Top Trade Idea 2020: Long EUR/JPY – Chart Suggests a Bullish Set-up in the Making

My forex-pair to watch for a longer-term set-up in 2020 is long EUR/JPY with the charts currently suggesting that the heavy sell-off initiated at the start of 2018 is finally breaking down.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Short EUR/GBP – Sterling to Rise as Brexit Uncertainty Fades After UK Election

The election of a clear majority government in the UK after years of Brexit deadlock won't make all the nation's considerable economic and social difficulties disappear but it does remove uncertain...

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US Dollar Gyrates after Consumer Confidence Miss

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index printed a reading of 126.5 for December, missing expectations of 128.2 as the short -term outlook for income and labor market conditions decrease

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Long Equities and USD/SEK, Then Short AUD/JPY on Political Risk

In 2020's adolescence, markets may continue to rejoice on ethereal optimism of improving fundamentals and US-China trade relations, but that may turn sour as the year progresses

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GBP Forecast 1Q-2020: Sterling Eyes New Brexit Deadline

The final quarter of the decade for the Pound has been its best, with the currency gaining 6.6% against the US Dollar.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Global Recession? Take the Under: Long Crude Oil, Long CAD/JPY

One of the most popular calls in the second half of 2019 was that the global economy, led by the US, was moving towards a recession.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Short USD/JPY Below 6-Year Wedge

We start off this new trading year with an unmistakable speculative appetite that has pushed certain benchmarks of 'risk' - like the Dow and S&P 500 - to record highs.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Short AUD/USD, Ranging USD/CAD

The AUD/USD rebound following the 2019 currency market flash-crash has been capped by the 200-Day SMA (0.6909), with the exchange rate staging multiple failed attempts to break/close above the movi...

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China-Sweden Tensions Flare Up: Another Trade War in 2020?

While Sino-US trade jitters are temporarily abating, China-Swedish trade tensions are rising as a part of a political contagion of growing economic hostilities between nations across the world.

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Crude Oil Prices Hold Close to 3-Month Highs On US-China Trade Hopes

Crude oil markets have been notably short of holiday season profit-taking which suggests that some investors see further upside as 2020 starts

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Bullish AUD/USD Behavior to Persist as RSI Pushes Into Overbought Zone

Recent developments in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) cast a bullish outlook for AUD/USD as the oscillator pushes into overbought territory.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: USD/MXN Set Up for a Volatility Breakout; Good Omen for Dollar, FX Vol

USD/MXN is setting itself for a major breakout in volatility, and of course with it a large price moves once the breakout sorts itself out, clean or not.

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Why Markets Will be Closely Watching US Housing Data in 2020

Housing data may be more heavily scrutinized in 2020 as softer global growth places more stress on the consumer to keep the American economy afloat.

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Top 5 Most Market Moving Grey Swans to Watch for 2020

There are events for which an intense impact is still a possibility but for which their occurrence is at least a possible blip on the radar. These are ‘Grey Swans’ and these are my top five for 2020.

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EUR Forecast 1Q-2020: Weakness Likely to Persist in Early 2020 Before Rallying Later in The Year

The persistent weakness of the Euro against the US Dollar, which began in late September 2018, will likely persist in the first few months of 2020 although a rally could follow as the US Presidenti...

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Gold Price Clears November High as RSI Sits in Overbought Territory

The price of gold clears the November high ($1516) and recent developments in the RSI instill a bullish outlook for bullion as the oscillator sits in overbought territory.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Long NOKSEK – Seasonal Trends Remain Prominent

As has typically been the case over the past 5-years price action in NOK/SEK has been typically characterized by selling into the yearend before posting a notable rebound in Q1.

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Australian Dollar Up as China Manufacturing PMI Hangs On Above 50

The Australian Dollar continued to gain on a holiday-hit Tuesday as official data showed that China’s nascent manufacturing expansion lasted another month.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Long Gold as Central Banks Remain Accommodative and Inflation Rebounds

The performance of gold was quite solid in the first half of 2019 and even outpaced the rally in major equity indices like the Dow Jones for part of the year.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Short EUR/CHF, EUR/JPY as Eurozone Economy Suffers from Impact of Brexit

Looking back at the forecasts made a year ago by the DailyFX analysts, I was struck by the fact that four of us were bearish the Euro: two against the Japanese Yen and one against the Canadian Doll...

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