CAD/JPY 1Q Forecast: Long CAD/JPY - Time to Start Mending the Global Economy

A long CAD/JPY trade hopefully benefits from the nascent economic recovery. I’m looking for both sides of the FX-pair to perform with the Canadian dollar appreciating alongside an uplift in the pri...

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EUR/USD 1Q Forecast: US Dollar May Rebound vs. Euro as Fed, ECB Policies Diverge

One major central bank unlikely to pace the Fed is the ECB. A yawning gap between US and Eurozone breakeven rates underscores this, suggesting that the Euro may turn lower as the global monetary po...

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JPY 1Q Forecasts: Range USD/JPY 7-Year Wedge, Bullish GBP/JPY Post-Brexit Break

Looking into 2021, I’m interested in the gravity of USD/JPY’s range and the contrast for multiple scenarios to a GBP/JPY climb.

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USD/CAD 1Q Forecast: Short USD/CAD Amid a Recovering Global Economy and Dovish Fed

As economies continued to regain their footing, the US Dollar lost much of its luster as the Federal Reserve looks to stand firm on its accommodative policy stance into 2023. On the other hand, the...

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NZD/USD 1Q Forecast: Long NZD/USD as RBNZ Rhetoric Improves

The New Zealand Dollar has been the best performing currency towards the end of the year, appreciating 6.8% against the US Dollar in November alone. I expect this appreciation to continue into the ...

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1Q Forecasts: Vaccines Mean Hope Springs Eternal - Long MXN/JPY, Long Copper (XCU/USD), Long RUT & NDX

In this low interest rate world with pent up aggregate demand and significant slack in the world’s major economies, there is ample room for growth. If growth is the story of 2021, the underperforme...

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USD 1Q Forecast: US Dollar Breaks Multi-year Trend Support – Looking for a Low

One of the most significant technical reactions this past year was in the US Dollar Index.

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USD/SGD 1Q Forecast: US Dollar at Risk to Singapore Dollar Amid Hunt for Yield in Emerging Markets

The Singapore Dollar may continue its advance against the US Dollar in 2021 as capital keeps flowing into Emerging Markets.

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CAD/CHF 1Q Forecast: Long CAD/CHF – A Combination of Risk Trends and Positioning

As the global economic outlook improves with pent up demand supporting growth, risks are tilted to the upside for oil prices, which in turn is likely to keep the Canadian Dollar afloat, particularl...

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GBP/NZD 1Q Forecast: Long GBP/NZD as Competing Sterling and Kiwi Climb Shifts in 2021

On the NZD side, the good news of a potential global economic revival has been largely priced in to the markets already. On the GBP side, there is scope for the UK economy to perform better than wi...

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USD/JPY 1Q Forecast: Can the BoJ Keep Up With the Breakneck Pace of the FOMC?

With Shinzo Abe now no longer leading Japan, can Abenomic-fueled Yen losses remain?

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Stock Market 1Q 2021 Forecast: Equity Markets to Enjoy Continued Economic Recovery, Loose Monetary Policy

Equity markets look to enter 2021 near record levels despite soaring coronavirus cases and sweeping lockdowns. Can stocks push higher with the help of a vaccine and government stimulus?

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Gold 1Q 2021 Forecast: Gold Outlook Bullish Headed into First Quarter, with Caveats

While the 1Q’21 gold price outlook is bullish, there are some caveats – mainly, that gold may not be the best performing metal, precious or otherwise.

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Japanese Yen Fundamental Forecast 1Q 2021: a Haven When Few Want it

The anti-risk Japanese Yen is vulnerable heading into the first quarter as global stimulus continues to cool market volatility, boosting stocks. What are risks that may end up boosting JPY?

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Sterling Q1 2021 Forecast: GBP/USD Closing a Tumultous Year on the Front Foot

Sterling’s technical analysis has played second fiddle to overarching fundamentals in the past year, but that may change in the first quarter of 2021.

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Euro 1Q 2021 Forecast: Can the ECB Curb the Euro's Strength?

The European Central Bank has made clear that it does not want to see EUR/USD above the 1.20 mark, once seen as its ‘line in the sand’ for the pair. But it’s hard to see what it can do about it.

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Crude Oil 1Q 2021 Forecast: Covid to Clash with Vaccine Rollout

Crude oil prices soared these last two months largely thanks to improving global GDP growth outlook, but the commodity could face hurdles headed into 2021 as covid clashes with vaccine rollouts.

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Sterling Q1 2021 Forecast: Starting to Look a Better Prospect

The first quarter of 2021 looks set to be an intriguing, and volatile, three months for sterling-denominated assets and traders

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US Dollar 1Q 2021 Forecast: Safe Haven Status Versus Fading Growth Position

The US Dollar has put in for the worst performance of the G10 currencies through the final quarter of 2020. Facing an even deeper slide after recent critical technical breaks can relative growth or...

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As a New Retail Trader Age Rises, Heed Tales of Past Manias

In spring 2020, the temporary closures of professional sports leagues during the initial coronavirus pandemic lockdown anointed a new class of retail traders in financial markets.

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