Monday, 18 February 2019

Top Three Foreign Exchange Macro Themes to Watch This Week

Top-down market themes will continue to drive FX-moves and sentiment this week with US-China trade wars, potential EU auto-tariffs and FX volatility all battling for headline space.


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FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: EZ ZEW Survey, FOMC Minutes, Aussie Jobs & More

There are several 'high' rated events on the calendar over the coming week, but most of them are clustered together on Thursday.


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UK Week Ahead: A Packed Calendar with Added Brexit | Webinar



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Weekly Technical Forecast: Dollar, Equities, Crude and Gold All Extend Their Climb to Key Resistance

There was a broad advance in the run of speculative-leaning equities, commodities and currencies this past week. The pace was uneven, but the progress was registered nonetheless. Yet, only now does the real technical commitment meet its test with Dollar eying 97.75, Dow looking towards 27,000 and crude crossing 55.50.


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Weekly Fundamental Forecast:Trade Wars and Shutdown Fears Fade, Have We Entered a New Phase of Risk Appetite

Two of the most systemic fundamental threats facing the financial system have eased this past week in the avoidance of a second US government shutdown and the enthusiastic language being applied to the negotiations between the US and China on trade. Is this the foundation for a new phase of ‘risk on’?


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EURUSD Bounces Off Support, USDTRY Rises on RRR Cut

The USD underperforms relative to major G10 currencies on continued trade war optimism. Turkish Lira dips as CBRT cut Lira reserve requirements.


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Gold Price Nears a Fresh 10-Month High as US Dollar Dips

Gold has taken its cue from a lower US dollar and made a fresh two-week high, nearing its highest level since April 2018 as bulls take control.


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Crude Oil Analysis: Oil Bulls Target $70

Improved risk sentiment and Saudi Arabia’s pledge to take aggressive have been among factors boosting oil prices to fresh 2019 highs, raising scope for $70 Brent.


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Sterling (GBP) Starting the Week in Positive Fashion on Brexit Rumors

Sterling-pairs have opened what is expected to be a quiet day – US President’s Day Bank Holiday - after media talk surfaces that some EU countries are mulling concessions to the Irish backstop agreement.


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Sunday, 17 February 2019

Yen, US Dollar May Bounce as Markets Weigh Auto Tariff Threat

The Yen and US Dollar may rebound as hopes for a breakthrough in the US-China trade war give way to worries about a looming hike in auto import tariffs.


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Asian Stocks Post Gains As Trade Hopes Endure, US Holiday Looms

Asia Pacific share markets were all in the green thanks to encouraging comments on trade out of both Beijing and Washington DC.


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AUD/USD Bulls Unlikely To Get Much Help From RBA Governor

The Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia will testify in Parliament this week, and recent history suggests he might make the going tough for AUD


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IDR Eyes Bank of Indonesia as USD May Appreciate on Soft EU Data

ASEAN currencies mostly fell this past week against the US Dollar. USD/IDR eyes the Bank of Indonesia with the threat that soft European economic data poses for risk trends.


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NOK, SEK Vulnerable as Europe Slows Down - FOMC Minutes in Focus

The Norwegian Krone and Swedish Krona may find it increasingly difficult to climb higher as the EU economy slows down, potentially dampening economic activity in the Nordics.


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Gold Prices Soar to Challenge Range Top as US Dollar Drops

Gold prices soared to challenge three-week range resistance, buoyed by a weaker US Dollar. A break higher would put a trend-defining top in the crosshairs.


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Nikkei 225 Eyes Key Resistance After Rally in S&P 500 as USD Fell

The US Dollar fell as a recovery in sentiment sapped its appeal as a haven asset. Asia stocks may rise, offering the Nikkei 225 a chance to confirm a close above critical resistance.


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Weekly Technical Forecast: Dollar, Equities, Crude and Gold All Extend Their Climb to Key Resistance

There was a broad advance in the run of speculative-leaning equities, commodities and currencies this past week. The pace was uneven, but the progress was registered nonetheless. Yet, only now does the real technical commitment meet its test with Dollar eying 97.75, Dow looking towards 27,000 and crude crossing 55.50.


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Weekly Fundamental Forecast:Trade Wars and Shutdown Fears Fade, Have We Entered a New Phase of Risk Appetite

Two of the most systemic fundamental threats facing the financial system have eased this past week in the avoidance of a second US government shutdown and the enthusiastic language being applied to the negotiations between the US and China on trade. Is this the foundation for a new phase of ‘risk on’?


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Technical Outlook: S&P 500, DAX

Following a weekly gain of over 2% the S&P 500 eyes key topside resistance. DAX sees notable bounce off trendline support.


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Dow Jones and DAX Hinged to Trade Wars, Potential Auto Tariffs

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the German DAX will look to progress from the US-China trade talks and potential auto tariffs.


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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...