Thursday, 20 December 2018

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple Prices Surge After Hitting Massively Oversold Conditions

The cryptocurrency market has turned sharply from negative to positive across a whole range of coins with some showing huge double-digits gains. The start of a new rally of just oversold retracement?


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Crude Oil Prices May Fall with Stocks as Risk Appetite Fizzles

Crude oil prices managed to sidestep yesterday’s Fed-linked bloodletting, but continued risk aversion might see them re-coupling with sinking stocks.


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Gold & Silver Price Analysis – FOMC-Spurred Key-reversals Weaken Backdrop

Yesterday, precious metals reversed on the Fed meeting, still have some positives short-term, but that could change if reversals start leading to follow-through.


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Wednesday, 19 December 2018

Yen Aims Higher as Fed Roils Markets, Pound May Overlook BOE

The anti-risk Japanese Yen is aiming higher as the Fed signals determination to press on with rate hikes. A BOE policy decision may be a non-event for the British Pound.


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Fed-Induced Risk Aversion Lingers into Asia Markets, Europe Next?

Fed-induced risk aversion led the Nikkei 225 over 3 percent lower as the ASX 200 touched a 2-year low. European stocks and Emerging Markets look vulnerable, Japanese Yen may extend gains.


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Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis: ’18 Lows Eyed As Index Slips Back

The Nikkei 225 has fallen into a support zone whose lower limit is this year’s low. For the moment that looks safe, but bulls have work to do


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Japanese Yen Steady As BoJ Stands Pat, Fed Policy Looms Larger

The Japanese Yen is in thrall to a central bank right now, but it’s the Federal Reserve and not the Bank of Japan. The BoJ left the monetary taps wide open yet again


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Short NZD/USD Again as 2018 Downtrend May Resume after Fed Hike

The upside correction in the New Zealand Dollar might turn given a Fed that is considerably more hawkish than the RBNZ and the risks of stock declines. NZD/USD short back in play.


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Fed Pulls the Trigger on Rates and Seemingly the S&P

As the Federal Reserve hiked rates and forecasted two more increases in 2019 leading to losses in the S&P 500, liquidity drain and other improved themes will work against risk trends.


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AUD/USD Looks Past Jobs Data, Risk Trends Point to Losses Ahead

AUD/USD rose slightly on mixed employment data, but upside momentum may not continue. Risk aversion and a hawkish Fed may extend the Aussie’s decline.


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Markets Brace after a More Hawkish Fed Hike, AUD May Extend Drop

Asia Pacific markets brace for risk aversion after a more hawkish Fed than what speculators expected shocked investors. The Australian Dollar may add to losses on a softer jobs report.


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NZD Extends Selloff on GDP Miss

The New Zealand Dollar decline exacerbated after reporting third quarter GDP that largely missed estimates.


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Federal Reserve Hikes Rates 25-bps at December Meeting

The FOMC's decision to raise rates fell in line with expectations, as did their decision to pare one rate hike off their 2019 expectation.


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GBPUSD Prices May Rise Despite Net-Long Positions

Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current GBPUSD price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.


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Are Capital Markets Ready To Come off A Cocaine High?

Say goodbye to markets flooded with liquidity. 2018 was the first year that the aggregate balance of central bank asset sheets fell, and evidence shows that volatility may be the norm if this continues.


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EUR/USD: Traders Decrease Their Net-Long Positions

Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger EURUSD-bullish contrarian trading bias.


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Less-Hawkish Fed Forward Guidance to Fuel EUR/USD Appreciation

The Federal Reserve interest rate decision is likely to shake up the near-term outlook for the U.S. dollar as the central bank is expected to deliver a 25bp rate-hike.


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Crude Weekly Price Outlook: Oil Price Crushed into Support

Oil has collapsed nearly 40% from the yearly high with price now testing critical support. Here are the levels that matter on the WTI weekly chart into the year-end.


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EURJPY Price Challenging Support Line, Losses May Follow if it Breaks



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FX Prices Coiled and Ready for FOMC: EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD

Today brings the final FOMC rate decision of 2018, and the wide expectation is that the bank will bring a dovish hike to markets. But how dovish might the Fed be in today's projections?


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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...