Thursday, 15 October 2020

Central Bank Watch: BOC, RBA, & RBNZ Rate Expectations; AUD, CAD, NZD Positioning Update

It looks increasingly like that the RBNZ will move to negative interest rates in 2021. Meanwhile, the RBA may be ready to move again this year.

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British Pound Price Forecast: GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, EUR/GBP

GBP/USD may be brewing up a bear flag formation but nonetheless, there may be greener pastures elsewhere for GBP traders.

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How Will Markets React to the 2020 Election?

A second term of Trump or a first term of Biden could have significantly divergent outcomes for the U.S. economy and global financial markets.

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Euro Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Confined to Fibonacci Support Amid Economic Woes

EUR/USD tests Fibonacci Support as a Bearish flag formation threatens bulls

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Mexican Peso Outlook - US Dollar Strength Driving USD/MXN Higher

A resurgent US dollar is supporting a move higher in USD/MXN and a fresh two-month peak is not out of the question if bullish USD sentiment remains.

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DAX, S&P 500 Forecast: Resurgence in COVID Cases Fuels Sell Off

A sea of red across equity markets as resurgence in COVID cases prompt renewed lockdown measures.

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British Pound (GBP) Latest: EU Leaders' Meeting to Determine Next Move in GBP/USD, FTSE

EU leaders start a two-day European Council meeting today, with the EU-UK relationship post-Brexit on the agenda. The outcome will likely determine the next big moves in GBP/USD and the FTSE 100.

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US Dollar Outlook: DXY Struggles as Fed Calls for Fiscal Stimulus

The US Dollar Index (DXY) could rebound on disappointing US jobless claims data as the Federal Reserve pleads for additional fiscal support.

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Gold Prices May Rise as Trump, Biden Talk Up Stimulus

Gold prices may rise while the US Dollar falls as US President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden talk up their fiscal stimulus plans.

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Wednesday, 14 October 2020

EUR/USD Rebound Takes Shape Amid Failure to Test Monthly Low

EUR/USD may continue to retrace the decline from the yearly high (1.2011) as the exchange rate appears to be reversing course ahead of the monthly low (1.1696).

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Bitcoin Outlook Buoyed by Inflation Expectations, Biden Lead

Bitcoin prices may continue to track higher on the back of Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s lead in the polls and rising inflation expectations.

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S&P 500 Falls With Stimulus Hopes, ASX 200 Gains as RBA Touts Easing

Wall Street stocks fell a second day on stalling fiscal stimulus efforts, which overshadowed strong corporate earnings. Australia’s ASX 200 index surged after the RBA hinted at more easings.

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British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD Easing Further After Tuesday's Losses

GBP/USD is extending its Tuesday losses caused largely by stalled vaccine trials and a lack of agreement on a US stimulus package that have both helped lift the safe-haven US Dollar.

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EU Stoxx 50 Index at Risk as Europe Tightens Covid-19 Restrictions

Europe’s benchmark EU Stoxx 50 index is at risk of reversing lower as a record increase in coronavirus infections threatens to upend the Euro-zone’s economic recovery.

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Crude Oil Struggles to Hold Gains as Fiscal Talks Stall, Dollar Strengthens

WTI crude oil prices erased earlier gains on Wednesday and consolidated at around US$ 40.00 amid souring market sentiment. A stalling fiscal stimulus effort and rising US Dollar weighed.

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Gold Price Consolidation Brings Monthly Low on the Radar

Failure to test the monthly low ($1873) may set the stage for a larger recovery as the price for gold clears the opening range for October.

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Tuesday, 13 October 2020

Dow Jones Falls, SGD Gained on MAS Policy, Hang Seng Eyes Xi's Speech

The Dow Jones retreated from a six-week high despite big US banks posting solid earnings. Singapore’s GDP missed estimates; monetary policy stayed on par. Xi’s Shenzhen speech is in focus today.

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Will Trade Wars Persist After the US Election?

What will the global economy and international trade regime look like under a Trump or Biden administration and how will that impact foreign exchange markets?

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USD/CAD Bullish Outside Day Price Formation Indicates Larger Rebound

USD/CAD may trade within a more defined range as the bullish outside day (engulfing) candle formation points to a larger rebound in the exchange rate.

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GBP/USD, EUR/USD, DXY: Charts & Technical Analysis

Cable chart is titled bullishly, Euro tentatively so, while the DXY works its way back towards a major long-term test.

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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...