Monday, 29 March 2021

FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: Biden Stimulus Speech; China Manufacturing PMI; UK GDP; US Manufacturing PMI; US NFP

The economic calendar has a distinct US-focus as the calendar turns from March to April, and from 1Q’21 to 2Q’21.

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EUR/USD Remains Vulnerable as ECB Continues to Widen Pace of PEPP

The update to the Euro Area’s CPI may do little to influence EUR/USD as the ECB continues to ramp up the pace of the pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP).

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US Dollar Bulls vs CHF in Control as Golden Cross Nears

USD/CHF bulls remain in control, while golden cross signals upside could persist.

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Rand Dollar (USD/ZAR) Tests Key Levels as Risk Sentiment Waivers

USD/ZAR breaks above 15.00 but bears refuse to surrender

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Markets Week Ahead: Nasdaq 100, US Dollar, Gold, Crude Oil, Fed Ends SLR Exemption, NFPs

Wall Street pulled off a recovery into the weekend as equities in parts of the Asia Pacific region wobbled. The US Dollar appears to be regaining upside momentum, leaving gold and crude oil at risk...

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Archegos Capital Management Latest - Lenders Warn of Significant Losses

US hedge fund Archegos Capital Management is said to have been forced to liquidate several large blocks of stock last week to meet mounting margin calls

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USD Shorts Squeezed, Heavy Selling in JPY & NZD, GBP Longs Slashed - COT Report

Japanese Yen Net Short at Pre-Pandemic Levels. USD Shorts Squeezed, While NZD Sees Heavy Selling

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British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD Pushing Ahead on Vaccine Cheer

The British Pound is treading water against the US dollar as the bank-holiday shortened week opens with the market still underpinned by the ongoing success of the UK vaccination program

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Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100 Hampered by Tax-Hike Talks, Archegos Block Sales

The forced liquidation of billions of dollars’ worth of US shares, and talk of tax hikes from the Biden administration may gnaw at market sentiment and weigh on US benchmark indices in the week ahead.

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Crude Oil, Gold Prices Down as Block Trade Drama Boosts US Dollar

Crude oil and gold prices are under pressure as big-splash liquidation at US fund Archegos Capital Managementspooks the markets and boosts the US Dollar.

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Sunday, 28 March 2021

How to Trade the Impact of Politics on Global Financial Markets

In a slowing global economy, the threat of geopolitical risks destabilizing global growth are elevated and open the door to violent volatility – and trading opportunities.

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US Dollar May Still Have Edge as Emerging Markets Underperform Ahead of NFPs

The US Dollar gained against most ASEAN currencies amid volatility in Chinese and Emerging Market equities. Ahead, USD/SGD and USD/THB are eyeing NFPs as the Fed ends SLR exemptions.

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Silver Price Forecast: Biden Infrastructure Plan May Direct XAG/USD Higher

Silver investors will be watching this week's infrastructure plan announcement from US President Biden. The massive spending bill may rapidly push up inflation expectations and perhaps silver with it.

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How to Short Sell a Stock When Trading Falling Markets

Short selling is a great way to trade on a falling market. Learn how to short stocks

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Implied Volatility: What is it & Why Should Traders Care?

Implied volatility, synonymous with expected volatility, is a variable that shows the degree of movement expected for a given market or security.

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S&P 500 May Face Volatility Into Quarter End, But Momentum Favors Upside

The S&P 500 appears primed to continue higher, even as unusual activity on Friday worried traders. Moreover, quarter-end rebalancing may heighten volatility.

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Markets Week Ahead: Nasdaq 100, US Dollar, Gold, Crude Oil, Fed Ends SLR Exemption, NFPs

Wall Street pulled off a recovery into the weekend as equities in parts of the Asia Pacific region wobbled. The US Dollar appears to be regaining upside momentum, leaving gold and crude oil at risk...

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Will Dow Jones Continue to Outperform Nasdaq 100 on Reflation Optimism?

Reflation optimism and vaccine rollouts led to a rotation from tech into cyclical sectors, boosting the Dow Jones Industrial Average while pulling down the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100. Will this trend be...

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Saturday, 27 March 2021

USD/MXN Outlook: Should Banxico Keep Rates Steady or React to Inflation?

Money markets are pricing in two possible rate hikes in 2021 as Mexico sees soaring inflation.

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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Outlook Bleak on Lockdowns, Third Wave Fears

EUR/USD is sure to bounce back at some time but for now it’s hard to see anything but further losses as the EU struggles with a third wave of Covid-19 infections and more lockdowns.

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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...