Saturday, 2 January 2021

USD 1Q Forecast: US Dollar Breaks Multi-year Trend Support – Looking for a Low

One of the most significant technical reactions this past year was in the US Dollar Index.

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Friday, 1 January 2021

USD/SGD 1Q Forecast: US Dollar at Risk to Singapore Dollar Amid Hunt for Yield in Emerging Markets

The Singapore Dollar may continue its advance against the US Dollar in 2021 as capital keeps flowing into Emerging Markets.

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CAD/CHF 1Q Forecast: Long CAD/CHF – A Combination of Risk Trends and Positioning

As the global economic outlook improves with pent up demand supporting growth, risks are tilted to the upside for oil prices, which in turn is likely to keep the Canadian Dollar afloat, particularl...

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GBP/NZD 1Q Forecast: Long GBP/NZD as Competing Sterling and Kiwi Climb Shifts in 2021

On the NZD side, the good news of a potential global economic revival has been largely priced in to the markets already. On the GBP side, there is scope for the UK economy to perform better than wi...

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USD/JPY 1Q Forecast: Can the BoJ Keep Up With the Breakneck Pace of the FOMC?

With Shinzo Abe now no longer leading Japan, can Abenomic-fueled Yen losses remain?

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Stock Market 1Q 2021 Forecast: Equity Markets to Enjoy Continued Economic Recovery, Loose Monetary Policy

Equity markets look to enter 2021 near record levels despite soaring coronavirus cases and sweeping lockdowns. Can stocks push higher with the help of a vaccine and government stimulus?

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Gold 1Q 2021 Forecast: Gold Outlook Bullish Headed into First Quarter, with Caveats

While the 1Q’21 gold price outlook is bullish, there are some caveats – mainly, that gold may not be the best performing metal, precious or otherwise.

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Japanese Yen Fundamental Forecast 1Q 2021: a Haven When Few Want it

The anti-risk Japanese Yen is vulnerable heading into the first quarter as global stimulus continues to cool market volatility, boosting stocks. What are risks that may end up boosting JPY?

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Sterling Q1 2021 Forecast: GBP/USD Closing a Tumultous Year on the Front Foot

Sterling’s technical analysis has played second fiddle to overarching fundamentals in the past year, but that may change in the first quarter of 2021.

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Euro 1Q 2021 Forecast: Can the ECB Curb the Euro's Strength?

The European Central Bank has made clear that it does not want to see EUR/USD above the 1.20 mark, once seen as its ‘line in the sand’ for the pair. But it’s hard to see what it can do about it.

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Thursday, 31 December 2020

Crude Oil 1Q 2021 Forecast: Covid to Clash with Vaccine Rollout

Crude oil prices soared these last two months largely thanks to improving global GDP growth outlook, but the commodity could face hurdles headed into 2021 as covid clashes with vaccine rollouts.

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Sterling Q1 2021 Forecast: Starting to Look a Better Prospect

The first quarter of 2021 looks set to be an intriguing, and volatile, three months for sterling-denominated assets and traders

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US Dollar 1Q 2021 Forecast: Safe Haven Status Versus Fading Growth Position

The US Dollar has put in for the worst performance of the G10 currencies through the final quarter of 2020. Facing an even deeper slide after recent critical technical breaks can relative growth or...

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As a New Retail Trader Age Rises, Heed Tales of Past Manias

In spring 2020, the temporary closures of professional sports leagues during the initial coronavirus pandemic lockdown anointed a new class of retail traders in financial markets.

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Rand Dollar Forecast: USD/ZAR Dances Sideways into the New Year

South Africa’s economic recovery appears dismal as restrictions weigh on the ZAR

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FOMC Voting Changes Sees Slightly More Dovish Fed for 2021

A look at the FOMC’s response to the coronavirus crisis and the change in voting rate-setters for 2021

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Bitcoin (BTC) Latest: BTC/USD at Record High, Takes Aim at 30,000

The Bitcoin price rose again in early European business Thursday, hitting a record high above $29,000 and in a good position to reach $30,000 soon.

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Wednesday, 30 December 2020

British Pound Aiming Higher as UK Lawmakers Approve Brexit Trade Deal

The British Pound may continue outperforming its haven-associated counterparts as UK lawmakers ratify the post-Brexit trade deal with the EU and regulators approve AstraZeneca’s Covid-19 vaccine.

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Gold Price Outlook: Falling Real Yields, USD Weakness to Buoy XAU/USD

Gold prices may continue to push higher in the coming weeks on the back of falling real yields, rising inflation expectations and the possibility of additional fiscal support in 2021.

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New Zealand Dollar Outlook: NZD/USD Bulls Push Kiwi to Fresh Multi-Year Highs

The New Zealand Dollar gained versus the Greenback on Wednesday as the US Dollar slid lower. Meanwhile, upcoming Chinese PMI data may drive sentiment after Wall Street pushed higher in thin, low vo...

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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...