The ASX 200 has been hit by the repricing of US interest rate expectations since last week but still looks quite composed near record highs.
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Sunday, 7 July 2019
USDCAD Rate Rebound to Face Wait-and-See BoC Policy
USDCAD may stage a larger rebound ahead of the Bank of Canada (BoC) meeting on July 10 as the exchange rate snaps the series of lower highs and lows from last week.
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US Dollar Back Above 2018 Rising Support on NFPs, Yen May Gain
The US Dollar rose back above rising support from 2018 on the non-farm payrolls report, though the S&P 500 trimmed losses in the aftermath. Ahead, the anti-risk Japanese Yen may gain.
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Sentiment Analysis for Forex Trading
How does market sentiment affect your forex trading strategy? Read this guide to find out.
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Dollar, Gold, Equities 3Q Forecast Involves Reversal Threats, Destabilizing Themes
We are heading into the third quarter and second half of 2019 with markets poised for significant movement. That said, it isn't clear whether the systemic move will be a sustained charge for the likes of the Dollar, S&P 500 and gold or conversely a disruptive reversal. What is clear is that the market does not seem to fully appreciate the risk associated to the systemic fundamental risks being worked through or the volatility that they can spark throughout the financial system.
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Equities Q3 Forecast: Stock Markets Aim Higher Balancing Trade Wars and Monetary Policy
Global shares rebounded in the first quarter as dovish monetary policy was able to overcome global growth concerns and US-China trade war fears were reduced by the prospects of a deal.
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Saturday, 6 July 2019
British Pound Q3 Forecast: Sterling Fundamentals - Volatility Set to Rise as Brexit D-Day Nears
Sterling (GBP) is likely to become more volatile as the clock ticks down to the latest Brexit deadline - October 31st.
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Yen Supported by Two Huge Uncertainties; USDJPY Downtrend May Extend
The Japanese Yen has headed into a new calendar quarter on a high note, with its customary haven role underscoring demand which has brought USD/JPY down to its 2019 lows.
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Hammer Candlestick Patterns: A Trader’s Guide
Learn how to use the hammer candlestick pattern to spot bullish reversals in the market. Our guide includes expert trading tips and examples
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How Monetary and Fiscal Policy Can Amplify or Stave Off Crises
During the Great Recession, governments and central banks worldwide moved to reverse the collapse of the global economy. Here’s how fiscal and monetary policy can affect economic slumps.
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US Dollar Q3 Forecast: Dollar Feeling Weight of Fed, GDP and Trade Wars
The US Dollar was heading into the second half of 2019 in an uncomfortable state of uncertainty and it seems the technical boundaries are starting to come under existential strain.
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Q3’19 Euro Forecast Sees Economic, Political Uncertainties Back on the Rise
Euro technical positioning looks inconclusive at the mid-year mark as political issues have been a slow burn in Europe over the past several months while the economic growth picture in Europe could be characterized as charitably-mild.�
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Friday, 5 July 2019
S&P 500, Dollar and Gold Show What the Key Theme Is Next Week
Typically, the day following a Thursday US market holiday is dead. This past week was the exception with a strong NFPs reaction. What do these strong moves indicate is in store for the week ahead?
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Crude Oil Price: Will Global Growth Fears Overwhelm OPEC?
Crude oil price outlook over the third quarter looks set to be broadly overwhelmed by slowing global GDP growth, yet OPEC+ supply cuts and political risks pose upside risks.
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Gold Volatility Builds as NFPs Reminds Us Of the Primary Catalyst
Friday’s volatility in key assets seems to find a common source: the June US employment report. There may be considerable volatility potential for many assets, but Gold holds one of best cases for a fundamental trend.
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Gold Price Q3 Forecast: Gold Outlook Bullish on Imminent Fed Rate Cut
Gold took out the 2014 high ($1392) after the Federal Reserve altered the forward guidance for monetary policy.
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Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100 Technical Forecast
The Dow Jones stands on the precipice of uncharted territory while the DAX 30 and FTSE 100 look continue higher alongside the US indices.
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Stock Market Outlook: S&P 500 Returns When the Fed Cuts Rates
How do US equities perform when the Federal Reserve begins to cut interest rates?
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Stock Market Outlook: VIX Signals Complacency as S&P 500 Tags Record
Compared to last year, the S&P 500 has had significantly less influence on daily changes in the VIX. What does this mean for the market moving forward?
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Earnings Season: Key Facts to Know & Why it is Important for the Stock Market Outlook
Earnings season can be key to gauging the health of the economic outlook, while always being an important driver for stock market returns over the long term.
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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The Nikkei 225 has bounced at important long-term support and staged a modest turnaround. However, its down-channel endures and will need to...
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AUD prices remain hesitant ahead of the FOMC announcement later today. US PPI will also contribute to recent economic data. from DailyFX -...