Sunday, 23 December 2018

What Does the US-Japan Trade War Mean for China, Equities, and Growth?

China faces dangerously similar protectionist US tactics and internal issues as Japan did in the 1980’s before it plunged into a decade of stagnation. What can Beijing learn going forward?


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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Topping Pattern Points Below 0.66

The New Zealand Dollar may be poised to drop below the 0.66 figure against its US counterpart after completing a Head and Shoulders topping pattern.


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How Political Speech Impacted Financial Markets in 2018

Political speech rocked financial markets in 2018 as investors scrambled to trade around a tumultuous geopolitical terrain. Will it continue into 2019?


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EUR/USD Sensitive to Holiday Illiquidity, Eyes Fed and ECB

EUR/USD may continue to rise on Italy-EU negotiations the end ECB QE, but chart positioning carries bearish cues. Will it find follow-through?


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Markets, NZD/JPY Brace for Illiquidity Post US Government Shutdown

Wall Street had its worst week in over seven years as the US government headed for partial shutdown. Asia stocks brace for illiquidity, House failed to agree on budget over the weekend.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: S&P 500 Takes a Back Seat with the US Dollar

The Elliott wave patterns for S&P 500 and US Dollar Index are at or near terminal points that push them towards underperforming markets in 2019.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: 2019 Looks Like A ’Risk Off’ Year, Monetary Response Likely Key

As we peer at it from the end of 2018, the coming year looks like a straight ‘risk off’ trade. Uncertainties proliferate to an almost unbelievable extent.


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Saturday, 22 December 2018

Top Trade Idea 2019: Short USD/JPY as Bullish USD Bets Unwind

The effects from trade wars may no longer support the US dollar, thus losing the safe haven battle against the Japanese Yen on investor repatriation.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short USD/JPY – Dovish Fed Looks to Weaken Dollar

With the whirlwind of event and geopolitical risk, the Japanese Yen is one of the few currencies that I believe will remain consistent in the year ahead while the Dollar is set to weaken.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Bearish CAD/JPY – JPY Strength May Align With Global Risks After CA Data Turndown

While many global investors look to the unified benchmark of Brent or the US benchmark in WTI, the price decline in Canada’s Western Select Crude from Alberta took a storybook tumble in 2018.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Bearish EUR/JPY as Euro Politics, BoJ Policy Come into Further Focus

Setting up long-term trades is quite a bit different than seeking out short-term setups or swing trades. For this reason, I generally try to pick on cross-pairs for these types of ideas as policy diverges.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short EUR/JPY as European Political Risks Explode amid Dearth of Leadership

Issues are cropping up everywhere, and it’s possible that Europe may see significant leadership turnover just as debt and growth concerns have started to make waves again.


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Psychology and Trading | Podcast

Find out more about the psychology of trading in this podcast, with Currency Strategist James Stanley talking poker, psychology and personality types.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short Canadian and New Zealand Dollars vs. Yen as Global Growth Outlook Darkens

Financial markets have become palpably worried about the outlook for global growth, and with good reason. Against this backdrop, traders may well begin to envision a dovish policy bias shift from the world’s top central banks.


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Top Trade Idea for 2019: Long Pound, Short US Equities, Long Gold

Looking back over this past year, we have seen a number of asset classes that are otherwise unrelated with the exception of their connection to sentiment slide significantly. I expect risk aversion to take hold in 2019.


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Friday, 21 December 2018

What to Expect from Trading Conditions Heading into the New Year

What is typically a quiet, early wrap up of liquidity turned into a troubling route. The S&P 500 triggered its worst single-week loss in 7 years on the back of the worst month in a decade, making the next few weeks a troubling prospect.


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A Few Key Market and Economic Themes for 2019

Volatility was a troubling feature of the landscape through the past year, but the final month of 2018 has seriously changed the mentality in the market. With a long list of systemic fundamental threats, these are some of the bigger developments we may find in the year ahead.


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Top Trading Lessons of 2018

A good trader never stops learning, and every mistake is another potential learning experience. Here are some of the top lessons our analysts learned, absorbed or suffered from our personal experience in 2018.


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China Reveals Economic Plan in 2019: How It Could Impact the Yuan

China held the annual top economic meeting and released the plan for 2019. Here are the highlights and how they can impact the Yuan:


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Bearish USD/JPY Behavior to Linger as RSI Flirts with Oversold Territory

USD/JPY remains at risk for further losses as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) flirts with oversold territory and appears to be on the cusp of flashing a bearish signal.


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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...