The worst Singapore industrial production since 2010 contrasted with the improving outlook in global PMIs on US-China trade deal bets. That may come back to bite the Singapore Dollar.
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Thursday, 26 December 2019
Currencies May See Wild Swings if Slow Growth Breaks CLO Market
Currency markets may be battered by breakneck volatility if a slowdown in global economic growth triggers a collapse in the fragile market for collateralized loan obligations (CLOs).
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Top 5 Most Market Moving Grey Swans to Watch for 2020
There are events for which an intense impact is still a possibility but for which their occurrence is at least a possible blip on the radar. These are ‘Grey Swans’ and these are my top five for 2020.
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Top Trading Lessons: Technicals Hold All the Weight, Not the Click-Bait
Heading into the start of 2019, the news headlines and financial publications would have had you thinking the UK economy was going into a tailspin with many calling for parity on GBP/USD as concern...
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Currencies May See Wild Swings if Slow Growth Breaks CLO Market
Currency markets may be battered by breakneck volatility if a slowdown in global economic growth triggers a collapse in the fragile market for collateralized loan obligations (CLOs).
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Australian Dollar Steady as China Industrial Profits Return To Growth
The Australan Dollar rose only slightly in a holiday-thinned market on news that Chinese industrial fortunes managed to bounce back last month.
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Australian Dollar May Rise as AUD/USD, AUD/JPY Rates Eye Breakout
The Australian Dollar may rise as AUD/USD and AUD/JPY face major technical breakouts after the S&P 500 gained and Amazon reported “record-breaking” holiday sales in thin trade.
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Historical Volatility: A Timeline of the Biggest Volatility Cycles
Past periods of volatility set historical precedence for traders navigating the markets today. Discover the biggest volatility cycles and spikes ever witnessed.
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Gold Bulls Search for Low/Uptrend Resumption
Heading into the start of Q4 we noted that while the broader outlook remains constructive, seasonal tendencies do not favor gold in the fourth quarter and the advance is vulnerable heading into Oct...
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Japanese Yen Pressured as Big Problems Seem to Fade
The Japanese Yen sails into a new quarter and indeed a new year with some clear difficulties, at least if you’d like to be a bull. Will they last?
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Wednesday, 25 December 2019
AUD/USD Bottom Lacks Confirmation into 2020
AUD/USD managed to recover about 1.6 to 1.8 percent in the last three months of 2019. While this might have been the best quarter since Q3 2017, it certainly was not the most exciting.
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Top Trading Lessons: The Critical Task of Learning to Lose Gracefully
This did require more time and effort on my part when I planned out trades, but it ultimately saved me from larger-than-expected losses.
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Stock Market 2020 Forecast: Stocks to Round Out 2019 at Record Levels, Where to Next?
The fourth quarter saw global equity markets roar high as some key headwinds were put on pause and investors seized the opportunity to bid stocks higher. Can they continue the rally in 2020?
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Top Trading Lessons: Remember the Basis of Your Trade
Remember why you entered the position in the first place: Listen to your analysis and stay true to your trading style and typical timeframe.
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Top Trading Lessons: Not Letting My Profits Run to Target
While taking a profit is not wrong, the reason that I cut these positions certainly was wrong as I did not let my trade play out.
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Top Trading Lessons: Trust Your Fundamental Analysis and Ignore the FOMO
This year taught me a valuable trading lesson: trust your fundamental analysis and ignore the insidious pull of FOMO.
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Top Trading Lessons: Make the Plan, Trade the Plan; Don’t Succumb to Paralysis by Analysis
The traders that were able to successfully navigate the tempestuous market environment were those that were ruthless practitioners of basic risk management principles.
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Top Trading Lessons: Global Markets Aren't a Two Player Game
How often do you catch yourself referring to trades or analysis as an effort to 'beat the market'? For myself, the answer is far too often given the fallacy in logic that it can represent.
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Top Trading Lessons: Rely on Price Action When Fundamentals Don’t Make Sense
Major developments coming out of the US swayed the financial markets throughout 2019 as the Federal Reserve delivered three consecutive rate cuts in response to the shift in trade policy.
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CRUDE OIL FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST: Q1 2020
Crude Oil May Rise on Easing Trade War Risks, OPEC Supply Cuts
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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Fundamentals can seem overwhelming, but identifying and isolating the key driver behind a currnecy or capital can help refine our evaluation...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....