Tuesday, 5 February 2019

Market Cycles | Phases, Stages, and Common Characteristics

Markets have been cycling since the beginning of time and will continue to do so for as long as they exist; in this piece a blueprint is laid out for how these occur and signposts to watch.


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Monday, 4 February 2019

Dollar May Rise on ISM, Trade and Shutdown Cues Sought in SOTU

The US Dollar may rise if services ISM data outperforms. Clues on US-China trade talks and another government shutdown will be sought in the State of the Union speech.


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British Pound Trending Lower as Brexit Talks Stall - BoE in Focus

The British Pound has been falling as Brexit talks between the EU and UK have hit a wall as the deadline approaches. Markets will be eyeing the Bank of England on “Super Thursday”.


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ASX 200 Soars on Bank Inquiry Result, US ISM Data May Sink Stocks

Most Asia stocks struggled echoing gains on Wall Street except for in Australia where financials lead the ASX 200 higher. US ISM data beat may sink sentiment along with the S&P 500.


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Crude Oil Prices Eye API and ISM Data, State of the Union Speech

Crude oil prices are looking to API inventory flow data, the ISM gauge of factory-sector growth and US President Trump’s State of the Union speech for direction cues.


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Is the Australian Dollar Impervious, Disconnected or Temporarily Side-Tracked?

Lately, we have seen extraordinary swings in risk trends, shifts in the standings of global monetary policy and a run of data that has raised economic fears (including for the Australian Dollar). Despite all of this the Aussie currency has passed little moved.


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Will the Nasdaq and S&P 500 Finally Find FAANG Earnings Leverage on Google’s Beat?

Monetary policy and tangible economic cooling have not translated into a meaningful course or pace correction for the S&P 500 and other capital market benchmarks. Will the final FAANG member or upcoming data change that disconnect?


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AUD/USD Extends Gains After RBA Holds Firm, Equities in Focus

The Australian Dollar may continue its spirited rally against the greenback on US-China trade war developments and rallies in global equities.


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Australian Dollar Eyeing RBA Rate Decision and Trade War News

Australian Dollar traders will be closely eyeing the RBA rate decision and trade war news as the US and China rush to reach an agreement before the March 1 deadline.


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AUD Tumbles on Retail Sales Ahead of RBA, Eyes Stocks and Fed

The Aussie may extend losses on the RBA after the release of 4Q retail sales. However, a rebound in risk appetite following a dovish shift in the Fed could lead to a reversal.


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S&P 500 Soars as Data Underscores Dovish Fed, AUD/USD Awaits RBA

Disappointing US economic data likely fueled another rally on Wall Street. The Australian Dollar looks to the next RBA rate decision as the anti-risk Japanese Yen might fall.


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AUD Overlooks Dismal Services Sector Performance Reading

The Australian PSI collapsed 7.8 points from 52.1 to 44.3 in January and puts the sector in contraction territory.


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AUD/USD Rate Risks Larger Pullback on Wait-and-See RBA Policy

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting may fuel a larger pullback in AUD/USD as the central bank is widely expected to keep the official cash rate at the record-low.


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S&P 500 : Traders Net-Short Decreased from Last Week

The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed US 500 trading bias.


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Google Stock Price Slumps Despite Upbeat Earnings Performance

Shares of online advertiser Google trader lower in after-hours trading after the firm’s capital expenditure shot 80% higher from a year earlier.


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EUR/USD: Traders Remain Net-Short

The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed EURUSD trading bias.


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Bitcoin: Sentiment Prompts a Mixed Signal

The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed Bitcoin trading bias.


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EUR/JPY Weekly Technical Outlook: Price Ranges into Resistance

Euro is trying a fifth consecutive weekly advance against the Yen with price now testing range resistance. Here are the levels that matter on the EUR/JPY weekly chart.


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USD/JPY Carves Bullish Series, RSI Breaks Out Following Upbeat NFP

USD/JPY carves a fresh series of higher highs & lows following the upbeat NFP report, while the RSI breaks out of the bearish formation from late-2018.


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Weekly Trade Levels for EUR/USD, USD/CAD, Gold, Crude Oil & More

Webinar highlighting active trade setups we’re tracking into the start of February trade. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter this week.


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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...