AUD/USD is trading within a bullish Flag chart pattern as Asia-Pacific traders focus on central bank policy, the war in Ukraine and ongoing lockdowns in China.
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Sunday, 3 April 2022
Cross Asset Forecasts for Q2 2022
Cross asset fundamental and technical forecasts to prepare you for Q2 2022.
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Bitcoin Price Forecast Q2 2022: Still Not Immune from Market Risk
Q1 hasn't been easy for investors. In fact, the stock market had one of its worst starts to a year in history, rivaled by the GFC and great depression. Of course, Bitcoin as a high beta asset hasn'...
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Saturday, 2 April 2022
Short EUR/CAD: Top Trade Opportunities
The first quarter of 2022 ended with the US dollar, Australian dollar and Canadian dollar as standout performers while the Turkish Lira, Russian Ruble, Japanese Yen and the Euro were among the wors...
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Short SPX: Top Trade Opportunities
As 2021 wound to a close, the animal spirits that had become the stock market for much of the previous year were being broken. Then in Q1 the market itself broke. The recent decline was deep, but h...
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JPY Forecast Q2 2022: Will Inflation Surpass the Bank of Japan’s Target?
The anti-risk Japanese Yen put in a dismal performance during the first quarter of 2022, particularly as March wrapped up. A majors-based Japanese Yen Index that averages JPY against USD, AUD, GBP ...
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Gold Price Forecast Q2 2022: Outlook Proves Mixed
There's no two-ways about it: gold prices outperformed our expectations in Q1 22. Our rationale for not taking a bullish outlook on gold was, and still is, well-grounded: central banks, including t...
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EUR Forecast Q2 2022: A Badly Battered Euro May Find a Lifeline in Ukraine, But Can an Upswing Last?
The Euro suffered punishing losses in the first quarter of 2022. The currency is on pace to shed almost 3 percent against an average of its major counterparts, marking the worst three-month perform...
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Bearish USD/CAD: Top Trade Opportunities
Amid heightened geopolitical and fundamental risks, the safe-haven appeal of the US Dollar and the hawkish rhetoric of the Federal Reserve has allowed USD to strengthen against its major counterpar...
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Friday, 1 April 2022
Energy Stocks Look Attractive on Soaring Oil: Top Trade Opportunities
The first quarter was quite eventful for Wall Street, but the war in Eastern Europe was clearly a standout. Geopolitical tensions rattled financial markets, weighed on equities, and sparked a commo...
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AUD Forecast Q2 2022: Commodities and Central Banks in Focus
The Australian Dollar made an 18-month low in January, eclipsing the November 2020 nadir of 0.6991 by a small margin.
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Long Ethereum (ETH/USD): Top Trade Opportunities
The outlook for Ethereum, both technically and fundamentally, is starting to look rosy and this should feed through into its price over the coming quarter.
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Getting Long the Semiconductor Space via SMH: Top Trade Opportunities
Whether we blame rising rates, supply chain issues, or the war in Ukraine, the semiconductor space has seen significant downside this year with SMH down 16% to end the first quarter of trading.
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Equities Forecast Q2 2022: Fed Policy Remains the Biggest Risk for Equity Markets
A volatile first quarter for US equities, which grappled with not only an inflation-fighting Federal Reserve but also increased geopolitical tensions.
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US Dollar Forecast Q2 2022: Dollar Rate Hikes, Conversion and Safety Appeal
It is difficult to tell what role the Dollar will play in the global financial system heading into the second quarter of 2022. On the one hand, traditional risk assets have held back the tide of a ...
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Thursday, 31 March 2022
Crude Oil Forecast: WTI Price Drop Extends on US SPR Release, Brent Losses Outpace
Oil prices continue to fall on Friday during Asia-Pacific hours as traders digest the US move to release one million barrels of oil per day from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Brent prices underp...
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EUR/USD Reveres from 50-Day SMA with US NFP Report on Tap
Fresh data prints coming out of the US may drag on EUR/USD as the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is anticipated to show a further improvement in the labor market.
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NZD/USD May Fall as APAC Traders Brace for US Jobs Report
The New Zealand Dollar may fall against the US Dollar as Asia-Pacific traders brace for tonight's US jobs report. Asian equity markets may fall after US-listed Chinese tech stocks plunged overnight.
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Gold Price Forecast: Rebound Takes Shape Following Test of 50-Day SMA
The price of gold may stage a larger recovery over the coming days as it appears to be reversing course after testing the 50-Day SMA ($1896).
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Central Bank Watch: BOE & ECB Interest Rate Expectations Update
Rate hike odds have increased meaningfully for both the BOE and ECB in recent weeks.
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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Fundamentals can seem overwhelming, but identifying and isolating the key driver behind a currnecy or capital can help refine our evaluation...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....