There are a lot of ways to decide what to buy or sell and how to do it; but key for long-term consistency is the incorporation of risk management, and technical analysis can help.
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Sunday, 30 December 2018
Australian Dollar Down As China’s Manufactruing PMI Stumbles
The Australian Dollar took only a modest hit Monday in response to the shock news that China’s manufacturing sector contracted in December for the first time since mid 2016.
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First Quarter 2019 Technical Forecasts for the Dollar, Pound, Gold, Equities, and More
The fourth quarter of 2018 produced key technical progressions across multiple asset crosses, setting up what should be a significant first quarter of 2019.
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Can China Manufacturing PMI Miss Fuel Risk Aversion in Thin Trade?
The US Dollar fell as the markets priced out even one Fed rate hike in 2019. Holiday trade still makes for volatile conditions. China Manufacturing PMI contraction may trigger a selloff.
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First Quarter 2019 Fundamental Forecasts for the US Dollar, Euro, Oil, Equities, and More
The fourth quarter and 2018 are now in the books, and the ongoingresurgence of market volatility and uncertainty around key thematic influences are set to carry into 2019.
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Equities Q1 Technical Forecast: Stocks May Rebound But Any Rally Not Expected to Last
Last quarter, the scene for stocks got progressively uglier, highlighted by an unusually weak December.
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US Dollar Q1 Technical Forecast: Fading Excitement Leads to Range as Bulls Shy Away from 98.00
The door could open to a deeper potential pullback in the US Dollar considering the currency's rangebound environment over the secondhalf of Q4.
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British Pound Q1 Technical Forecast: GBP/USD Shows Little Sign of Relief from Bearish Pressure
Losses persisted in the fourth quarter as Brexit/Political uncertainty showed little signs of abating, which in turn saw GBPUSD fail to maintain a foothold above the 1.3000 handle.
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Saturday, 29 December 2018
Euro Q1 Technical Forecast: Despite Year-End Losses, Near-term Gains Not Out of the Question
EUR may experience some near-term strength against USD, CHF, and GBP but may underperform against JPY.
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Gold Q1 Technical Forecast: Pullback to Offer Opportunity in Early 2019
The recovery in Gold prices continued in the fourth quarter of 2018 after rebounding off confluence support near 1171 back in August.
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Oil Q1 Technical Forecast: WTI Crude Price Range at Best, Bear Breakdown at Worst
The worsening fundamental picture aligns with the massive price breakdown in crude that was witnessed in Q4.
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Japanese Yen Q1 Technical Forecast: Why USD/JPY Prices Might Fall in Q1 2019
Buyers of the Japanese Yen did their job in averting a major selloff in the currency during the final quarter of 2018.
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Equities Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Global Stocks Still Vulnerable After Brutal Selloff
A toxic mix of slowing economic growth, an ongoing trade war between the US and China, as well as political instability in Europe poisoned risk appetite across the equity space.
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US Dollar Q1 Fundamental Forecast: USD Buffeted by Market Volatility, Fed, Politics
The fundamental backdrop looks exceptionally tumultuous with several conflicting themes and complications making it difficult for the market to establish a prevailing trend.
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Pound Sterling Q1 Fundamental Forecast: GBP Rudderless on Brexit Permutations
It remains to be seen if a Brexit deal is confirmed, but the risks of a sharply lower British Pound may be slowly receding.
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Euro Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Missed Window of Opportunity at End of 2018 Portends Weak Start to 2019
For the Euro, being in a situation where political risks are cropping up while growth and inflation expectations are going down does not bode well for the future.
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Friday, 28 December 2018
Gold Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Price Likely to Continue 2018 Downtrend
Although Gold rallied amid rapid selloffs in equities in October and November, these were only minor recoveries.
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Oil Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Crude to Continue Sliding with Flush Demand and Waning Supply
Despite an incredibly painful quarter for crude, the outlook remains bleak.
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Japanese Yen Q1 Forecast: Haven in a Very Uncertain World
2018 was a tumultuous year in financial markets. So it’s perhaps strange that the Japanese Yen should be ending it very close to where it started. And yet it is.
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USD/JPY Sentiment: Net-Long Reaches a 9-month High
Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USDJPY-bearish.
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....