Top Trading Idea Q2 2024: Long USD/CHF

In Q1 the Swiss National Bank fired the starting pistol for rate cuts while robust US data suggests the dollar will remain well supported in Q2

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Markets Q2 Outlook: Gold, Stocks, Bitcoin, US Dollar, Euro, Pound, Yen. What’s Ahead?

The second quarter is gearing up to be an eventful period for central banks and promises a whirlwind of market forces, setting the stage for exciting trading opportunities across currencies, stocks, commodities, and cryptos.

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US Dollar Q2 Forecast: Dollar to Push Forward as Major Central Banks Eye Rate Cuts

The US dollar performed phenomenally in Q1 - something that is likely to continue but perhaps to a lesser degree now that growth is moderating and rate cuts come into focus

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Gold Q2 Fundamental Forecast: In Neutral Waters - Neither Bullish nor Bearish

This article provides an in-depth analysis of the fundamental outlook for gold prices in the second quarter, examining critical market themes and key drivers that could play a pivotal role in shaping the precious metal's trajectory.

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Cryptocurrencies Q2 Technical Forecast: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana. What’s Ahead?

In this article, we explore the Q2 technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana, analyzing sentiment and major price thresholds worth watching in the near term.

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Euro Fundamental Forecast: ECB Will Start Cutting Interest Rates in Q2

Easing price pressures and a stagnant economy will likely see the ECB cut rates in Q2 with more to follow if recent central bank rhetoric is to be believed

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Japanese Yen Q2 Fundamental Forecast: Brighter Days Ahead, Catalysts to Watch

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the second-quarter outlook for the Japanese yen, shedding light on factors that could spur volatility and dictate price action.

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Australian Dollar Q2 Technical Forecast: AUD/USD and AUD/JPY

This article offers a detailed examination of the technical outlook for the Australian dollar, dissecting price action dynamics and market sentiment to uncover potential catalysts for major market shifts.

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Gold, Silver Q2 Technical Forecast: Key Resistance in Focus as Markets Get Stretched

This article thoroughly examines the second quarter technical outlook for gold and silver, delving into the nuances of current price action dynamics and market sentiment to uncover potential trends.

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Bitcoin Q2 Fundamental Forecast: Current Demand/Supply Imbalance is Driving Bitcoin Higher

In this article, we delve into the fundamental outlook for Bitcoin, examining significant market catalysts that may shape the trajectory of cryptocurrencies in the second quarter.

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Equities Q2 Fundamental Outlook: AI Euphoria, US Election and the Fed to Drive US Stocks

US stocks enjoyed a broad rally in Q1 and the positive market sentiment looks likely to spill over into Q2. The prospect of rate cuts and the growing AI drive supports US stocks

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Japanese Yen Q2 Technical Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY at Critical Juncture

This article explores the technical prospects of the Japanese yen for the second quarter across three key pairs: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY. It considers both price action dynamics and market sentiment for a comprehensive and holistic outlook

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Australian Dollar Q2 Fundamental Forecast: Long AUD/USD Downtrend May Be Fading at Last

This article concentrates on the fundamental outlook for the Australian dollar, analyzing market catalysts and key drivers that are expected to exert significant influence on the currency's dynamics in the second quarter.

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Pound Sterling Update: UK Recession Confirmed by Final GDP Data, GBP Mixed

The Office for National Statistics confirmed that the UK entered into a recession in Q4. GBP held up in Q1 but the threat of sharp declines in inflation may weaken the currency

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US Dollar Latest – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY Forecasts Ahead of US Data

The US dollar has picked up a small bid ahead of the release of a few important US data releases, leaving EUR/USD under downside pressure.

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Euro Latest – German GDP Seen at Just 0.1% in 2024, EUR/USD Under Pressure

Economic output in the Euro Area’s largest member state is expected to grind to a near-halt this year, adding weight to the possibility of back-to-back ECB rate cuts.

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Crude Oil Prices Slip Again As US Inventories Increase, OPEC Meet Eyed

Markets appears content to take profits as Q1 comes to a close and OPEC sources do not expect any changes to output levels in the second quarter

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FX Intervention Threat Steps up a Notch after USD/JPY Hits a Crucial Level

Japanese finance minister, Shunichi Suzuki escalated the language used to address recent, unfavourable moves in the yen. The same rhetoric was before prior FX intervention

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US Dollar in Holding Pattern; Key Tech Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD

The article explores the near-term outlook for the U.S. dollar, focusing on three of the most popular and liquid FX pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY and GBP/USD.

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Gold, Silver Price Update: XAU/USD Rises on a Softer Dollar, Silver Withers

Gold appears upbeat at the start of the week, although, the current move higher is already showing signs of slowing. Silver continues to trade lower, testing a well-known level

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Euro Gains Again Despite More Dovish ECB Commentary

The Euro has bounced despite a clear rethink of the once-broadly-held idea that the US will see earlier, deeper rate cuts than the Eurozone

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Pound Sterling Latest: GBP/USD Attempts Come Back Post-FOMC Sell-off

Cable attempts to claw back losses that ensued after the Fed meeting. Catherine Mann, a more hawkish member of the MPC, detailed why she no longer voted to hike

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Bitcoin (BTC) Eyes New All-Time High, Ethereum (ETH) Trails, Coinbase (COIN) Rallies

Bitcoin is back above $70k after rallying sharply over the last three sessions. A fresh attempt at a new ATH is likely ahead of April’s halving event.

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Gold Price Steadies After Sharp Sell-Off, New All Time High Remains Possible

The price of gold has pushed higher today after last Thursday’s sharp sell-off. Sentiment remains positive and a new ATH is not too far away.

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British Pound Inches Back Up As Markets Increasingly Bet On June Fed Cuts

GBP/USD has been mostly about the Dollar on Monday, although some modest good news out of the UK is likely still helping.

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Yen Update: USD/JPY Dips after BoJ Minutes, Concern over Volatile Moves

The minutes from Tuesday’s BoJ meeting confirmed that the inflation target has not been achieved and that hikes will be measured. FX official unimpressed by volatile yen

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Markets Week Ahead: Gold Overreacts, Sterling Sinks and USD Advances

It was a busy week for major central bankers with two major banks altering interest rates. Gold issues a bearish warning, sterling appears deflated and USD reclaims losses

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US Dollar Forecast: PCE Data to Steal Show; EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD Setups

This article analyzes the outlook for the U.S. dollar, focusing on three of the most traded currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY and GBP/USD. Key tech levels worth keeping an eye on in the coming days are discussed in depth.

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Oil Update: Russia-Ukraine War Targets Energy Infrastructure

US president Joe Biden has urged Ukraine not to target Russia’s oil infrastructure as it risks sending prices higher. Brent prices appear largely unshaken

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US Dollar Index Pushes Higher, Sterling Continues to Weaken After BoE Dovish Shift

The US dollar is pushing higher, helped by Euro and Sterling weakness after Thursday’s BoE rate meeting. Short-dated US Treasury yields though remain anchored.

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US Dollar Outlook & Market Sentiment: USD/JPY, USD/CAD, USD/CHF

This article delves into retail sentiment on the U.S. dollar across three key FX pairs: USD/JPY, USD/CAD and USD/CHF, exploring current market positioning and potential scenarios based on contrarian signals.

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Bank of England Leaves Rates Unchanged, Vote Split Turns Dovish, GBP/USD Slips

The Bank of England left rates unchanged at today’s meeting but the closely watched vote split turned dovish, sending UK Gilt yields and GBP lower.

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Gold Soars to New All-Time High After the Fed Reaffirmed Rate Cut View

The Fed reaffirmed its view of three rate cuts this year and raised its outlook on inflation and GDP. The dollar experienced a dovish repricing, propelling gold notably higher

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Fed Sticks to Dovish Policy Roadmap; Setups on Gold, EUR/USD, Nasdaq 100

The Fed held borrowing costs unchanged at its March meeting and continued to signal that it would implement three rate cuts this year despite upside inflation risks. This dovish outlook boosted gold prices and the Nasdaq 100.

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Fed on Hold, 2024 Policy Outlook Unchanged – Gold & US Dollar on the Move

The Federal Reserve kept its monetary policy settings unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting and signaled its intention to deliver 75 basis points of easing this year, the same outlook embraced back in December.

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USD/JPY Selloff Continues Ahead of the FOMC Meeting

The yen failed to halt a selloff that gained momentum after the dovish hike from the Bank of Japan. USD/JPY remains vulnerable, particularly if the Fed foresees fewer cuts ahead

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UK Inflation Falls to a Two-Year Low, GBP/USD Stable, All Eyes on the Fed

UK inflation fell to the lowest level in over two years in February, helped by falling food prices. GBP/USD is little changed as the latest Fed policy decision nears.

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Fed Seen Holding Rates Steady; Policy Outlook to Drive Markets, US Dollar

This article offers a preview of the upcoming Fed monetary policy announcement, examining potential scenarios for financial markets, including the U.S. dollar.

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Lower Canadian CPI Brings Rate Cuts Closer While Fed Cuts Appear Delayed

Canadian inflation softened more than expected in February, bringing potential rate cuts closer at a time when markets foresee the Fed having to delay its first cut until July

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British Pound Wilts As Markets Await Both Fed and BoE

There are central bank policy decisions for both sides of GBP/USD in the next forty-eight hours

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Euro Latest – ZEW Economic Sentiment Improves, EUR/USD Hinges on FOMC Decision

Economic sentiment in the Euro Area and Germany turned higher in March, according to the latest ZEW report, but Wednesday’s FOMC meeting will dictate the next EUR/USD move.

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Bank of Japan Exits Negative Interest Rate Policy but Remains Supportive

The bank of Japan (BoJ) agreed that a virtuous cycle between wages and prices has been met, enabling an historic moment for the accommodative central bank. Yen weaker

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BoJ’s Pivot Imminent: Yen Ready for Takeoff or Tumble? Setup on USD/JPY

The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in 17 years when it concludes its March policy meeting. The decision could trigger market volatility and shape the Japanese yen’s near-term outlook.

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Sterling Outlook: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY Setups Ahead of CPI

Sterling remains one of the better performers against the dollar this year with the BoE less dovish than the Fed – something that could improve its interest rate differential

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Euro Higher Despite Market Worries of More Gradualist Fed

The US central bank was expected to cut rates this month at the start of the year. Now the markets are sure it won’t.

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Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Rally Continues, BoJ Policy Decision Imminent

Tuesday’s Bank of Japan policy decision may see the central bank lift interest rates out of negative territory for the first time since January 2016

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Markets Week Ahead: Nasdaq Slips, Gold Steadies, Central Banks on Tap

Five major central banks announce their latest monetary policy decisions next week and post-announcement commentary will be key. And the Nasdaq might need some help.

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Gold Price Forecast: Fed in Spotlight – Bullish Explosion or Crash Ahead?

The Federal Reserve's decision and monetary policy guidance in the coming week will be the focus of financial markets. A hawkish outcome could be positive for the U.S. dollar and yields, but bearish for gold prices.

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US Dollar Closes in on Resistance, GBP/USD Testing Support, Interest Rate Decisions Near

The latest PPI report gave the US dollar a push higher on Thursday ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting.

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Japanese Wages Rise to 30-Year High, Fueling BoJ Rate Speculation

Japan’s largest trade union group, Rengo, announced a 5.28% wage increase for its workers – supporting the view that the BoJ is likely to hike rates before the summer

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US Dollar Soars on Inflation Risks as Fed Looms; EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY Setups

This article provides an in-depth analysis of the outlook for EUR/USD, USD/JPY and GBP/USD, exploring various technical and fundamental scenarios that could play out in the near term.

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IEA Revises Oil Demand Outlook, Tweaks Supply Estimates – Oil Rises

The International Energy Agency (IEA) revised its global oil demand growth by 110,000 barrels per day and trimmed back supply estimates. Oil trading higher on the day

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Gold Price Coils Further, Silver Hits a Multi-Week High

Gold is seemingly putting together a bullish pennant on the daily chart, while silver looks to push further ahead after Wednesday’s break of resistance.

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Japanese Yen Slips A Little, But BoJ Policy Hopes Still Lend Support

Decades of ultra-loose monetary policy have put the Yen in a unique position among major currencies. But for how much longer?

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EUR/USD Stumbles as ECB Official Calls for Two Rate Cuts Before the Summer

Well-known dove, Yannis Stournaras called for not one, but two rate cuts before the summer break, contrasting with the overall ECB stance to follow the Fed

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US Dollar Seeks Fed Signals in PPI, Retail Sales Data - EUR/USD, USD/JPY Setups

The release of U.S. PPI and retail sales data on Thursday is poised to capture the market's focus and potentially ignite volatility, as both macroeconomic reports may influence the Fed’s monetary policy outlook.

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Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Rally Further – Where to Next?

Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to post new highs, despite the occasional sharp sell-off. The outlook remains positive as the Bitcoin halving event gets ever closer.

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Crude Oil Prices Pop Up On Bullish OPEC Demand Calls

Crude Oil prices have managed strong gains, but the market looks heavy up here and may be in some danger of topping out

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British Pound Update – GDP Picks Up in January, GBP Unchanged, FTSE Tests Resistance

UK GDP figures showed economic growth picking up in January but the outlook still looks weak. Sterling remains little changed while the FTSE 100 tests multi-month resistance.

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Euro Slides Against Perky Dollar As US Inflation Springs Upside Surprise

US CPI has ticked up unexpectedly, if not yet to the sort of levels which might cause the market to seriously rethink its rate-cut bets

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US Inflation Comes in Hotter-Than-Expected, USD Gets a Small Bid, Gold Drifts

US inflation came in above expectations in February but the market is currently shrugging off the data having any impact on policy as US rate cut expectations remain unchanged.

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British Pound Latest - UK Labor Market Cools, GBP Steadies, FTSE 100 Probes Higher

The latest official UK labor statistics show the UK jobs market cooling a fraction with the unemployment rate nudging higher and wages ticking lower.

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US Inflation Preview: What’s Ahead for Gold Prices, the US Dollar and Stocks?

Gold prices, the U.S. dollar, and stocks will be highly responsive to the February U.S. inflation report, as consumer price index data holds the potential to shape the Federal Reserve's near-term monetary policy outlook.

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British Pound Update, GBP/USD Near Multi-Month Highs, EUR/GBP Eyes New Lows

The Bank of England is expected to lag both the Fed and the ECB when it comes to cutting interest rates, helping to boost Sterling against the US dollar and the Euro.

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Japanese Yen Gains Again As Dollar Wilts, BoJ Policy in the Spotlight

The Yen is gaining as investors scent not only lower US interest rates but also, just possibly, higher Japanese ones

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US Dollar Weakness Persists, Bitcoin Hits a New All-Time High, Gold Consolidates

A quiet start to the week across most markets ahead of Tuesday’s US CPI release, although Bitcoin is soaring to a fresh record high.

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Markets Week Ahead: Gold Soars, Rate Cuts Near, Nasdaq and Nvidia Wobble

Interest rates in the EU and the US look set to be cut in June, Nasdaq slides on Nvidia sell-off, Gold continues to print fresh highs.

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US Dollar Forecast: US CPI to Spark Next Big Move - EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD

February's U.S. inflation data is poised to ignite heightened market volatility in the upcoming week, playing a pivotal in shaping the near-term outlook for the U.S. dollar.

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Euro Weekly Forecast: Gains Look Vulnerable in Week of Modest Data

This article explores euro’s fundamental and technical outlook, examining pivotal factors that may influence price movements in the upcoming week.

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US Dollar Falls Further After US NFP Beat But January Number Revised Sharply Lower

The latest US Jobs Report (NFPs) beat market expectations – 275k vs. 200k forecast – but the blowout January number of 353k was revised sharply lower to 229k.

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Ethereum (ETH) Price Chart Looks Primed for Further Gains in the Coming Weeks

Ethereum is bubbling under the $4k level after a sustained rally since late-January. The medium-term outlook remains positive but care needs to be taken in the short-term.

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US Dollar Remains Weak, Gold and Bitcoin Eye Fresh Highs as US NFPs Near

Fed Chair Powell pushed the US dollar lower yesterday after indicating that rate cuts are on the horizon, a similar view to ECB President Lagarde earlier in the day.

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US Jobs Report to Guide US Dollar’s Outlook; EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD Setups

The February's U.S. jobs report is poised to inject a considerable amount of volatility into financial markets and may play a pivotal role in shaping the near-term trajectory of the U.S. dollar.

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Japanese Yen Surges Against USD As Markets Again Mull BoJ Policy Exit

Could March be the month when the Bank of Japan finally tightens policy, or at least looks serious about doing so? Bets are increasing.

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US Dollar Drifts Lower, Gold Rally Continues, US NFPs on the Horizon

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave little away yesterday at his semi-annual testimony to the House yesterday, leaving the US dollar in limbo ahead of Friday’s US Jobs Report.

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Euro’s Outlook Hinges on ECB Guidance; Trade Setups on EUR/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY

This article discusses the upcoming ECB decision and its potential ramifications for the euro's outlook. In the piece, we also explore the technical profile for EUR/USD, EUR/GBP, and EUR/JPY, assessing price action dynamics and market sentiment.

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US Dollar Falls, Fed’s Resolve in Question; USD/JPY, USD/CAD Setups Before NFP

The U.S. dollar weakens amidst falling U.S. Treasury yields, as markets raise doubts about the Fed's commitment to wait longer before cutting rates. Focus now shifts to the upcoming U.S. jobs report.

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Euro Gains Again As Markets Look to Big ECB, Powell Double Bill

There’s plenty of action still to come this week for both sides of the modestly bullish EUR/USD pair

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Gold Price Latest: All-Time High Remains Within Touching Distance

Later today Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify before the House Financial Services Committee and gold traders will be listening carefully.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Posts a New All-Time High Before Prices Turn Sharply Lower

The cryptocurrency market jumped and dumped quickly today after Bitcoin set a new all-time high. Further losses ahead or a short-term market correction?

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S&P 500, Nasdaq Ease After Apple and Tesla Lead Indices Lower

Apple have been fined $2 million in their anti-trust case in Europe while Tesla’s sales in China dropped 25%, weighing on high-flying indices

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Crude Oil Prices Struggle As China Growth Plans Fail to Convince

Oil prices remain stuck between still-plentiful global supply and concerns about energy demand in major industrial economies

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Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) on Edge as Signs of Wage Pressures Appear

A second Japanese official has given a mildly hawkish policy outlook, citing fresh wage pressures, bolstering market expectations that a rate hike may be triggered, sooner rather than later.

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Gold Prices Surge Ahead of Key US Data, All-Time High in Sight

Gold has surged over the last two trading sessions, elevating 30-day gold volatility in the process. Central bank demand for the precious metal is expected to continue in 2024

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Nasdaq Bulls Maintain Upward Trajectory Ahead of US Data, Fed Speakers

The tech-heavy index started the week around Friday’s close but trading appears muted in a week of ‘high importance’ US data including Powell’s testimony and NFP

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Oil Price Outlook: OPEC+ Extends Supply Cuts into Q2, WTI & Brent Ease

OPEC+ kept supply cuts in place, with Russia surprising markets by constraining its output for Q2. Red Sea strikes add to upside potential but growth concerns linger

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British Pound Gains Again Despite UK Spring Budget Jitters

The Chancellor will need to refrain from any unfunded offers to voters this week. Sterling might suffer if he doesn’t.

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Gold (XAU/USD) Price Probes Fresh Multi-Month Highs, More to Follow as NFPs Loom?

Last Friday’s sharp rally sent gold back to levels not seen since early-December. With little in the way of technical resistance ahead of last year’s spike high, will gold continue to rally?

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Markets Week Ahead: Gold Breaks Out as EUR/USD Eyes ECB; Powell, BoC & NFP Loom

The upcoming week brings a flurry of central bank activity and high-impact economic data, setting the stage for potential volatility in financial markets.

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Gold Price Forecast: Bullish Breakout Continuation Hinges on US Jobs Data

Gold surges past crucial resistance levels, hitting its highest mark since December of the previous year. The sustainability of this week's bullish breakout, however, depends on the upcoming U.S. jobs report.

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Euro (EUR) Price Latest – EU Core Inflation Remains Sticky, EUR/USD Testing 1.0800 Again

EU core inflation y/y dipped to 3.1% in February from 3.3% in January but came in above market expectations of 2.9%. EUR/USD eyeing a break below 1.0800.

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Japanese Yen Outlook: Yen Appeal Proves Short-lived, Wage Data in Focus

The Japanese Yen has surrendered the majority of its gains just 24 hours after BoJ Board Member Hajime’s calls for policy normalisation. Huge focus on wage data this month

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