Wednesday, 26 December 2018

Oil Prices Risk Larger Rebound as RSI Recovers From Oversold Territory

The failed attempt to test the June 2017-low ($42.05) may generate a larger rebound in crude oil prices as the RSI bounces back from oversold territory.


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8 Scenarios After an Elliott Wave Impulse Pattern Completes

The Elliott wave impulse pattern is one of the foundational patterns of Elliott Wave Theory. Here are eight guidelines to determine how deep of a correction to anticipate once an impulse pattern completes.


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Bitcoin: 51% Net Short Increase Indicates a Bullish Bias

Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current Bitcoin Cash price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.


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S&P 500 Opens Higher After Holiday, Outlook Bearish

The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger US 500-bearish contrarian trading bias.


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Forex Correlation: Using Currency Correlation in Forex Trading

Currency correlations are important for traders to consider as no pair trades independently on others. Here’s a guide on what they are and how to manage them.


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USD/JPY Weakness to Persist as RSI Pushes Into Oversold Territory

Recent developments in the RSI raises the risk for a further depreciation in USD/JPY as the oscillator sits in oversold territory for the first time since February.


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Tuesday, 25 December 2018

Gaining a Trading Edge by Fading the Crowd | Podcast

IG Client Sentiment data can assist traders to make informed decisions. Find out how to use this contrarian indicator.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short NZD/CAD as Interest Rate Differentials Start to Kick In

Interest rate differentials favor weaker prices, particularly in light of the outlooks for the Bank of Canada and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short Global Equities as Volatility Rises

A sharp break in equity prices is much higher than it was prior to 2018, with a decline seen as likely deepening well into bear market territory (-20% or greater).


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short AUD/JPY and Long USD/NOK – Global Growth to Slow and Political Turmoil to Rise

In 2018, the two biggest factors leading global risk aversion arguably were the trade wars and Fed tightening. These two themes are likely to continue into 2019.


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Monday, 24 December 2018

Top Trade Idea 2019: Long XAU/USD – Gold to Glisten in 2019

A safe haven asset that lost its luster in 2018 looks set to gain back its glisten.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Shift in Global Monetary Policy to Sway Market Behavior

The upcoming changes in global monetary policy are likely to influence foreign exchange markets in 2019 as EUR/AUD snaps the upward trend from 2017, while AUD/JPY trades at two-year lows.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Canadian Dollar, 2019 Underdog? Short AUD/CAD, NZD/CAD, EUR/CAD

The Canadian Dollar took a turn for the worse in the 4Q 2018, but it may finish 2019 on a stronger note. Its collapse was accompanied with a record losing streak in crude oil prices and a cautious BoC rate announcement in December.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Short EUR/CHF as European Issues - Including Brexit - Weigh

So far, the principal impact of the Brexit negotiations has been on the British Pound but if the UK leaves without a deal that will be strongly negative for the EU’s economy as well as the UK’s.


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Gold Prices Remain Bid Amid Partial U.S. Government Shutdown

Gold trades to a fresh monthly-high ($1267), with the bullish momentum gathering pace amid the partial U.S. government shutdown.


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Key Global Elections to Watch Out For in 2019

As pollical uncertainty remains rife in financial markets. Investors will be placing a keen eye on several key elections that will take place in 2019.


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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple Prices Surge Higher; FOMO Santa Rally?

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a strong end of year rally with the market valuation jumping by more than 40% over the last week on heavy turnover. Is this rally just for Christmas?


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Gold Prices Fail to Capitalize on Market Rout, But US Dollar Does

Gold prices failed to capitalize on a market meltdown that brought US shares to a 17-month low but the US Dollar reveled in support from haven demand.


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Weekly CoT Update New Zealand Dollar, Euro, and Other Major Contracts

Large speculator positioning in NZD made a surprising jump, Euro specs covered for a second week in a row, but remain firmly bearish.


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Top Trade Idea 2019: Commodities to Base in 2019 – Looking for a low in Gold, Crude Oil

Heading into the start of 2018 our ‘bottom line’ for Gold noted that, “the immediate risk heading into next year is for a decline to ultimately offer more favorable long-opportunities.”


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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...