The Pound is on the backfoot to begin the week, while the Euro braces for another dovish ECB meeting. Elsewhere, Swiss Franc is garnering increased attention with focus on key 1.10 handle.
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Monday, 22 July 2019
Weekly Technical Forecast: Dow Eases Back from Record, Dollar Struggles to Light Fuse, Gold Holds Its Break
There is a clear inconsistency in both activity level and bearing across the standard benchmarks of the speculative markets. With the Dollar suffering a jolt without a trend, Dow and other indices hanging just shy of record highs and gold breaking higher in stages; we are seeing more volatility that is often the precursor of a lasting market wave.
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Weekly Trading Forecasts: EURUSD Top Fundamental Candidate on Fed Speculation, ECB Decision Approaches
We may find the top scheduled event risk next week displaced for market moving potential by an increasingly volatile theme. Key event risk ahead includes Friday’s US 2Q GDP update and the global PMIs for July which would seem to put the focus on growth and recession concerns. Yet, the muddled picture from Fed remarks this past week and an ECB rate decision may find far more volatility in monetary policy.
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Top 5 Events - FX Week Ahead: July ECB Meeting & EUR/JPY Rate Forecast
The July European Central Bank rate decision and policy meeting will arrive on Thursday, July 25 at 11:45 GMT.
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FTSE 100 Outlook – Constructive Price Behavior Suggests Higher Prices
The FTSE has been back-and-filling in a constructive manner, points to another round of strength to come soon.
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Spot Gold: Percentage of Traders Net-Long is at its Highest Since 27 May
Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger Spot Gold-bearish contrarian trading bias.
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USD/JPY: Traders Continue to Remain Net-Long
Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USD/JPY-bearish contrarian trading bias.
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Gulf Tensions Escalate, Natural Gas to Follow Oil Prices
As tensions between the UK and Iran continue to unfold, oil prices are edging higher as the conflict escalates. And natural gas prices increased 2.5% over the weekend.
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CAD Longs Sharply Increase, GBP Remains Bearish, JPY Shorts Build - COT Report
Weekly changes in G10 FX positioning sees CAD net longs sharply increase, while speculators continue to add to GBP shorts.
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EUR/JPY Outlook: Euro May Resume Downtrend Price Action against Japanese Yen
Since the Start of last month EUR/JPY has been trading in a trendless move, however, on Wednesday the pair saw a bearish development. Here are the levels the sellers need to consider to lead the price again
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EURUSD Under Pressure Ahead of PMI Data and ECB Meeting
EURUSD remains just above 1.1200 in early trade with little in the way to drive the price until Wednesday’s PMI data and Thursday’s all-important ECB meeting and press conference.
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Sunday, 21 July 2019
Euro Eyeing Eurozone Confidence Data Ahead of ECB Rate Decision
The Euro will be closely watching the release of Eurozone consumer confidence data ahead of the ECB’s rate decision this week. Is a rate cut warranted?
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EURUSD Rate Fails to Test Monthly Low Ahead of ECB Meeting
EURUSD appears to be stuck in a narrow range ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on July 25 amid the failed attempts to test the monthly-low (1.1193).
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Crude Oil Prices May Resume Selloff Amid Global Slowdown Fears
Crude oil prices may build on last week’s selloff as worries about slowing global growth spook financial markets and hurt assets linked to the global business cycle.
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China Launch of Nasdaq-StyleTech Index Fails To Impress
Asian markets shrugged as China launched a Nasdaq-style tech stock index. A negative lead from Wall Street and Iran’s capture of a UK-flagged tanker kept risk appetite in check.
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USD May Gain Against SGD, MYR Despite US Growth Slowing to 2017 Low
The USD may keep catching haven bids versus the Singapore Dollar or Malaysian Ringgit as US GDP potentially slows to its weakest since 2017 in a fragile global growth environment.
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Topside Targets Back on Radar as Gold Breaks Out of Holding Pattern
Current market conditions may keep gold prices afloat as the precious metal breaks out of a holding pattern ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision on July 31.
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Weekly Euro Forecast: Euro Outlook Turns Volatile as ECB Weighs Rate Cut
The Euro has struggled in recent sessions as the July ECB meeting has come into focus. With markets predicting a coin flip’s chance of a rate cut, EUR-crosses appear destined for volatility.
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Crude Oil Prices, SEK, NOK Brace for IMF Report and US GDP Data
NOK and SEK along with crude oil prices may face selling pressure if the latest IMF global economic forecasts and US GDP data pour cold water on risk appetite across financial markets.
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US Dollar Rose as Risk Aversion Left S&P 500 Bearish Price Signals
The US Dollar appreciated on less-dovish Fed monetary policy bets as Middle East tensions fueled risk aversion, leaving the S&P 500 with numerous bearish reversal warning signs.
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