The ISM Services Report for March hit a new pandemic high at 63.7 versus a forecast of 59.0, marking a strong month for the services sector.
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Monday, 5 April 2021
Oil Price Susceptible to Rise in US Output Following OPEC JMMC Meeting
A further rise in US crude output may drag on the price of oil as OPEC and its allies are on track to gradually reverse the production cuts in response to COVID-19.
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Trouble for EUR/CAD, EUR/NOK: Q2 Top Trading Opportunities
The Euro has lost a significant amount of ground against the commodity-sensitive Norwegian Krone and Canadian Dollar in the first quarter of 2021. These losses appear to stem from the divergence in...
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Equities Q2 2021 Fundamental Forecast
The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 enjoyed an encouraging start to the year before stumbling into the second quarter.
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Short EUR/JPY - Q2 Top Trading Opportunities
Putting together a weak Euro with a stronger Yen, there is plenty of scope for EUR/JPY to weaken if you think the recovery will be rather bumpier than current market pricing implies.
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Sunday, 4 April 2021
Gold, Crude Oil Price Outlook: Market Digests Strong NFP and Higher Yields
Gold prices retreated on Monday as a robust US nonfarm payrolls report boosted longer-dated Treasury yields. Crude oil prices slid modestly as Saudi Arabia raised prices for oil exports to Asia.
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Dow to Outperform vs. Nasdaq if Inflation Fears Force Fed Rethink
The Dow Jones Industrial Average of blue-chip stocks is likely to outperform the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 if worries about inflation force the Fed to trim stimulus sooner than expected.
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Natural Gas Outlook: Colder Weather, Technical Support to Guide Prices Higher?
Natural gas moved lower in March following an upbeat February performance. Now, between two key moving averages, a colder weather outlook in the US may help guide prices higher.
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How to Manage the Emotions of Trading
Controlling emotions while trading can prove to be the difference between success and failure.
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Why a Rise in Retail Trading May Signal Another Mania
The Fed and government’s support has altered how Americans think of saving versus investing. This is acting to kindle ‘animal spirits,’ in every sense of the Keynesian fashion.
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Dow Jones, APAC Stocks Week Ahead: Markets May Extends Higher on Strong NFP
Wall Street equity futures kicked off the week on strong footing, as the US nonfarm payrolls data beat market expectations by a wide margin. Asia Pacific equities look set to ride this tailwind and...
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Oil Q2 2021 Technical Forecast
After an impressive start to 2021, the oil forecast for the second quarter of the year is lacking an overly optimistic tone given a weaker picture for demand and stronger growth in rival supply, as...
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Short EUR/AUD: Q2 Top Trading Opportunities
The Australian economy’s recovery has outperformed the EU’s own post-pandemic revival. This is likely to continue. The economic disparity may even accelerate if the EU continues to fumble its vacci...
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JPY Q2 2021 Fundamental Forecast
As anticipated, the Japanese Yen started off the new year on a sour note.
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USD/CHF Primed for Topside: Q2 Top Trading Opportunities
Even if the Fed does not hike rates anytime soon, a disparity will exist in the rate policy between the two economies, and this can continue to support the topside of USD/CHF.
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Short EUR/MXN: Q2 Top Trading Opportunities
I’m short EUR/MXN in the second quarter, given the Euro’s resilience against EM currencies in the last 6 months, despite risk-on appetite bringing them back from March 2020 lows.
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AUD Q2 2021 Technical Forecast
Heading into 2021, our ‘bottom line’ on the Aussie technicals noted, “the Australian Dollar price rally has matured with an advance of more than 37% off the yearly lows risking topside exhaustion i...
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Short USD/JPY, Long USD/CNH: Q2 Top Trading Opportunities
If risk aversion sidles in, it would likely see USD/JPY decline. After a pandemic-based hiatus, the US and China seem to be picking back up their multi-faceted dispute which steers back to economic...
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Saturday, 3 April 2021
Gold Q2 2021 Fundamental Forecast
The Biden administration’s first stimulus package brought forth a jump in both nominal US Treasury yields and inflation expectations, the net-result of which was rising real US yields.
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ZAR Strength May Soon Dissipate: Q2 Top Trading Opportunities
With markets starting to digest the U.S. stimulus package as well as Europe’s PEPP program, it may be time for these two major currencies to begin to recover against the ZAR.
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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AUD prices remain hesitant ahead of the FOMC announcement later today. US PPI will also contribute to recent economic data. from DailyFX -...
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British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD Nudges Higher, FTSE 100 Picks-Up as President Trump Takes ActionThe British Pound is registering small opening gains and the FTSE 100 is nudging higher after US President Trump announced new COVID-19 aid ...