Sunday, 15 September 2019

Crude Oil Prices, NOK, Brace for Norges Bank, FOMC Rate Decisions

The Norwegian Krone and crude oil prices will be in for turbulent week ahead of an avalanche of central bank rate decisions against the backdrop of political volatility in the middle east.


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Crude Oil Price Surge Flirts with Breaking 11-Year Chart Barrier

Crude oil prices have challenged chart resistance capping gains since the 2008 global financial crisis having gapped higher after a drone strike on Saudi Arabia.


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Crude Oil Prices, NOK, CAD May Rally on Saudi Aramco Drone Strike

Crude oil prices, the Norwegian Krone and Canadian Dollar may rally after a drone struck Saudi Arabia’s Aramco oil processing facility and sparked supply-disruption fears.


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Dow Perched Just Below Record High and EURUSD Tempting Reversal

We are within reach of a remarkable shift in the underlying markets. Some benchmarks like US indices and gold are within reach substantial highs (record and six year respectively) while others like EURUSD and GBPUSD look likely they are moving into reversal. These setups may be more closely related than many may expect with the application of volatility and sentiment a determining factor in ultimate bearing ahead.


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Fed Expected to Keep Risk Appetite Running After ECB, Trade Wars

The fundamental pressure will not ease up over the coming week, but momentum behind a distinct trend is not guaranteed. Risk appetite has benefit an improved view of trade wars and the help offered by the ECB but will these themes hold through a more crowded monetary policy gauntlet in the week ahead?


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Fed Expected to Keep Risk Appetite Running After ECB, Trade Wars

The fundamental pressure will not ease up over the coming week, but momentum behind a distinct trend is not guaranteed. Risk appetite has benefit an improved view of trade wars and the help offered by the ECB but will these themes hold through a more crowded monetary policy gauntlet in the week ahead?


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S&P 500 & DAX Fundamental Forecast

A strong week for equity markets as easing geopolitical (US/Iran) and trade (US/China) tensions support risk sentiment, and not to forget open-ended QE from the ECB to provide a helping hand.


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Saturday, 14 September 2019

Crude Oil Prices Weigh Short-Term Vs Long-Term Breakout

US crude oil prices put in for their biggest one-week drop since mid-July through Friday but that doesn’t translate into much progress in trend terms. A near-term breakout may take this coming week, but it will still be in a large range.


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Euro Weekly Outlook: EURUSD Price May Struggle Against Increased Headwinds

The ECB cut rates and re-booted QE Thursday, but the single currency ended the day higher across the board. It may prove difficult for the Euro to remain at these elevated levels going forward.


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British Pound Weekly Technical Outlook: GBPUSD May Run Further

Cable has put together a decent rally off the recent low, and there may be more to come in the week ahead with eyes on a couple of long-term trend targets.


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Gold Prices at Risk if the FOMC, Powell Underwhelm Dovish Markets

Gold prices may fall as a monetary policy announcement from the Federal Reserve underwhelms financial markets’ ultra-dovish interest rate path outlook.


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Australian Dollar Price Forecast: AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, EUR/AUD

The Australian Dollar technical backdrop has become less sanguine as price action shows signs of stalling. Where might AUDUSD, AUDJPY and EURAUD head next?


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US Dollar Outlook Hinges on Fed Rate Decision & Forward Guidance

The Federal Reserve meeting is likely to influence the near-term outlook for the US Dollar as the central bank is widely expected to deliver another 25bp rate cut.


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Friday, 13 September 2019

Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100, S&P 500 Forecasts for the Week

The Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100 and S&P 500 may look to melt higher ahead of a monumental Fed meeting on Wednesday, but will past peaks look to rebuke a continuation higher?


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Crude Oil Prices May Fall on FOMC, De-Escalating Iran Risks

Crude oil prices may be under pressure if Fed Chairman Jerome Powell cools aggressive rate cut bets against the backdrop of deescalating Iran tensions – at least for now.


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Forex Economic Calendar Week Ahead: Fed Meeting, New Zealand GDP, Australia Jobs & More

Three central bank meetings are on the calendar over the coming week, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.


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Fed Decision Will Leverage Dollar, Risk and Growth Outlook Equally

This past week ends with a broad and recently-intense risk appetite bid with many benchmarks at resistance – and the Dow a breath from record highs. Fundamentals have ushered this move, but will the Fed – can it – take us to the next phase?


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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Are Investors Apprehensive About Big-Tech?

The Nasdaq has enjoyed a jog higher alongside its S&P 500 and Dow Jones counterpart this week, but investors have been apprehensive about gaining exposure via the QQQ ETF.


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Will the Yuan Weaken Further? | George Magnus | Podcast

Is China in jeopardy? Where’s the Yuan headed? And what is the chance of a recession? All this and more in our latest podcast.


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Will the Yuan Weaken Further? | George Magnus | Podcast

Is China in jeopardy? Where’s the Yuan headed? And what chance of a recession? We cover all this and more in our latest podcast.


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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...