The US Dollar may rise against NOK and SEK if US-China trade relations worsen along with increased political risk out of Italy and a gloomier tone from the Norges Bank.
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Sunday, 11 August 2019
US Dollar Outlook: Rupee, Ringgit, Rupiah at Risk as Capital Flees
The US Dollar may rise versus SGD, MYR, IDR, PHP and INR as the risk of US-China trade war escalation leaves emerging markets vulnerable to capital outflows. Malaysia, India CPI eyed.
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NZDUSD Rebound Unravels as NZ Treasury Identifies Lower Bound for OCR
The ongoing trade dispute between the US and China may continue to drag on NZDUSD as it puts pressure on the RBNZ to further embark on its rate easing cycle.
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Trend Aims Lower Despite Choppy Trade
Euro technical positioning is sending mixed signals yet again, but the long-term price trend still appears to point lower against the US Dollar.
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US Dollar May Rise, GBP/USD Eyes 1985 Low After UK GDP Contraction
The US Dollar may extend its recovery from Friday’s US-China trade update. Meanwhile, the GBP/USD could reach its lowest point since 1985 after the UK economy unexpectedly contracted.
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Weekly Technical Forecast: Will the Dow’s Rebound Last While Gold Extends its Incredible Run?
We are facing a conflict of headline-charged volatility against the seasonal assumptions of fading liquidity. The level of expected activity will play a critical role in what kind of moves we should expect from the key players in the FX, indices and commodity market. Can the Dow sustain its bounce if volatility remains high? Will gold continue its run to six year highs if it doesn't?
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Weekly Trading Forecast: Dollar, Equities and Gold Still Dialed Into Trade Wars
There was a healthy mix of fundamental fuel this past week, but scheduled event risk and themes like systemic growth gave way to the more headline-worthy trade wars. That is likely to remain the case moving forward even if there are few opportunities for linear escalation of this systemic financial threat. While countries may not win from this fight, certain assets can.
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Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100 Forecasts for the Week Ahead
As trade wars and monetary policy look to maintain their position at the helm, markets will be offered insight on another major theme that could rattle fragile sentiment.
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DXY Weekly Price Outlook: Is the Reign of King Dollar Over?
Is the US Dollar reversal from key uptrend resistance just a pullback or the start of something more ominous? Here are the levels that matter on the DXY weekly chart.
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Saturday, 10 August 2019
Weekly Euro Forecast: Rising ECB Rate Cut Odds Can’t Hold Down the Euro
The Euro has benefited as concerns around a no deal, “hard Brexit” and the US-China trade war have swirled, providing plenty of fuel for gains by EURGBP and EURUSD, respectively.
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Weekly Crude Oil Technical Outlook: Tough Road Ahead
Oil has been quite weak and while a bounce may continue in the very near-term the path of least resistance is likely to remain lower.
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Forex Economic Calendar Week Ahead: US Inflation, UK Inflation, Australia Jobs Report & More
The economic calendar is littered with significant event risk over the coming week, including the July US and UK inflation reports as well as the July Australia jobs report.
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GBPUSD Rate Vulnerable to Slowing UK Inflation, Retail Sales
Fresh data prints coming out of the UK may do little to heighten the appeal of the British Pound amid the growing threat of a no-deal Brexit.
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FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: July US Retail Sales Report & EUR/USD Rate Forecast
The July US retail sales report (retail sales advance) is due out on Thursday, August 15 at 12:30 GMT, and it is due to confirm signs that the US economy is slowing down.
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FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: July Australia Jobs Report & AUD/USD Rate Forecast
The July Australia jobs report (employment change and unemployment rate) is due on Thursday, August 15 at 01:30 GMT, and consensus forecasts are looking for the jobs expansion to hit 12 consecutive months.
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Top 5 Events - FX Week Ahead: Q2’19 Eurozone GDP & EUR/JPY Rate Forecast
The Q2’19 Eurozone GDP report is due out on Wednesday, August 14 at 09:00 GMT, and the data should only serve to further confirm the ECB’s desire to provide more stimulus in September.
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FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: July UK Inflation Report & GBP/USD Rate Forecast
The July UK inflation report (consumer price index) is due out on Wednesday, August 14 at 08:30 GMT, but the data will continue to be overshadowed by Brexit.
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Australian Dollar Outlook in USD, CAD. Canadian Dollar May Gain?
The Australian Dollar is at risk to the US Dollar as AUD/USD upside progress lacks technical confirmation. The Canadian Dollar may gain as AUD/CAD faces near-term bearish signals.
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Gold Price Weekly Forecast: Bullish Breakout Remains In-Play
Gold is currently consolidating just under $1,500/oz. after hitting a six-and-a-half year high of $1,511/oz. earlier this week. Positive fundamentals remain but markets don’t move in a straight line.
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US Dollar Price Outlook Eyes Trade War, Data Induced Fed Cuts
The US Dollar stumbled last week and is at risk of further downside if US-China trade tensions worsen and high-impact economic data due for release disappoints which stand to accelerate Fed rate cut bets.
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