Saturday, 6 July 2019

Q3’19 Euro Forecast Sees Economic, Political Uncertainties Back on the Rise

Euro technical positioning looks inconclusive at the mid-year mark as political issues have been a slow burn in Europe over the past several months while the economic growth picture in Europe could be characterized as charitably-mild.�


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Friday, 5 July 2019

S&P 500, Dollar and Gold Show What the Key Theme Is Next Week

Typically, the day following a Thursday US market holiday is dead. This past week was the exception with a strong NFPs reaction. What do these strong moves indicate is in store for the week ahead?


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Crude Oil Price: Will Global Growth Fears Overwhelm OPEC?

Crude oil price outlook over the third quarter looks set to be broadly overwhelmed by slowing global GDP growth, yet OPEC+ supply cuts and political risks pose upside risks.


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Gold Volatility Builds as NFPs Reminds Us Of the Primary Catalyst

Friday’s volatility in key assets seems to find a common source: the June US employment report. There may be considerable volatility potential for many assets, but Gold holds one of best cases for a fundamental trend.


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Gold Price Q3 Forecast: Gold Outlook Bullish on Imminent Fed Rate Cut

Gold took out the 2014 high ($1392) after the Federal Reserve altered the forward guidance for monetary policy.


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Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100 Technical Forecast

The Dow Jones stands on the precipice of uncharted territory while the DAX 30 and FTSE 100 look continue higher alongside the US indices.


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Stock Market Outlook: S&P 500 Returns When the Fed Cuts Rates

How do US equities perform when the Federal Reserve begins to cut interest rates?


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Stock Market Outlook: VIX Signals Complacency as S&P 500 Tags Record

Compared to last year, the S&P 500 has had significantly less influence on daily changes in the VIX. What does this mean for the market moving forward?


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Earnings Season: Key Facts to Know & Why it is Important for the Stock Market Outlook

Earnings season can be key to gauging the health of the economic outlook, while always being an important driver for stock market returns over the long term.


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S&P 500: Retail Trader data shows 26.3% of traders are Net-Long

Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger US 500-bullish contrarian trading bias.


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Bitcoin: Retail Trader data shows 79.5% of traders are Net-Long

Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger Bitcoin-bearish contrarian trading bias.


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Sentiment Analysis for Forex Trading

How does market sentiment affect your forex trading strategy? Read this guide to find out.


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Gold Price Double Top Takes Shape after June US NFP Report

With odds fading for an aggressively dovish Federal Reserve, the rebound by US Treasury yields and the US Dollar is undercutting gold prices.


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USD Rises on Firm NFP Report, 50bps Fed Rate Cut Bets Plunge

US Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 224k in June, beating expectations of 160k expected. USD pushes higher alongside US yields, while gold breaks below $1400.


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US Dollar Outlook: GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD Price Action Set-Ups

USD approaches 97.00 as GBPUSD, USDCAD and USDJPY hover around critical levels.


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Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Price Eying a Break of 1.3000 Handle

Yesterday, USD/CAD printed its lowest level in nearly eight and a half months. How the sellers could continue pushing the price lower? Here are the levels to consider.


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German New Orders Slump Raises Likelihood of Further ECB Stimulus

The ECB is facing increasing pressure to take action in stimulating the economy rather than wait and see how things unfold. Slumping German new orders give evidence as to why action is needed.


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SNB Likely Wary Of Any EURCHF Floor Even If ECB Eases Again

Markets believe the European Central Bank will ease policy this year. This could be bad news for the Swiss National Bank, but it’s not clear that it will resort to old remedies.


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Thursday, 4 July 2019

EURUSD Vulnerable to Larger Pullback on Strong US Job/Wage Growth

Updates to the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report may keep EURUSD under pressure as the economy is anticipated to add 160K jobs in June.


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Asian Stocks Trade Mostly Higher In Narrow, Pre-Payrolls Session

Regional equity markets were without their usual Wall St directional guidance and also mindful of last month’s shock US labor market weakness.


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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...