In a sudden turn of events, UK Prime Minister sent Sterling tumbling as she called Brexit talks with the EU at an impasse. The GBP/USD uptrend hangs by a thread as the US Dollar recovers.
Sunday, 23 September 2018
GBP/USD Uptrend Hanging By a Thread on Brexit Latest, USD Gains
Crude Oil Gaps Higher After OPEC Cools Off Production Hikes
Crude oil prices rallied after OPEC announced that it would not increase output, extending recent upside momentum. Release of inventory data later this week may further help.
Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Trade War Fears Cool, Equities Rally, Brexit Talks Deteriorate for Next Week
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Weekly Technical Forecast: The Dollar Tumbles and Global Equities Rally Tripping Key Technical Milestones
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GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Bullish Trend Broken
The daily GBPUSD chart has given back this week’s gains and turned neutral to bearish after the recent uptrend was broken with ease, leaving Sterling looking for the next support level.
Euro Forecast: Concerns Linger Over Italian Budget, Rising Hard Brexit Odds
Signs that Italy will abide by the EU’s budgetary rules has eased some tensions around the Euro, but fears of a ‘hard Brexit’ have once again dampened enthusiasm.
Saturday, 22 September 2018
Japanese Yen Weekly Technical Outlook: Recent Yen Selloff May Hit Pause
The Yen is still on weak footing, but pairs like EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY should trail the pack.
Australian Dollar Gains May Be Stymied By Fed Meet, Aftermath
The Australian Dollar has had a rare run of gains ,which have taken it up to three-week highs. However they may not continue in the coming week
Friday, 21 September 2018
Oil Firms Ahead of Algiers OPEC Meeting That May Set Stage for Q4
The world has changed since OPEC met last in June including an EM crisis, Trade war escalations, and further oil market tightening that could tilt the outcome of the plan to hike oil output.
EUR/USD Weekly Technical Outlook: Looking for Euro Breakout to Hold
On Thursday a surge of buying pushed EUR/USD beyond several points of resistance; looking for the breakout to hold support and further the euro along in the week ahead.
The Risk in Trading and Investing on Resolutions to Trade Wars, Brexit and NAFTA
The S&P 500 is just off of its record high despite trade wars, while the Pound and Canadian Dollar still don’t reasonably reflect the risk of broken trade relations. How should we adapt our trading to this imbalance?
CNH, HKD Prepared for FOMC with PBOC’s Bills, Pending on Escalated Trade War
China’s Central Banks launched a new measure to support the Yuan and the Hong Kong Dollar ahead of Fed’s meeting. At the same time, concerns on the US-China trade war continue to pile up.
ETF Flows Suggest Bulls see Room to run Despite Lofty Valuations
The week saw cash pour into exchange traded funds that mirror US indices, suggesting investors see more room for stocks to climb.
CNH, HKD Prepared for FOMC with PBOC’s Bills, Pending on Escalated Trade War
China’s Central Banks launched a new measure to support the Yuan and the Hong Kong Dollar ahead of Fed’s meeting. At the same time, concerns on the US-China trade war continue to pile up.
Dow Record with Trade Wars, Dollar Tumble Ahead of Fed, Pound Slide with Brexit
Whether we are looking to the Dow’s charge to record highs, the Dollar’s pattern breakdown or the Sterling plunge; it is clear that there is both volatility and speculative anticipation in abundance for the week ahead.
AUD/USD Eyes Key February Trend Line as EUR/AUD Prolongs Reversal
Multiple bullish signs hint AUD/USD prices will reach the defining February descending trend line which is a critical turning point. EUR/AUD prices risk prolonging their bearish reversal.
Bullish AUD/JPY on US Dollar Breakdown, Commodity & Chinese Support
The Australian Dollar touched a three-week high on improving global risk-sentiment as evidenced by a weakening US Dollar and higher commodities alongside resilience or lack of weakness in Chinese assets that could lift AUD/JPY.
Equity Forecast as Risk-On Takes Hold: S&P 500, Dow, DAX, FTSE and Nikkei
It was a big week for global stocks as risk-on came back in a big way. With the end of Q3 nearing, might bulls be able to stage a ramp of continuation?
US Dollar May Resume Rising Trend After FOMC Rate Decision
Recent US Dollar weakness looks like tactical position management, not a change of overall direction. The rising trend may resume after the FOMC rate decision.
Gold Price Headed for a Break, may Turn Lower on Sour Sentiment
Gold is headed for a break in the next week as it trades narrowly between two trend lines. The precious metal faces bearish sentiment with US equities at all-time highs.
ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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Fundamentals can seem overwhelming, but identifying and isolating the key driver behind a currnecy or capital can help refine our evaluation...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....