Monday, 29 October 2018

Yen, US Dollar May Rise as Commodity Currencies Fall with Stocks

The Yen and US Dollar may rise while commodity bloc currencies fall with stocks amid another wave of selling across the risky asset spectrum.


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Sunday, 28 October 2018

Asia Stocks Mixed As Global Politics Eyed, USD Keeps Risk-Off Bid

It was a rather directionless start to the week overall for Asia Pacific equity. German and Brazilian politics were to the fore, with established orders pressured in both


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Malaysian Ringgit, Emerging Markets at Risk to China PMI, USD Gain

The Malaysian Ringgit may be at risk to the 2019 government budget as emerging markets are vulnerable to weaker Chinese Manufacturing PMI. More declines in stocks may send USD higher.


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Brazilian Real Gains On Bolsaro Win, Huge Challenges Ahead

The victory of far-right candidate Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil’s Presidential vote was widely expected and the Real has gained only modestly since


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Crude Oil Price Chart Hints at Major Bearish Trend Reversal

Crude oil prices appear to have established a major top having broken a 16-month uptrend. Gold prices may fall if US PCE inflation data tops forecasts.


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AUD May Fall with Nikkei, Euro at Risk. Markets Eye Brazil Election

Emerging markets and USD/BRL eye the Brazilian election results as Euro prices are vulnerable after the S&P Italian outlook downgrade. AUD may fall as Asia stocks follow S&P 500 lower.


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Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Risk Aversion Threatens to Define October with Capital and FX Markets on Edge

A notable sense of fear spread through the financial system this past week. Where concern could be attributed to certain asset classes or a fleeting swoon previously, there was little denying the storm brewing through Friday. Now, as stability hangs in the balance, the masses are recognizing the long list of threats we have accumulated these past months.


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Weekly Technical Forecast: Equities Suffer Key Technical Breaks, Dollar Uncertain of Its Role, Volatility Rising

Volatility was the technical hallmark of the past week. The US equity indices were undoubtedly offering up the most dramatic charts with critical breaks on fast-paced retreats. Yet, the implications of a systemic shift in conviction would not leave many corners of the market untouched.


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Global Equity Rout to Persist with eyes on BoE, Italy and Brexi

Another week of volatility as equity markets continue its descent. The deteriorating risk sentiment looks set to persist as defensive stocks continue to outperform cyclical stocks.


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Gold Weekly Technical Outlook: Breakout at Initial Resistance Targets

A four-week rally has gold testing a critical resistance zone into the monthly close. Here are the targets & invalidation levels that matter on the XAU/USD weekly chart.


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Euro Forecast: After ECB, Downside in Focus as Italian Issues Fester

A dovish tilt by President Mario Draghi at the October European Central Bank meeting pulled the rug on the Euro at the end of the week, paving the way for more downside ahead.


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Saturday, 27 October 2018

Japanese Yen Weekly Technical Outlook: Bull Trend Marches On

Heightened volatility in global bond and equity markets continues to prove beneficial for the Japanese Yen.


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EUR/USD Weekly Technical Outlook: Can the Euro Continue Friday’s Reversal?

Last week the euro sold off, breaking a few levels along the way before reversing from near sizable support; how far it can rally from here is in question, though.


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Gold Price Outlook Tied to Equity Performance, S&P500 Rebound

Gold has been the beneficiary of a highly volatile equity market this month and the trend could continue if equities fail to stabilize.


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US Dollar Aims Higher on Liquidity Appeal Amid Market Rout

The US Dollar looks likely to continue upward after hitting a 17-month high as its unrivaled liquidity continues to attract demand amid broad-based risk aversion.


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GBP: Brexit, Budget and the Bank of England

A busy week for Sterling traders ahead but the overall market trend will continue to be dominated by Brexit, and that may not be good news for an under-the-cosh British Pound


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Dollar Advancing to 16-Month Highs Depends on Its Preferred Correlation

The DXY Dollar Index has distorted the path of a bearish reversal pattern. However, decision between a continued climb to 16-month highs or retreat to range depends on whether it takes cues from VIX or Fed Funds futures.


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USD/CAD Rate Threatens Bearish Trend Ahead of U.S. NFP Report

USD/CAD rallies to fresh monthly highs even as the Bank of Canada (BoC) delivers a hawkish rate-hike, and topside targets remain on the radar as it threatens the bearish trend from June.


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Friday, 26 October 2018

Crude Oil Set For Third Weekly Decline Chasing Stock Markets Lower

Crude oil is working on its worst month since 2016 as risk sentiment soured significantly as October comes to a close and a mixed signal is coming from OPEC on potential production.


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The Signs of A Looming Bear Market are Stacking Up - Quick Take Video

The S&P 500 led US equity indices to a dramatic tumble this past week that broke records for an overnight gap lower and put the benchmark into corrective territory. What signals should we look for to indicate a drop in risk is turning into a bear trend?


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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...