Buyers of the Japanese Yen did their job in averting a major selloff in the currency during the final quarter of 2018.
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Saturday, 29 December 2018
Equities Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Global Stocks Still Vulnerable After Brutal Selloff
A toxic mix of slowing economic growth, an ongoing trade war between the US and China, as well as political instability in Europe poisoned risk appetite across the equity space.
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US Dollar Q1 Fundamental Forecast: USD Buffeted by Market Volatility, Fed, Politics
The fundamental backdrop looks exceptionally tumultuous with several conflicting themes and complications making it difficult for the market to establish a prevailing trend.
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Pound Sterling Q1 Fundamental Forecast: GBP Rudderless on Brexit Permutations
It remains to be seen if a Brexit deal is confirmed, but the risks of a sharply lower British Pound may be slowly receding.
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Euro Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Missed Window of Opportunity at End of 2018 Portends Weak Start to 2019
For the Euro, being in a situation where political risks are cropping up while growth and inflation expectations are going down does not bode well for the future.
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Friday, 28 December 2018
Gold Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Price Likely to Continue 2018 Downtrend
Although Gold rallied amid rapid selloffs in equities in October and November, these were only minor recoveries.
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Oil Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Crude to Continue Sliding with Flush Demand and Waning Supply
Despite an incredibly painful quarter for crude, the outlook remains bleak.
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Japanese Yen Q1 Forecast: Haven in a Very Uncertain World
2018 was a tumultuous year in financial markets. So it’s perhaps strange that the Japanese Yen should be ending it very close to where it started. And yet it is.
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USD/JPY Sentiment: Net-Long Reaches a 9-month High
Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USDJPY-bearish.
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EUR/USD Weekly Price Outlook: Euro Trading Levels Heading into 2019
Euro has defended 1.13 for the past six-weeks with price now testing monthly range highs. Here are the levels that matter on the EUR/USD weekly chart into the year-end.
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USD/JPY Initiates Bearish Series Even as Bearish Momentum Abates
Recent price action keeps the downside targets on the radar for USD/JPY ahead of the NFP report as the exchange rate initiates a fresh series of lower highs & lows.
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Price Action Themes for FX and US Stocks Ahead of the 2019 Open
US equities have continued to swing in both directions ahead of year-end, but the rise in volatility across risk markets in Q4 is undeniable. This article looks at themes of interest for 2019.
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Grey Swans: Low Probability Events to watch for in 2019
“Grey swans” are events still unlikely to transpire, but if they were to, there would be profound consequences for financial markets.
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Bitcoin Sentiment Sparks a Bullish Bias
Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current Bitcoin price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.
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Fed Balance Sheet Reduction Poses Risk for Stock Markets in 2019
Throughout 2018, the unwind of the Fed's balance sheet has coincided with an increase in equity market volatility, while equity prices been hit
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Big-picture Technical Analysis for USD, Gold Price, Crude Oil, and S&P 500
Dialing back to the longer-term charts, several major markets have interesting technical backdrops which could lead to big moves in the weeks and months ahead.
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Becoming a Better Trader: How-to Videos
In this video series, a range of topics are covered geared towards trader development, from risk management to trading psychology to analytical techniques and strategy.
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Yen Up as Risk Appetite Sours But Market Mood Swings May Mislead
The anti-risk Japanese Yen traded higher as risk appetite soured anew but even seemingly large swings in the prevailing market mood may prove to be misleading.
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Thursday, 27 December 2018
Asian Stocks Mostly Higher But Nikkei Lags On New BoJ Gloom
Regional markets were mostly content to track Wall Street upward on Friday but the Japanese benchmark was held back by the Bank of Japan’s latest worry list
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Gold, Crude Oil Prices Face Whipsaw Risk as Sentiment Seesaws
Gold and crude oil face whipsaw risk as market-wide sentiment trends seesaw, leaving prices without clear-cut direction cues despite elevated volatility.
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....