As the global economy continues to contract, the risk of geopolitical threats undermining financial and economic stability are rising, leaving the door open to violent volatility – and trading opportunities.
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Sunday, 1 September 2019
Trading Forecast: What Will a Return of Volatility Do to Trade Wars, Recession Fears?
We have closed out the month of August historically one of the most reserved periods of trading for the risk-leaning assets of the calendar year. What we face in September is one of the most heavily traded, volatile and under-performing periods of the year. What will that seasonal shift lead to when we consider the relentless pressure from trade wars, recession fears and monetary policy speculation?
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EURUSD at Multi-Year Lows, Dow Ready for a Break and Volatility Returns
We move into a new trading week and season with critical technical levels under pressure or collapsing. The US indices are on the cusp of volatile but rigid ranges while the Dollar has extended its charge to a fresh multi-year high. Breakouts are likely, but follow through can remain a tripping point if not properly appointed with speculative momentum. Be ready for transition in market conditions.
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Saturday, 31 August 2019
US Dollar Technical Forecast: Can Greenback Gains Continue?
The US Dollar surged to multi-year highs last week as the greenback continues to show its strength, but does USD have room to run or will technical resistance keep upward momentum at bay?
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FTSE 100 & S&P 500 Fundamental Forecast
FTSE 100 posts worst monthly performance of the year. Brexit induced volatility to return. S&P 500 challenges key resistance as eyes turn to ISM and NFP.
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Gold Price Outlook Hinges on Fed Rhetoric, US NFP Report
Fresh developments coming out of the US are likely to influence the price of gold amid overwhelming expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September.
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Sterling Price Targets: GBP/USD Rejected at Resistance- Trade Outlook
Sterling is down nearly 1% on the week after turning from downtrend resistance. Here are the levels that matter on the GBP/USD weekly chart heading into September.
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FX Week Ahead – Top 5 Events: August US Jobs Report & EUR/USD Rate Forecast
EURUSD is historically volatile around US nonfarm payrolls and August's jobs report set for release this coming Friday stands to spark US Dollar price action.
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FX Week Ahead – Top 5 Events: August China PMI Data & Chinese Yuan Price Outlook
US-China trade war rhetoric has dominated market price action, but risk appetite may focus less on headlines and more on hard data with China PMI numbers potentially steering sentiment next week.
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Australian Dollar Slides to Decade Lows - How Far and Fast Can it Drop?
The Australian Dollar continued its pained slide versus the Greenback this past week to notch a fifth consecutive weekly drop and station AUDUSD at its lowest level in over a decade.
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US Dollar May Rise if Fed Commentary Cools Rate Cut Expectations
The US Dollar may rise if commentary from Fed officials throughout the week pour cold water over rising rate cut bets as financial markets grow more fragile.
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Friday, 30 August 2019
EURUSD Tumbles to Close Week and Trump Rankles, Volatility to Return
We are heading out of what is historically one of the quietest trading periods of the year into what is statistically the most active. In the meantime, all the systemic fears continue to circulate.
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Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100, CAC 40 Technical Forecasts
The Dow Jones, DAX 30 and CAC 40 will look to extend their recent rebounds, but they must now negotiate various areas of resistance while the FTSE 100 struggles to keep pace.
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Crude Oil Prices Aim Lower Amid Trade War, Recession Fears
Crude oil prices are likely to prolong a four-month downtrend as trade war and recession fears undermine demand prospects for the cycle-sensitive commodity.
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FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: August ISM US Services Data & USDJPY Rate Forecast
US Services data is due Thursday, which could spell volatility for a variety of US Dollar crosses – including USDJPY which remains trapped within its August range.
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FX Week Ahead – Top 5 Events: September BOC Meeting & USD/CAD Rate Forecast
The Bank of Canada will steal the spotlight next Wednesday when the central bank releases its latest monetary policy update which stands to send spot USDCAD swinging.
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FX Week Ahead – Top 5 Events: September RBA Meeting & AUD/USD Rate Forecast
The Australian Dollar will likely be in focus to kick off the trading week as forex traders turn to the September RBA meeting for clues on where the Aussie might head next.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD ETF Holdings Continue to Buoy Outlook
Despite a week in which risk assets like the S&P 500 posted gains, ETF data reveals gold and silver demand remained robust, which could help to keep price afloat in the medium-term.
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VIX: Volatility Hints at Next Move in Gold, US Dollar & Stocks
What does the VIX Index, which quantifies market volatility and risk appetitive, reveal about where gold, the US Dollar and equities might head next?
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Dow Jones Forecast: Deadlocked Fund Flows Highlight Trading Range
The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq have maintained a tight trading range during August and ETF flows reveal the indecision amongst traders. Meanwhile, investors poured into corporate debt.
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