The Dollar hit a 16-month high last week, but it will begin the upcoming period distorted by low liquidity in retreat and eyeing medium-term support.
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Saturday, 17 November 2018
GBP: Brexit Chaos Leaves Sterling Still Vulnerable to Whiplash Moves
Trading Sterling (GBP) is becoming increasingly difficult and dangerous as constant Brexit headlines and UK political upheaval combine to create a toxic cocktail
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Friday, 16 November 2018
British Pound Weekly Technical Forecast: Sterling Seeks Further Brexit News
The Pound faced a tumultuous trading week with a breakdown in Brexit optimism as members of Parliament voiced outrage over a proposed Brexit deal text.
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Australian Dollar Can Hang On Again, But Downward Bias Remains
The Australian Dollar remains in unfamiliar territory just above the long downtrend that marked much of this year. What’s more it may well stay there this week.
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What Will Liquidity This Week Do for S&P 500, Dollar, Oil Trends?
The week ahead will bring to bear the seasonal draining of liquidity that prompts speculative reach in complacency against the persistent march of systemically important speculative themes. What trend ultimately prevails?
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China Reduces Holdings of US Treasuries for Fourth Consecutive Month
The US Department of the Treasury released Treasury International Capital data for September on Friday which revealed a notable shortfall of expectations.
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US Oil Has Three Days of Stability Against Six Weeks and 30% Of Trumble
Calling a true recovery for crude oil owing to a three day steadying is extremely risky against the backdrop of a near 30 percent collapse for the commodity.
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FX Setups for the Week of November 19, 2018
It was a dizzying week for Dollar bulls, as the US currency gapped-up to start the week before bursting up to fresh yearly highs. But then a trap appeared and sellers took charge.
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Technical Forecast for Dow, S&P 500, FTSE 100, DAX and Nikkei
The November recovery was further peeled back this week as sellers remained in global equities.
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Foundations of Technical Analysis: Identifying Embedded Trends
Examining various degrees of trend to identify opportunities- a review of our technical approach and examples that illustrate our trading methodology in practice.
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USD/JPY Extends Bearish Series Following Less-Hawkish Fed Rhetoric
Recent price action in USD/JPY raises the risk for a larger pullback as the exchange rate extends the series of lower highs & lows from earlier this week.
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USD Pummeled by Dovish Fed, Brexit Mayhem Continues - US Market Open
The US Dollar is on the backfoot this morning, down 0.7% with bulls caught off-guard by Fed Chair Powell’s rather cautious stance.
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US Dollar Pulls Back as USD Bulls Take a Breather
The US Dollar is finally pulling back after the early-week breakout saw fresh one-year highs. Next week brings a bit of danger, as low liquidity conditions will meet with a slate of heavy macro issues.
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How Does a Leadership Challenge to a UK Prime Minister Work?
As Brexit discussions enter its most difficult phase yet, PM May once again finds herself under intense scrutiny at the top of a fractured government that is unable to unite over her plans to leave the European Union.
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Which Countries Want to Leave the EU After Brexit: Euro Analysis
As the UK prepares to quit the EU and the row between Italy and the EU over the Italian Budget continues, Euro traders need to watch out for any signs that other countries are thinking of leaving the bloc.
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EURUSD Price: ECB Draghi Hints That Uncertainties May Crimp Policy
EURUSD is likely to come under pressure after ECB President Draghi warned that growth and inflation may not pick-up as early as previously expected.
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USD Outlook: Signs Growing for a Potential Top Amid Crowded Positioning
A Financial Times report on Thursday suggested that China and the US were making huge strides to reach an agreement ahead of this month’s G20 summit. Stretched USD longs limit further upside.
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No-Deal Brexit Fears May Renew Pound Drop, Trigger Risk Aversion
The British Pound may succumb to renewed selling pressure while sentiment sours across financial markets amid worries about a “no-deal” Brexit ahead.
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Brexit News: Sterling Remains at Risk of UK Government Breakup
The UK remains in a Brexit crisis with PM May’s leadership still being questioned. Further cabinet resignations are rumored, leaving Sterling a rudderless ship for now.
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Thursday, 15 November 2018
Asian Stocks Edge Up On Trade Hopes, Brexit Worries Keep Lid On
Asia Pacific stocks traded very cautiously into the week’s end. Hope that the US and China can reach some sort of trade accord helped, but Brexit fears were also palpable
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....