The Japanese Yen market faces a clear disconnect between domestic economic data and monetary policy. What if that were to change?
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Sunday, 7 April 2019
Krona, Krone Eye ECB, FOMC, Outcome of Brexit - Volatility Ahead
The Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krone face a heavy week filled with major market-moving event risk from Brexit, the ECB rate decision and the release of the FOMC minutes
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ASEAN FX Gains on US-China Trade Talks Face FOMC Minutes, ECB Next
The Singapore Dollar and Malaysian Ringgit may focus on external risks such as the FOMC meeting minutes, ECB as market optimism on US-China trade talk progress will be tested.
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Euro Looks for Trigger at 1-Month Low
The Euro is looking for a trigger to spark the next burst of directional development as prices hover near a one-month low. A week filled with event risk may offer just that.
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Nikkei 225 May Rise as Japanese Yen Falls on Trade Talk Progress
Ahead, the Nikkei 225 may rise as the anti-risk Japanese yen weakens on welcoming progress in US-China trade talks from Friday where US NFPs sunk front-end government bond yields.
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Weekly Technical Forecast: Dollar, Equities and Crude Oil Advance Together
The markets seem to be awash in speculative enthusiasm. Risk-leaning assets like equities and crude oil marked meaningful advances this past week, but the breadth out to carry trade and even the Dollar as a carry currency speaks to the depth of the march. Yet, the threat of stall and reversal seems to dog a ‘recovery’ effort that has covered much of the easy-to-traverse technical field
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Weekly Trading Forecast: Risk Appetite Overcomes Growth Concerns
Speculative appetite – also called ‘animal spirits’ – is holding effective control over the capital markets. Despite regular warnings over the health of the global economy and infighting that suggests there is little capacity or will to fight future fires, the markets continue their advance in pursuit of capital gains. Is this a sustainable course?
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DAX Sees Strongest Performance Since Q4 16, S&P500 Eyes 2900, While FTSE looks to Key Resistance
DAX sees strongest performance since Q4 16, S&P 500 eyes 2900, while FTSE looks to key resistance.
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Dow Jones, S&P 500, DAX 30 and FTSE 100 Fundamental Forecast
The start of earnings season in the United States will play a key fundamental role for both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. Elsewhere, Brexit and trade wars remain key themes.
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Saturday, 6 April 2019
Euro Price Chart Forecast: Will ECB, Draghi Reignite Downtrend?
While the Euro has traded marginally higher against the US Dollar and British Pound since last Tuesday, recent EUR gains could be jeopardized by the ECB and bearish technical signals.
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Euro Outlook Bearish, EURUSD May Fall on ECB. Brexit Deadline Near
The Euro outlook is bearish as EUR/USD might fall on the ECB and Mario Draghi press conference. Brexit is a wildcard after US-China trade talks offered little upside momentum for EUR.
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Gold Weekly Technical Outlook: XAU in Search of Support into 2019 Low
Gold is virtually unchanged on the week but remains vulnerable to further losses early in the month. These are the levels that matter on the XAUUSD weekly chart.
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Gold Prices at Risk with ECB Rate Decision, FOMC Minutes in Focus
Gold prices may fall if downbeat comments from the ECB and the Fed spur haven demand for US Dollar. Lower bond yields may help cap the downside.
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US Dollar Weekly Forecast: ECB Meeting, US Inflation, Fed Minutes on Tap
The US Dollar will deal with several important data releases over the coming week, including US inflation data and the Fed meeting minutes.
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US Dollar Weekly Technical Forecast: Can USD Bulls Post a Breakout?
US Dollar strength has held into Q2, and the ascending triangle continues to highlight USD’s longer-term congestion. Is this the week that USD bulls finally make push?
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Sterling Weekly Technical Outlook: GBPUSD & EURGBP Trends Creaking
The 2019 dominant trends for both GBPUSD and EURGBP are under pressure and short-term price action must be watched carefully for any reversal or follow-through signals.
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Sterling (GBP) Fundamental Outlook: Leaning Towards a Softer Brexit?
A softer Brexit outcome is beginning to look more likely after the UK Parliament took a no deal Brexit off the table, while the potential for a year long Article 50. delay may usher in a second referendum.
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Friday, 5 April 2019
Crude Oil Prices Hit Fresh 5-Month High with Eyes Glued on Dow and Risk
US crude oil prices put in for another impressive 5 percent climb this past week. That ups the tally for consecutive bullish weeks to five – matching the longest stretch in three years. How steady is this trend?
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Crude Oil Prices Risk Fresh 2019 Highs as RSI Sits in Overbought Territory
Crude oil prices may trade higher over the coming days as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits in overbought territory for the first time in 2019.
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Dow Record Is Within View; Traders Committing to Dollar, Euro, Pound Ranges
The Dow is within reach of a record high, but risk appetite of that measure is far from universal. Is there confidence to be found in trade war breakthroughs or monetary policy to compensate for an unmistakable economic downturn?
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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Fundamentals can seem overwhelming, but identifying and isolating the key driver behind a currnecy or capital can help refine our evaluation...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....