Top Trade Idea 2019: Short AUD/JPY and Long USD/NOK – Global Growth to Slow and Political Turmoil to Rise

In 2018, the two biggest factors leading global risk aversion arguably were the trade wars and Fed tightening. These two themes are likely to continue into 2019.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Long XAU/USD – Gold to Glisten in 2019

A safe haven asset that lost its luster in 2018 looks set to gain back its glisten.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Shift in Global Monetary Policy to Sway Market Behavior

The upcoming changes in global monetary policy are likely to influence foreign exchange markets in 2019 as EUR/AUD snaps the upward trend from 2017, while AUD/JPY trades at two-year lows.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Canadian Dollar, 2019 Underdog? Short AUD/CAD, NZD/CAD, EUR/CAD

The Canadian Dollar took a turn for the worse in the 4Q 2018, but it may finish 2019 on a stronger note. Its collapse was accompanied with a record losing streak in crude oil prices and a cautious BoC rate announcement in December.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short EUR/CHF as European Issues - Including Brexit - Weigh

So far, the principal impact of the Brexit negotiations has been on the British Pound but if the UK leaves without a deal that will be strongly negative for the EU’s economy as well as the UK’s.


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Gold Prices Remain Bid Amid Partial U.S. Government Shutdown

Gold trades to a fresh monthly-high ($1267), with the bullish momentum gathering pace amid the partial U.S. government shutdown.


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Key Global Elections to Watch Out For in 2019

As pollical uncertainty remains rife in financial markets. Investors will be placing a keen eye on several key elections that will take place in 2019.


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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple Prices Surge Higher; FOMO Santa Rally?

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a strong end of year rally with the market valuation jumping by more than 40% over the last week on heavy turnover. Is this rally just for Christmas?


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Gold Prices Fail to Capitalize on Market Rout, But US Dollar Does

Gold prices failed to capitalize on a market meltdown that brought US shares to a 17-month low but the US Dollar reveled in support from haven demand.


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Weekly CoT Update New Zealand Dollar, Euro, and Other Major Contracts

Large speculator positioning in NZD made a surprising jump, Euro specs covered for a second week in a row, but remain firmly bearish.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Commodities to Base in 2019 – Looking for a low in Gold, Crude Oil

Heading into the start of 2018 our ‘bottom line’ for Gold noted that, “the immediate risk heading into next year is for a decline to ultimately offer more favorable long-opportunities.”


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What Does the US-Japan Trade War Mean for China, Equities, and Growth?

China faces dangerously similar protectionist US tactics and internal issues as Japan did in the 1980’s before it plunged into a decade of stagnation. What can Beijing learn going forward?


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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Topping Pattern Points Below 0.66

The New Zealand Dollar may be poised to drop below the 0.66 figure against its US counterpart after completing a Head and Shoulders topping pattern.


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How Political Speech Impacted Financial Markets in 2018

Political speech rocked financial markets in 2018 as investors scrambled to trade around a tumultuous geopolitical terrain. Will it continue into 2019?


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EUR/USD Sensitive to Holiday Illiquidity, Eyes Fed and ECB

EUR/USD may continue to rise on Italy-EU negotiations the end ECB QE, but chart positioning carries bearish cues. Will it find follow-through?


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Markets, NZD/JPY Brace for Illiquidity Post US Government Shutdown

Wall Street had its worst week in over seven years as the US government headed for partial shutdown. Asia stocks brace for illiquidity, House failed to agree on budget over the weekend.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: S&P 500 Takes a Back Seat with the US Dollar

The Elliott wave patterns for S&P 500 and US Dollar Index are at or near terminal points that push them towards underperforming markets in 2019.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: 2019 Looks Like A ’Risk Off’ Year, Monetary Response Likely Key

As we peer at it from the end of 2018, the coming year looks like a straight ‘risk off’ trade. Uncertainties proliferate to an almost unbelievable extent.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short USD/JPY as Bullish USD Bets Unwind

The effects from trade wars may no longer support the US dollar, thus losing the safe haven battle against the Japanese Yen on investor repatriation.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short USD/JPY – Dovish Fed Looks to Weaken Dollar

With the whirlwind of event and geopolitical risk, the Japanese Yen is one of the few currencies that I believe will remain consistent in the year ahead while the Dollar is set to weaken.


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