 UK interest rate hikes per year is broadly right.
Technical Analysis for Gold & Oil Prices, S&P 500, DAX 30 & More
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USD Advancing vs JPY, Falling vs EUR Ahead of US Interest Rate Rise
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Ripple (XRP) Price Remains Positive Despite Latest Slump
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AUD Fails to Break Crucial Trendline, Eyes on Fed Risk
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Oil Price Soars to Multi-Year High - More to Come
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DAX 30 Technical Outlook – Upside Not Without its Obstacles
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Monday, 24 September 2018
Swiss Franc Drops as Government Readies EU Relationship Framework
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Japanese Yen Dithers As BoJ Kuroda Sticks To Script, Fed Eyed
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Asia Stocks Mixed, JPY 2015 Downtrend at Risk on US Japan Trade Talk
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Extreme Speculative Positioning on Dollar, Gold and Oil
Speculative readings from several Dollar-based majors, gold, Treasuries, and oil offer different signals as to whether markets are at extremes.
Gold Prices Look to Fed Policy Meeting for Range Break Catalyst
Gold prices are looking ahead to the FOMC monetary policy announcement for a potent-enough catalyst to drive a break from choppy sideways trade.
ASX 200 Technical Analysis: Resistance Holds, More Falls Likely
The ASX 200 has staged an impressive little rally from its recent lows but that rally seems to be petering out. Bulls don’t have long to make their case, if they are going to
S&P 500 Mere Slip Contrasts Trade War Upgrade, Beware Dollar Calls
Despite escalations in the US-China trade war, softening risk swell maintains resistance for markets and US indices.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Euro Downtrend Ready to Resume?
The Euro is struggling for follow-through on a break of four-month trend resistance. Near-term positioning hinting that the dominant downtrend may soon resume.
GBP Price Strong on Brexit News Despite USD Rise. NZD Eyes Support
The British Pound stood ground despite US Dollar gains toward the end of the day, rallying on latest Brexit headlines with the FTSE 100. Ahead of RBNZ, NZD/USD falls towards key support.
FX Week Ahead: FOMC & RBNZ Rate Decisions, EZ CPI, Canadian GDP
The coming week will lean heavily on central banks directly (rate decisions) or indirectly (inflation and growth data) again.
US Dollar Presses Recent Low But Lacks the Punch
US Dollar tests recent lows just below 94, but cannot punch through with force. The Elliott Wave counts are mixed so be mindful of a rally.
Weekly Technical Perspective on the Japanese Yen (USD/JPY)
The Japanese Yen is trading just below yearly range resistance ahead of the FOMC this week. Here are the key price levels that matter on the USD/JPY weekly chart.
GBP/USD: Cable Bulls Grasp on to Fibonacci for Support
The British Pound is pulling back again, but the headline-driven sell-off from last week appears to have found support. The big question remains as to whether bulls can hold the line.
Strategy Webinar: Will US Dollar Weakness Hold into FOMC?
Webinar highlighting featured setups we’re tracking into this week’s FOMC rate decision. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter on the USD Majors.
FX Setups for the Week of September 24, 2018: Into Quarter-End
It's been a busy Q3 of volatility and the quarter is almost finished. Will USD bears be able to push into the Q4 open? We look at four FX Setups as we close out the third quarter.
EUR Rises on Hawkish Draghi, OPEC Rebuffs Trump’s Demands - US Market Open
Euro and Sterling among the best performers in the G10 space, while Brent crude futures hits fresh YTD high as OPEC rebuffs Trump’s Demands
US Dollar Drops from Resistance; Busy Calendar Remains into Q3 End
Bears continue to push the US Dollar as we near the end of Q3, and EUR/USD is continuing to hold on to last week's bullish breakout. A busy calendar is ahead as we near the Q4 open.
UK Week Ahead: Packed Full of Market Moving Data and Events | Webinar
As we roll into month- and quarter-end this week’s slate shows a wide range of market moving events and data which should keep traders on their toes.
CoT Weekly Update: GBP/USD, AUD/USD & Other Major Markets
The most recent report showed historically large changes in the British pound and Australian dollar, extending short positioning to even bigger long-term extremes.
EURUSD Price Analysis: Expect Market Volatility All Week
EURUSD will go into the end of the third-quarter buffeted by a wide range of important US data releases, the latest FOMC monetary policy decision, heightened US-China trade wars and a fractious Italian Budget.
FTSE 100 Weekly Look Ahead: Brexit to Dictate Near Term Price Action
Headline risk surrounding Brexit continues to remain elevated following last week’s rather unsuccessful Salzburg meeting between the EU and UK. Eyes will be on the latest development.
Sunday, 23 September 2018
US Dollar May Extend Recovery as Trade War Sours Market Mood
The US Dollar rose on haven demand as China walked away from trade talks with the Trump administration. More of the same may be on tap ahead.
Trade Worries Hit Asian Markets But Widespread Holidays Thin Trade
Asian markets slipped as well they might on the kicking-in of yet-more US tariffs against China and Beijing’s retaliatory measures
Philippine Peso Eyes BSP, Fed Hike. Stocks See US Japan Trade Talks
The Philippine Peso and Indonesian Rupiah face rate hikes from not just their central banks, but also from the Fed. Meanwhile emerging markets and stocks look to US Japan trade tal
Crude Oil Prices May Give Up OPEC-Linked Gains on Trade War Fears
Crude oil prices may be back on the defensive having rallied after a weekend OPEC meeting as trade war escalation sours market-wide risk appetite.
Australian Dollar Gains In Doubt As Channel Resistance Holds Again
AUD/USD bulls have fought back convincingly and in rare fashion this month, and not without good fundamental reason. However, they have not done enough
GBP/USD Uptrend Hanging By a Thread on Brexit Latest, USD Gains
In a sudden turn of events, UK Prime Minister sent Sterling tumbling as she called Brexit talks with the EU at an impasse. The GBP/USD uptrend hangs by a thread as the US Dollar recovers.
Crude Oil Gaps Higher After OPEC Cools Off Production Hikes
Crude oil prices rallied after OPEC announced that it would not increase output, extending recent upside momentum. Release of inventory data later this week may further help.
Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Trade War Fears Cool, Equities Rally, Brexit Talks Deteriorate for Next Week
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Weekly Technical Forecast: The Dollar Tumbles and Global Equities Rally Tripping Key Technical Milestones
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GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Bullish Trend Broken
The daily GBPUSD chart has given back this week’s gains and turned neutral to bearish after the recent uptrend was broken with ease, leaving Sterling looking for the next support level.
Euro Forecast: Concerns Linger Over Italian Budget, Rising Hard Brexit Odds
Signs that Italy will abide by the EU’s budgetary rules has eased some tensions around the Euro, but fears of a ‘hard Brexit’ have once again dampened enthusiasm.
Saturday, 22 September 2018
Japanese Yen Weekly Technical Outlook: Recent Yen Selloff May Hit Pause
The Yen is still on weak footing, but pairs like EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY should trail the pack.
Australian Dollar Gains May Be Stymied By Fed Meet, Aftermath
The Australian Dollar has had a rare run of gains ,which have taken it up to three-week highs. However they may not continue in the coming week
Friday, 21 September 2018
Oil Firms Ahead of Algiers OPEC Meeting That May Set Stage for Q4
The world has changed since OPEC met last in June including an EM crisis, Trade war escalations, and further oil market tightening that could tilt the outcome of the plan to hike oil output.
EUR/USD Weekly Technical Outlook: Looking for Euro Breakout to Hold
On Thursday a surge of buying pushed EUR/USD beyond several points of resistance; looking for the breakout to hold support and further the euro along in the week ahead.
The Risk in Trading and Investing on Resolutions to Trade Wars, Brexit and NAFTA
The S&P 500 is just off of its record high despite trade wars, while the Pound and Canadian Dollar still don’t reasonably reflect the risk of broken trade relations. How should we adapt our trading to this imbalance?
CNH, HKD Prepared for FOMC with PBOC’s Bills, Pending on Escalated Trade War
China’s Central Banks launched a new measure to support the Yuan and the Hong Kong Dollar ahead of Fed’s meeting. At the same time, concerns on the US-China trade war continue to pile up.
ETF Flows Suggest Bulls see Room to run Despite Lofty Valuations
The week saw cash pour into exchange traded funds that mirror US indices, suggesting investors see more room for stocks to climb.
CNH, HKD Prepared for FOMC with PBOC’s Bills, Pending on Escalated Trade War
China’s Central Banks launched a new measure to support the Yuan and the Hong Kong Dollar ahead of Fed’s meeting. At the same time, concerns on the US-China trade war continue to pile up.
Dow Record with Trade Wars, Dollar Tumble Ahead of Fed, Pound Slide with Brexit
Whether we are looking to the Dow’s charge to record highs, the Dollar’s pattern breakdown or the Sterling plunge; it is clear that there is both volatility and speculative anticipation in abundance for the week ahead.
AUD/USD Eyes Key February Trend Line as EUR/AUD Prolongs Reversal
Multiple bullish signs hint AUD/USD prices will reach the defining February descending trend line which is a critical turning point. EUR/AUD prices risk prolonging their bearish reversal.
Bullish AUD/JPY on US Dollar Breakdown, Commodity & Chinese Support
The Australian Dollar touched a three-week high on improving global risk-sentiment as evidenced by a weakening US Dollar and higher commodities alongside resilience or lack of weakness in Chinese assets that could lift AUD/JPY.
Equity Forecast as Risk-On Takes Hold: S&P 500, Dow, DAX, FTSE and Nikkei
It was a big week for global stocks as risk-on came back in a big way. With the end of Q3 nearing, might bulls be able to stage a ramp of continuation?
US Dollar May Resume Rising Trend After FOMC Rate Decision
Recent US Dollar weakness looks like tactical position management, not a change of overall direction. The rising trend may resume after the FOMC rate decision.
Gold Price Headed for a Break, may Turn Lower on Sour Sentiment
Gold is headed for a break in the next week as it trades narrowly between two trend lines. The precious metal faces bearish sentiment with US equities at all-time highs.
FX Week Ahead: FOMC & RBNZ Rate Decisions, EZ CPI, Canadian GDP
The coming week will lean heavily on central banks directly (rate decisions) or indirectly (inflation and growth data) again.
Dollar Triggers a Technical Breakdown, Will Bears Show Up?
The technical break is in. If we were going by the textbook interpretation, EURUSD’s 1.1700 neckline break would trigger further reversal of 2018’s broader trend. Unfortunately, markets are not that tidy.
JPY Rate Forecast: JPY Bears Eye 113 Level
The Japanese Yen had another soft week, while the fundamental theme alongside the technical set up suggest that the recent weakness is set to continue.
S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook: FOMC in the Spotlight Next Week
Global stock markets remain bid, especially the U.S., looking to close out month and quarter on a positive note; FOMC on tap for Wednesday.
Weekly Technical Perspective on the US Dollar (DXY) Ahead of FOMC
The US Dollar is testing initial support targets after reversing more than 3% off the yearly highs. Here are the key price levels that matter on the DXY weekly chart.
GBP: Bullish Sentiment Erased by Brexit Impasse
Sterling came down to earth with a bang as EU leaders roundly rejected UK PM Theresa May’s Chequers proposal, leaving future Brexit negotiations looking precarious.
GBP/USD: Cable Crushed as Brexit Talks Go Awry, FOMC on Deck
A big week across the FX space is looking to finish in a big way after an outsized reversal has shown in the British Pound. A busy economic calendar awaits for the final week of Q3.
GBPUSD Plummets as the UK-EU Reach an Impasse - US Market Open
The Pound is the underperformer following the UK’s unsuccessful meeting in with the EU at Salzburg, while PM May states that they are at an impasse.
Ripple (XRP) Price: Buyers Turning Chart Outlook Positive
A sharp U-turn in Ripple’s fortune with the crypto rallying over 80% this week on technology adoption news.
Quadruple Witching to Spur Volume Surge, Eyes on Fed Risk | Webinar
Global Indices Look Ahead: Quadruple witching to spark pick up in volume, while next week’s key risk event comes in the form of the Federal Reserve rate decision.
Charts for Next Week – EUR/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/NZD, Gold Price & More
In a look ahead to next week, we looked at the euro breaking out, USD/CAD trading into important support zone, AUD/NZD's bearish pattern, and whether gold can break out of its range.
S&P 500 and Dow Bullish Technical Outlook Forges On
U.S. stocks continue to act well as the end of the quarter nears, no reason at this time to think a bullish tone won't continue with perhaps a hiccup here and there.
GBP Price Action Soured by Negative Brexit Sentiment
Sterling’s recent rally came to a halt late Thursday when news out of the EU informal meeting poured cold water all over UK PM May’s Chequers proposal, leaving GBP now at the mercy of UK politicking.
EURUSD Breakout Opens up Path to 1.20, However, Euro-Area Growth Eases
Yesterday saw the Euro register its largest gain against the greenback since late June with gains exacerbated by a technical breakout above key resistance.
Gold Price Analysis: Bullish Momentum Continues to Build
Gold continues to push back towards noted resistance around $1,215/oz. helped by a weak US dollar complex. A break and close above this first resistance opens the way to larger gains.
Thursday, 20 September 2018
Yen Drop May Continue, Euro Likely to Overlook PMI Data
The perennially anti-risk Japanese Yen fell as Asia Pacific stocks followed Wall Street higher. More of the same may be in store through the week-end.
Asian Stocks Rise Broadly After New Wall St Records, Fed In Focus
After more record highs on Wall Street, some green on Asian screens was never going to be a surprise. Markets rose, but trade tensions simmer on.
Fed, RBNZ Risk Derailing Remarkable New Zealand Dollar Recovery
The remarkable recovery in New Zealand Dollar could be at risk if the RBNZ still leaves the door open to rate cuts as Fed raises them and prepares the markets for the last one this year.
Has the Dollar Done Enough to Enter a Full Bear Trend?
The ICE Dollar Index and EURUSD couldn’t have offered up a more loaded technical break against the Greenback. Yet, as ideal as the charts may look, we should do our due diligence in assessing trade expectations.
Dow Leads an Indisputable Risk Advance; Dollar, Pound and Kiwi Top FX Movers
With the Dow, EEM emerging market ETF and Yen crosses all rising in tandem; it was clear risk trends were rising this past session. Where is this motivation coming from, and will it last for the speculative opportunists?
Gold Prices Rise as US Dollar Sinks, Crude Oil Eyes OPEC Meeting
Gold prices rose as swelling risk appetite weighed on the US Dollar. Crude oil prices are looking to a weekend OPEC meeting for direction cues.
Japanese Yen Unfazed By CPI Uptick, Core Measures Remain Weak
Japanese consumer prices rose at their fastest clip for seven months in August, but any cheer this might have given the Bank of Japan was probably undermined by weakness in other gauges
US Dollar Downtrend Gains Speed for Fed, Yen Prices May Fall Next
In what may have been pre-positioning for the Fed, the markets sold the US Dollar as the Euro and British Pound gained. Ahead, Asia Pacific shares may rise and pressure the Japanese Yen lower.
US Dollar Price Action Setups After USD Breaks Down
As we stare down the end of Q3, both the US Dollar and EUR/USD have put in noticeable breakout moves. The big question, at this point, is the prospect of continuation.
S&P 500: Retail Traders Remain Short Despite Recent All Time Highs
Although traders are further net-long than last week, the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a US 500-bullish contrarian trading bias.
US Household Net Worth Climbs $2.19 Trillion in Second Quarter
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EUR/USD Price Outlook: Euro Break Out Eyes July Highs
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Bullish CADJPY - Solid Technical Support ** Update **
Solid technical and fundamental support for bullish CADJPY set-up
Central Bank Weekly: US Dollar has Next Week’s Fed Hike Priced In
The US Dollar's drop since August 15 has coincided with September hike odds firming up to 100%.
Dow Gaps Up to Fresh Highs, More Room to Run?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just gapped-up to another fresh high. Can bulls muster the strength to continue the move, or might a pullback first be in order?
USD Suffers as EUR and GBP Soars, Trump Slams OPEC - US Market Open
GBP up on strong retail sales and Brexit optimism, EUR follows. Trump slams OPEC yet again and Norges Bank delivers first hike in 7 years.
US Dollar Breaks Down, EUR/USD Break Out to Fresh Two-Month Highs
Big moves on the morning already as we move towards the end of Q3, as the US Dollar has broken down to a fresh two-month low while EUR/USD bulls up to fresh highs.
EUR/USD - Bullish on a Breakout
It's been a choppy range so far this month, leaving the market in limbo; but a breakout may be in store soon for the euro.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Analysis - Are Dips a Buying Opportunity?
Buying into a falling market is a dangerous and potentially costly exercise but charts can help to clear the mind and help traders make a more informed decision.
Gold & Silver Price Technical Analysis: Range-break in Sight?
Precious metals continue to range on the border of historical extremes, how much longer can this persist before we see a tradable move?
GBPUSD Price Rallies Despite Negative Brexit Overtones
Sterling continues to press ahead despite negative Brexit chatter coming out of Salzburg, as financial markets continue to believe that the EU and UK will eventually seal a deal.
Crude Oil Price Analysis: Resistance Breached, Bulls Take Charge
Oil bulls continue to take charge with Brent making another push towards $80/bbl, while WTI breaches key resistance setting up a run in on YTD highs.
Rand Report: What Will The South African Reserve Bank Do?
The rand�s sharp weakening over the last three months, largely in sympathy with emerging market currencies, has provided some inflationary concerns.
Wednesday, 19 September 2018
How Will Brazil’s Election Impact Financial Markets?
Uncertainty surrounding Brazil's upcoming elections may push emerging market assets down further as trade wars worsen and the US Dollar strengthens.
GBP/USD Uptrend Eyes EU Meet, AUD Likes China Import Tax Cut Plan
Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis: Can Impressive Gains Stick?
Could a Desperate SNB Trigger a EURCHF, Swiss Franc Reversal?
What do Emerging Markets, Argentine Peso, Indian Rupee Face Next?
Dow Charges Higher Oblivious of Trade Wars, Dollar Moves Towards Inevitable Break
NZD/USD Surges After Upbeat 2Q GDP, Eyes RBNZ and Trade Wars
Can NZ GDP Add Fuel to NZD/USD Price Dominant Downtrend Break?
GBP/USD: Cable Bulls Attempt to Hold Higher-Low Fibonacci Support
British Pound Dips after Negative Turn in Brexit Headlines
Gold Price Outlook: Breakout Potential as XAU/USD Consolidates
GBP/USD Swings on CPI, Brexit as the US Dollar Digs into Support
GBP Pares Gains as PM May Rejects EU Barnier’s Offer - US Market Open
DXY Index at Critical Juncture Following BOE, ECB Meetings
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple Prices - Bears Remain in Control |
Trading Outlook for DXY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Gold Price & More
AUD Bulls Extend Recovery, However, Key Resistance Keeps Bearish Trend Intact
GBPUSD Soars as UK Inflation Jumps Higher, Brexit Talks Continue
FTSE Technical Outlook – Slowly Finding its Footing, Levels & Lines to Watch
Tuesday, 18 September 2018
British Pound to Look Past UK CPI, US Dollar May Rise
Asian Stocks Up Despoite Ongong Trade Tensions, UK CPI Eyed
USD/PHP Price May Join USD/SGD Descent, USD/IDR Chart Eyes Breakout
Philippine Peso prices may appreciate against the US Dollar amidst bearish reversal warnings just like the Singapore Dollar did last. Meanwhile USD/IDR prices face chart breakout ahead.
Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD Uptrend Holds, Highs Elusive
The Japanese Yen remains in a bit of trouble against the US Dollar, but USD/JPY bulls have yet to claw back all their most recent losses
Crude Oil Prices Rise Even as Trade War Heats Up - Now What?
Crude oil prices rose even as the trade war between the US and China continued to heat up, with the two sides exchanging another round of tariffs. Where to from here?
Stocks Brush off Trade War. Brexit News Boosts GBP, Uptrend Grows
The S&P 500 brushed off escalating US China trade war as Donald Trump took a relatively softer stance. Meanwhile, dominant downtrend in GBP/USD has been reversed. Brexit latest boosts it.
US Dollar Remains at Support After July TIC Flows beat Expectations
The total net capital flows for the United States during July read in above expectations Tuesday, suggesting US debt is not being used as a tool in the trade war.
US Dollar Price Action Setups as USD Wobbles Near Support
USD is holding support near the August/September lows, but that hasn't stopped Yen-weakness from gaining in prominence. In this webinar, we look at setups across the US Dollar.
Dow Jones Holds Near Seven-Month Highs: Levels to Know
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Crude Oil Rallies on Saudi Arabia $80 talk - US Market Open
Brent and WTI crude futures soars on Saudi report, USD selling continues with CAD and EUR benefitting.
EUR/USD Back to Key Resistance as the Nikkei Breaks Out Ahead of BoJ
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DXY Index Tests Key Support for Fourth Consecutive Day
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Bitcoin Cash and Ethereum Price News: Further Falls Ahead
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Trading Outlook for Gold Price, Crude Oil, DAX, S&P 500 & More
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US Equity Analysis: Nasdaq Dip Buying Possible, DJIA Eyes Topside Target
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US Dollar Price Remains Supported Heading into FOMC Meeting
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DAX Chart Outlook – Can Price Stay Above Resistance?
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Yen Down, Aussie Dollar Up on Diluted US Tariffs Against China
Monday, 17 September 2018
Crude Oil, Gold Prices Echo US Dollar Swings on Trump China Tariffs
Nikkei 225 Sidesteps US Tariffs, February Highs Eyed as Yen Falls
Activity Levels for Australian and New Zealand Dollars Hit Extremes
ASX 200 Technical Analysis: Nascent Uptrend Looks Worth Playing
The ASX 200 has staged quite an impressive little bounceback from key support and, with momentum still building, looks likely to make more gains
Fresh US-China Trade Wars and Brexit Concerns Start Week, But Dollar and Pound Stoic
The top reserve status of the US Dollar is not permanent. Trade worries may pressure this, as the Trump administration announced new tariffs on $200b of Chinese goods.
AUD/USD Rallies After Release of House Prices Data, RBA Minutes
The Australian Dollar gained against the greenback after the release of housing inflation data and the RBA’s September minutes. Trade wars may bring a reversal next.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Euro Topping Near 1.17 Figure?
The Euro may finally be ready to resume the down trend against the US Dollar after nearly a month of indecision at resistance in play since mid-June.
US Pursues $200b Chinese Tariffs, AUD/USD Prices Eye September Low
AUD/USD prices eye the September low as the Nikkei 225 could decline next now that Donald Trump has slammed China with $200b in import tariffs starting September 24th with more to come.
US Dollar Stuck in Range and Looking for Cues
US Dollar continues its sideways range while the gold to silver ratio is at the highest level since the early 90's.
GBP/USD: Cable Tests Seven-Week Highs Ahead of UK CPI
The British Pound continues to claw back prior losses, and CPI is on deck for this Wednesday. But - if the US Dollar continues peeling-lower, we may have a case for long-term strength in GBP/USD.
FX Setups for the Week of September 17, 2018
EUR & GBP Outperform as Dollar Extends on Losses - US Market Open
USD Bears Hit Back: US Dollar Drops from Resistance at Prior Support
UK Week Ahead: Sterling Firm Ahead of Brexit Talks | Webinar
CoT Sentiment Update for USD, Euro, Pound, Yen, Gold & Others
The report released on Friday again highlights the generally bullish bias towards USD, with only minor changes from the week before.
US Dollar, Gold Price Remain Rangebound
The US dollar index (DXY) remains stuck in a tight range, despite potential US China trade war escalation, leaving gold rudderless for now.
Bullish CADJPY - Solid Technical Support
Solid technical and fundamental support for bullish CADJPY set-up.
FTSE 100 Weekly Look Ahead: US-China Trade Wars Renew FTSE Selling
The FTSE 100 to face renewed selling amid the escalation of the US-China trade war. UK data risks involve the latest CPI report scheduled for Wednesday.
China's Shanghai Composite
China's Shanghai Composite Index closes at lowest level since 2014.
It's 50% correction from 2015 peak
Sunday, 16 September 2018
US Dollar, Yen May Rise as Trade War Worries Sour Market Mood
The US Dollar and the Japanese Yen may rise as worries about trade war escalation between the US and China sour the mood across global financial markets.
Gold Prices May Find Near-Term Support But Lasting Gains Unlikely
Asian Stocks Mostly Lower, Trade Headlines Remain In Charge
Emerging Market Gains Dwarfed by Trump Tariff Push, USD/PHP at Risk
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: Will The Euro Decline Continue?
Euro chart positioning hints the currency may be downward-bound against the British Pound but the confirmation needed to take a trade is still pending.
US Tariff, Trade War Fears Resume. USD/JPY Climbs, Eyes July Highs
The Us Dollar gained on Friday as US President Donald Trump rekindled trade war fears. Asia Pacific shares may trade lower as USD/JPY breaks out of consolidation, eyeing the July highs.
Weekly Fundamental Forecast: A Week Ending Trade War Salvo Leaves Distinct Unease for Next Week’s Trading
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Weekly Technical Forecast: Dollar and Equities Lose Traction Ahead, Leaving Next Week’s Break In Doubt
A steady slide in the Dollar and healthy advance is equities this past week was checked before we reached the opportunity for a break. What are the levels and markets we should watch most closely in the week ahead?
JPY Rate Forecast: Easing Trade Tension and Widening Spreads Weigh
The US-JP 2yr bond spread is now the widest since 2007 and with no signs that the BoJ are looking to exit their ultra-loose monetary policy, USDJPY may well push for higher levels.
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Trend Support Needs Respecting
The daily GBPUSD chart shows further upside possible but the four-hour chart warns that the recent uptrend may be broken and drag and caution is needed.
Saturday, 15 September 2018
Japanese Yen Weekly Technical Outlook: Charts Spell Trouble for Yen
The Japanese Yen is entering the new week on weak footing, especially as the Nikkei 225 attempts a breakout.
Euro Forecast: After ECB Holds, Italy to Come Back into Focus for Euro
The ECB is sticking to its preset policy course, but with Italy back in the news, any goodwill injected into the Euro from the recent policy decision will likely be neutralized.
Australian Dollar Remains Pressured But May Get Some More Respite
The Australian Dollar has swooned this year despite a strong domestic economic performance. Its fall may pause into this week but it’s probably not over
A Convergence of Technicals and Fundamentals May Stage Yen Trade Opportunities
When technicals and fundamentals align, strong trade opportunities can arise. With the Yen crosses nearing prominent resistance, a tide change in risk trends could stage some appealing opportunities.
Dollar Is Closing in On a Break that Either Extends Trend or Triggers Reversal
The Dollar’s range is starting to represent one of the longest periods of indecision for the currency in four years. A break is inevitable but the question is ‘how soon’ and whether it will neatly fit the head-and-shoulders.
Dollar Is Closing in On a Break that Either Extends Trend or Triggers Reversal
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US Dollar Rally May Resume on Fed Rate Hike Bets, Risk Aversion
The US Dollar backtracked last week but a durable upshift in Fed interest rate hike expectations and the threat of renewed risk aversion may put it back on the offensive.
Friday, 14 September 2018
EUR/USD Weekly Technical Outlook: Euro Stalls at Wall of Resistance
The euro will start the week coming off resistance, keeping it amid the chop; tactical considerations outlined for both sides of the market.
A Pattern of Week-Ending Worry as Markets Look for a EURUSD and S&P 500 Break
Just before the weekend liquidity drain can solidify confidence in complacency, headlines seem to rock investors' tranquility. Is ths on purpose and what should we take away from these last minute surprises?
Yuan Looks to Resumed Trade Talks, Summer Davos Forum for Outlook
The USD/CNH approaches 6.9, a key threshold once again; whether it can hold or break may be determined by the progress of resumed trade talks as well as the outlook of China’s economy.
A Decade After Lehman’s Collapse, $133M Loss Overwhelms A Clearing House
A Norwegian derivatives trader emptied a clearing house’s contingency fund after losing $133 million in a bad bet on energy prices in the region.
FX Week Ahead: Inflation Data Due from Eurozone, UK, Japan, and Canada
Central banks will remain in the spotlight, even if indirectly, as market participants await a deluge of August inflation data from around the world.
Dollar Best Hope to Stave Off Head-and-Shoulders Breakdown is a Euro Drop
The Dollar’s range is starting to represent one of the longest periods of indecision for the currency in four years. A break is inevitable but the question is ‘how soon’ and whether it will neatly fit the head-and-shoulders.
Equities Forecast for Dow, S&P 500, DAX, FTSE and Nikkei
European equities finally found a bit of support as US equities pulled back to close the week. Global stocks appear to be lining up for an interesting Q4 around-the-world.
AUD/USD Breakout Struggles, EUR/AUD Risks Reversing to August Lows
The breakout lower in AUD/USD struggled, next week may determine if it will continue. Meanwhile a bearish reversal pattern with support break warns EUR/AUD may reverse to August lows.
Brent Up 10% Since August Low, Stubborn Supply Concerns Persist
Brent crude oil traded to the highest levels since May breaching $80/bbl, up nearly $10/bbl since the August low showing that price may move higher in line with longer-term fundamentals.
Gold Price Hinges on US-China Trade War Developments
Gold continues to act out of character, trading lower when risks arise and higher when markets climb. Retail positions are net-long, so gold may fall further.
S&P 500 Maintains Solid Trend, Can the DAX and FTSE Follow Higher?
U.S. stocks continue to look poised for higher prices, can the DAX and FTSE find their footing and feed of strength in the world’s largest stock market?
GBP: Sterling Continues to Benefit From a Lack of Bad News
Sterling is back above GBPUSD 1.3100, despite a strong dollar, as a lack of negative Brexit news leaves GBP bolstered and inching higher.
Dow Jones Pulls Back to Near-Term Support After Seven-Month Highs
The Dow is pulling back from fresh seven-month highs, and prices have begun a test of a short-term support zone as reports around Chinese tariffs have started to circulate.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Analysis - Flat Balls Won’t Bounce
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EUR/USD Begins Test of Key Resistance, USD Bounces from Monthly Lows
It's been a big week across FX, and next week's calendar slows a bit. The big question is whether USD bears and Euro bulls might be able to stage continuation.
USD Bid on Hawkish Evans, US 10yr Yield Returns to 3% - US Market Open
DXY reversed losses after a relatively hawkish speech by Fed’s Evans, who is typically a more dovish member.
USD-Focused Charts for Next Week – EUR/USD, USD/CAD, Gold Price & More
CAD Bulls Long for NAFTA Deal
Gold Price Analysis: Resistance Remains Firmly in Place
Gold is benefitting from the recent downturn in the US dollar but continues to struggle to break noted resistance just a few dollars higher up.
US Dollar May Rise Anew as Fed Outlook Firms in Risk-On Trade
The US Dollar has suffered as improving market sentiment cut into its haven appeal. Firming Fed interest rate hike bets might alter this dynamic.
S&P 500 and Dow Technical Outlook Remains Bullish Until Proven Otherwise
U.S. stocks continue to hold their ground and better despite some reasons not to; S&P 500 & Dow trends remain bullish until proven otherwise.
US Dollar Nears a Six-Week Low; Will Data Push it Over the Edge?
The US dollar index (DXY) is sitting on technical support as we head into the weekend, with a raft of US economic releases out later in the session.
Thursday, 13 September 2018
Asian Stocks Mostly Rise, Trade Worries Still Cap Enthusiasm
Asia Pacific equity markets were mostly in the green as another week bowed out. The session’s economic numbers were solid but trade tensions between China and the US endure
NZD Rise to Gain if GDP Sinks RBNZ Rate Cut Bets, Trade War a Risk
The recovery in New Zealand Dollar prices may continue if GDP data lowers RBNZ rate cut bets. US President Donald Trump rekindling trade war fears poses a risk for NZD/USD.
Crude Oil Prices Fell Despite IEA Iran, Venezuela Supply Warning
Crude oil prices fell even as the IEA warned that lost output from Iran and Venezuela may pressure them higher. Fears of demand destruction amid trade wars may be why.
A Quick Fundamental Overview of the Dollar, Euro, Pound and Yen
There is only a relative strength and weakness in the FX market. However, the options for true liquidity are generally restricted to four key players. We take a big-picture look at the appeal of those currencies.
AUD Ticks Up On Solid China Data But Remains Clearly Pressured
The Australian Dollar got only a modest lift from some broadly as-expected Chinese retail sales, industrial production and investment data.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Downtrend Intact Amid Consolidation
The Euro is stuck in a choppy consolidation range capped near 1.17 against the US Dollar but the dominant downtrend still looks to be firmly intact.
S&P 500 Posts a Gap Not a Breakaway, Euro and Pound After Policy Holds
Gaps higher this past session for US indices and the EEM Emerging Market ETF offer little enthusiasm for genuine risk appetite. EURUSD and GBPUSD offer similar bearings but with different degrees of conviction.
EUR/USD On Edge of Reversing Dominant Downtrend, USD/JPY May Rise
The US CPI report and commentary from ECB’s Mario Draghi has left EUR/USD on the edge of reversing its dominant downtrend from April. Ahead, USD/JPY could rise with Asian stocks.
USD/JPY Sentiment Suggests A Bullish Trading Bias
Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USDJPY-bullish contrarian trading bias.
S&P 500 Trader Sentiment Yields A Conflicting Bias
The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed US 500 trading bias.
US Dollar Price Action Setups as USD Grasps on to Support
It was a big morning across FX-land, but with some of the dust now settled, we take a look around the next corner to see which USD trends may drive into year-end.
Gold: A 27% Fall in Weekly Short Positions Prompts a Bearish Bias
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GBP/USD: Weekly Long Positions Decrease 20% Sparking Bullish Bias
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DXY Index at Critical Juncture Following BOE, ECB Meetings
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AUD/USD Carves Higher Highs & Lows with US Retail Sales on Tap
US Dollar Drops to Monthly Lows After CPI Disappoints, ECB Begins Taper
Turkish Lira Delighted During Central Bank Bonanza - US Market Open
EURUSD Nudges Lower After ECB Stands Pat: Press Conference Ahead
The ECB left all monetary policy settings unchanged, as expected, with investors now looking ahead to President Draghi’s scheduled press conference for future policy clues.
GBP Stable as Bank of England Leaves UK Interest Rates Unchanged
GBP was little changed after the Bank of England kept UK Bank Rate at 0.75%, as expected, and maintained its asset-purchase program. The vote was unanimous.
GBPUSD Price Analysis: Short-Term Uptrend Remains in Place
GBPUSD continues to respect the bull channel started early September and is likely to continue moving higher unless the Bank of England rocks the market
USD Showing Signs of Exhaustion, Upside Limited
Speculators have reduced $2.5bln USD long positions in recent weeks. Risks are to the downside for today’s CPI print following yesterday’s soft PPI report
USD/CNH Poised to Roll Over from Lower High
Yesterday, USD/CNH took a hit and with it may have posted a lower-high, priming it for more weakness from here.
USDTRY May Hit Record High on Turkish Central Bank Inaction
The Turkish Central Bank (CBRT) is expected to raise interest rates today in order to provide a boost to the Turkish Lira and cool inflation
Gold & Silver Price Technical Analysis: Higher Prices if Dollar Breaks Support
Precious metals are poised to continue trading higher, but will need help from the dollar and just may get it if the DXY can break a cluster of support.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Analysis: Buyers Beware
The cryptocurrency market is limbering up for another dead cat bounce as prices edge higher after the recent heavy sell-off. Sentiment remains negative.
Trade the News: GBP Price Depends on Brexit, Not UK Interest Rates
Traders in GBPUSD, Sterling crosses the FTSE 100 and UK Gilts need to watch Brexit developments rather than today’s decision on UK interest rates by the Bank of England.
Wednesday, 12 September 2018
Euro, British Pound May Diverge on ECB and BOE Policy Decisions
The Euro and the British Pound may carve out divergent paths following monetary policy announcements form the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Trend Bias Still Bearish After Rebound
The Australian Dollar has mounted a spirited recovery against its US counterpart but overall chart positioning continues to favor downtrend resumption.
EUR/USD Awaits ECB While GBP/USD Faces BoE after Asian Stocks Rise
Euro and British Pound prices look to the ECB and BoE rate decisions after Asia Pacific benchmark stocks mostly rose. The bearish reversal pattern in EUR/USD seems to have fallen apart.
What to Expect from the Euro and Pound Through ECB, BoE Decisions
While neither the ECB nor the BoE are likely to change their benchmark rate policies this week, their projections and the unique fixation on their respective fundamental backdrop can still render the events market movers.
Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis: Aug Peak In Focus If Support Holds
The Nikkei 225 may be more in thrall to global risk appetite right now than any technical impetus. However the daily-charts still look quite constructive.
Gold Prices May Turn Lower Anew After US CPI Data
Gold prices found strength in a US Dollar pullback but the overall bias remains convincingly bearish, with US CPI data a possible trigger for downtrend resumption.
Australian Dollar Jumps On Job Report Smash, Gains Likely Fragile
AUD/USD got a boost from news of more very strong job creation but, as with other strong recent numbers, that is unlikely to break its overall downtrend
Risk Warms on Mere Mention of US-China Talks, Avoid EURGBP Through ECB and BoE Decisions
The US and China are reportedly due to return to talks, but is that encouraging enough to return the S&P 500 and Dow to record highs? Meanwhile, monetary policy will return to the headlines with ECB and BoE decisions ahead.
Can Solid Jobs Report Add Momentum to AUD/USD Resistance Break?
The S&P 500 was hit with knee-jerk volatility as sentiment waxed and waned, the US Dollar depreciated. Can a solid Australian jobs report add fuel to AUD/USD’s descending resistance line break?
Upbeat Australia Employment to Fuel Larger AUD/USD Rate Recovery
Updates to Australia’s Employment report may fuel a larger recovery in AUD/USD as job growth is expected to rebound 18.0K in August.
EU Parliament Votes to Explore Sanctions on Hungary
The European Union voted to explore punitive measures against Hungary after the member state was found guilty of breaching the bloc’s core values.
CNH vs CNY: Differences Between the Two Yuan
What is CNH and CNY, and what differences should traders know about the two Yuan to make informed trading decisions?
GBP/USD Holds Above 1.3000 Ahead of BoE: Can Bulls Sustain the Move?
The British Pound has continued to shake as driven by Brexit-headlines; and the bullish bias that's shown over the past week has continued to hold higher-low support. Can a deeper breakdown in the US Dollar turn this flicker of strength in GBP/USD into something more?
EUR/USD Rate Outlook Hinges on ECB Forward Guidance
The European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision may sway the near-term outlook for EUR/USD as the quantitative easing (QE) program is set to expire in December.
EUR/JPY Prices Hold at Fibonacci Resistance Ahead of ECB
EUR/JPY has worked into a good deal of digestion of recent, and near-term direction appears to be lacking. Tomorrow's ECB rate decision could soon change that fact.
USDNOK & EURNOK charts bearish patterns; EURNZD Drives 3 Year Highs
The technical patterns on USDNOK and EURNOK depict some bearish patterns. The preferred bias is short USDNOK and EURNOK while remaining long EURNZD.
USD/JPY Eyes Monthly-Low as US Producer Price Index (PPI) Disappoints
USD/JPY stands at risk of making a run at the monthly-low ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision amid the mixed data prints coming out of the U.S. economy.
USD Dips on Soft PPI Posing Downside Risks to Tomorrow’s CPI - US Market Open
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Euro, Pound Primed for a Big Thursday on the Economic Calendar
Tomorrow's economic calendar is loaded with three high-impact events set to be released ahead of the US equity open. Focus will be on the ECB as they're expected to begin tapering bond purchases, but what else might the bank say to drive price action in the single currency?
DXY Index Sideways Grind Continues ahead of BOE, ECB Tomorrow
Reports that the ECB will downgrade its economic forecasts tomorrow has dragged down EUR/USD today.
Trading Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, NZD Crosses, Gold Price & More
Today, we looked at developments in the DXY, euro, and other dollar pairs, a couple of NZD cross-rates, as well as gold price and what to make of its recent price action.
ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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The Nikkei 225 has bounced at important long-term support and staged a modest turnaround. However, its down-channel endures and will need to...
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AUD prices remain hesitant ahead of the FOMC announcement later today. US PPI will also contribute to recent economic data. from DailyFX -...