Sunday, 3 February 2019

Technical Outlook: S&P 500, FTSE 100, FTSE MIB

S&P 500 breaches trendline as Fed caves, FTSE 100 hovers above pivotal 7000 level ahead of BoE, FTSE MIB rejects key resistance.


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Dow Jones Winds Down Earnings Season, FTSE 100 Awaits BOE

The US stock markets will begin to wind down earnings season this week with notable reports from Google and BP still to come. The FTSE will look to the Bank of England.


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Saturday, 2 February 2019

EUR/USD Weekly Technical Forecast: Euro Levels to Watch High & Low

The Euro has been a difficult handle with volatility low, and it’s not likely to get much easier in the days ahead with levels on both sides, especially on the top-side.


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Euro Forecast: Quieter Economic Calendar Pushes Euro to Background

There are no ‘high’ rated events due out in the days ahead for the Euro, meaning external factors like Brexit and the US-China trade war negotiations will dominate price action.


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Gold Weekly Technical Outlook: Rally Eyes Resistance at 8-Month Highs

Gold rallied to eight-month highs on the back of the FOMC with price now testing Fibonacci resistance. Here are the levels that matter on the XAU/USD weekly chart.


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Gold Looks to Catch Breath After Prices Rally

Gold prices surge in response to a dovish Fed as a weak USD combined with safe-haven demand helped the commodity continue its upside breakout.


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Dollar Avoids Critical Breakdown, But for How Long?

The Dollar extended its tumble this past week helped along by the Fed’s dovish tone. Yet when it was time to establish conviction, bears couldn’t break 8-month channel support and the 200-day moving average. We are likely to see further attempts.


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US Dollar May Rise on Haven Demand as Market Sentiment Sours

The US Dollar may trade broadly higher in the week ahead as a dour turn in market sentiment stokes haven-seeking demand for the benchmark currency.


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Stock Market Fund Flows Reveal Record Intraday Outflow

The month of January saw the S&P 500 gain nearly 8% despite significant outflows from three of the largest index-tracking exchange traded funds.


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Sterling (GBP)Weekly Technical Outlook: Charts Levels Remain Intact

Sterling has moved lower over the week against EURGBP and GBPUSD after last week’s overbought conditions but both pairs have yet to challenge annulment levels.


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GBP Fundamental Forecast: Sterling Stable After Retrace

A disappointing week for Sterling bulls as positive sentiment started to wane after the EU refused to consider reopening the discussion on the Irish backstop.


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Crude Oil Forecast: Sharp Rebound Meets Inflection Point

Internal buying pressure is back in the crude oil market when looking at futures spreads, geopolitical tensions leading to supply constraints, or a stronger US earnings seasons all showing demand may be better than feared.


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Crude Oil Prices Risk Larger Recovery on Stagnant Non-OPEC Supply

Crude oil prices may continue to catch a bid as the OPEC and its allies remain committed in rebalancing the energy market.


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Friday, 1 February 2019

Will Dollar, S&P 500 Set Trends from Progress in Fed Policy, Earnings, Trade War?

Risk assets have extended their recovery with the S&P 500 leading the way with its biggest six-week climb since August 2008. Is there enough fundamental lift to sustain this run or for the Dollar to keep beating back a bearish break?


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New Zealand Dollar Weekly Technical Forecast: NZDUSD Rally May Stall at Resistance, NZDCAD to Test Support

NZDUSD may stall at near-term resistance as the fundamental tailwinds that spurred the rally fade. The pair now rests between key technical levels.


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Canadian Dollar May Be Torn Between Upbeat Local and US Econ Data

The Canadian Dollar rose as a relatively dovish Fed boosted sentiment and crude oil prices. Focus shifts to local and US economic data next week. S&P 500 may struggle to keep rising.


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AUD/USD and AUD/JPY May Extend Climbs as AUD/CAD Holds its Ground

After a strong week for the Australian Dollar, it may add gains versus the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen as the Canadian Dollar holds its ground. I cover AUD/USD, AUD/JPY and AUD/CAD.


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Australian Dollar Could Wilt If Focus Returns To Interest Rates

Australian Dollar bulls have had a great week as various stars align over their currency, taking it up to two-month highs against the greenback. Can they count on more of the same? Possibly not


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FX Week Ahead: RBA & BOE Rate Decision; Canadian & New Zealand Jobs

Central banks come in focus in the week ahead, although attention will still remain on Brexit, the US-China trade war negotiations, and the impending US government shutdown.


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Canadian Dollar Weekly Outlook: USD/CAD Breakdown Targets Key Support

Loonie has topped the performance charts against the USD year-to-date with price now targeting 13-week lows. Here are the levels that matter on the USD/CAD weekly chart.


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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...