Sunday, 3 October 2021

Japanese Yen Q4 Fundamental Forecast: USD/JPY Likely Remains Skewed Higher

The Japanese Yen wrapped up a fairly steady third quarter, but likely remains vulnerable against the US Dollar heading into the end of 2021. Will a less-dovish Fed push USD/JPY higher?

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Saturday, 2 October 2021

US Dollar Q4 Fundamental Forecast: Dollar Outlook Firms as Global Risk Trends Cool and Yields Rise

The Dollar has attempted a serious bullish break in the transition from the third to fourth quarter of 2021. With Fed rate forecasts charged and risk trends wavering, what is in store for the Green...

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British Pound Q4 Forecast: Preparing the Ground for Interest Rate Hikes

The fourth quarter of 2021 will likely see the Bank of England start talking about interest rate hikes as early as the beginning of next year, boosting the attraction of Sterling.

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Gold Q4 Fundamental Forecast: Outlook Continues to Weaken

The forecast for rising real US yields has only improved, leaving gold prices in difficult territory for the rest of the year.

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Friday, 1 October 2021

Australian Dollar Q4 Fundamental Forecast: AUD/USD Has Hurdles that Could be Overcome

The Australian Dollar made a new low for the year in the third quarter as external factors hampered the outlook. Will the risk environment continue to weigh the AUD/USD down?

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Equities Q4 Fundamental Forecast: Short-Term Uncertainties But Longer-Term Fortunes

Throughout the third quarter, there had been somewhat of a reversal in the reflation trade as concerns over the peak in the global growth lingered, alongside the continued spread of the Delta variant.

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Return to Normalcy Harkens Shift in Retail Trading Era

It stands to reason that as we persist in a lower volatility environment, which incidentally may be good for a steady float higher in US equity prices, could also see the level of interest among re...

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US Dollar Price Action Setups for Q4: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

The US Dollar is coming into Q4 after a fresh breakout to a new yearly high. Can USD bulls keep up the move as we head towards a possible taper announcement in November?

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Euro Q4 Fundamental Forecast: More Euro Weakness Likely Lies Ahead

The ECB, and by extension the Euro, faces the unenviable combination in Q4 of weakening economic growth and above-target inflation.

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USD/JPY Correction Takes Shape amid Failure to Test 2020 High

USD/JPY may face a larger pullback during the first full week of October amid the failed attempt to test the 2020 high (112.23).

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SPX (S&P 500) Confirms the Largest Monthly Sell-off Since March 2020

Historically, US equities tend to fall in September but there are a number of risks on the horizon threatening to extend losses.

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US Dollar Muted on PCE, But Watch Out for ISM Risk

USD reaction muted amid in-line PCE. Eyes on ISM

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) Rally Into Q4 on Positive Sentiment

The cryptocurrency market has started the final quarter of the year on a positive note and there may be more gains to come in the next 3 months.

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Dollar Index (DXY), Natural Gas (LNG) & Nasdaq (U.S. Tech) – FinTwit Trends to Watch

Entering Q4, Fintwit is at its peak with markets extended on many fronts. The dollar makes headlines, natural gas prices continue to rise and U.S. tech stocks disappoint.

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Eurozone CPI: Euro CPI Reflects ‘Wall of Worry’ over Energy Prices

Core Inflation for the Eurozone comes in at 1.9% with the Inflation (YoY) rate rising to 3.4%

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Crude Oil Prices Torn Between Supply Fears, Grim Market Mood

Crude oil prices struggle for direction at four-month highs as fears of a global supply squeeze compete for influence with a broadly risk-off backdrop. US PCE and ISM data due ahead.

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US Dollar Holds Gains Ahead of PCE, Consumer Confidence, and ISM Data

The US Dollar should start supported around yearly highs if markets remain confident the Fed will tighten monetary policy

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S&P 500 Technical Damage Amid Deteriorating Sentiment, USD/JPY Slides

S&P 500 closes below key support for first time in a year. USD/JPY slides post quarter-end rebalancing.

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Trading Forex at the News Release

Learn how to trade forex news at the release with our top news trading strategies

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Australian Dollar Grips on to Coal Train in Risk-Off Rout. Will AUD/USD Go Lower?

The Australian Dollar tried to go higher today, but risk-off sentiment became all too pervasive and US Dollar safe-haven buying emerged. Can AUD/USD hang on?

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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...