There is plenty of fundamental trouble under the market's surface, but you wouldn't know it from the S&P 500. The benchmark index has advanced four straight sessions - there are no 5-day moves since November - but VIX was also up on the day. With US CPI on tap, will this move and the Dollar's retreat from two-decade highs find sustainable fuel?
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Monday, 12 September 2022
Crude Oil Prices Retreat Ahead of Inventory Reports as China Virus Cases Stay High
Crude oil prices are retreating after rising on Monday. China's battle against Covid remains a bearish drag despite a breakdown in talks between Tehran and Washington. US inventory reports are in focus.
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Gold Price Gains on US Dollar Weakness Ahead of US CPI. Where to for XAU/USD?
Gold has inched higher in a period of US Dollar weakness as the market assesses the prospects of the Fed's rates path ahead of today's all-important US CPI. Higher XAU/USD?
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USD/JPY Susceptible to Larger Pullback as RSI Sell Signal Emerges
Recent developments in the RSI raises the scope for a larger pullback in USD/JPY as the oscillator falls back from overbought territory to indicate a textbook sell signal.
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Dow Jones Propels Higher Before CPI, Nikkei 225 and Hang Seng Index May Follow
The Dow Jones soared ahead of the US CPI report, opening the door for the Nikkei 225 and Hang Seng Index to start Tuesday’s trading session on an upbeat.
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GBP/USD Still Pressured Despite Pullback As USD Markets Look To Fed
The pound has seen modest respite from historic lows as the market focuses on US inflation numbers and what they will mean for the Federal Reserve
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Debt to GDP Ratio by Country: State of Global Debt 2022
The COVID-19 pandemic led governments to spend massively in emergency support, forcing them to run big deficits that have resulted in historically and rising high debt.
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Euro Soars: Buoyed by Ukrainian Advance and the Mention of QT from the ECB
The euro surged higher on Monday, extending the recent bullish impetus after last weeks post-ECB low. Ukrainian counter offensive & mentions of QT support EUR for now
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Sunday, 11 September 2022
Crude Oil Drops as Hawkish Fed and ECB Erode Growth Prospects. Where to for WTI?
Crude oil prices fell on Monday as tighter monetary policy lies ahead and geo-political woes continue to plague the outlook for energy while China lockdowns roll on. Can crude recover?
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Check S&P 500 Historical Averages Against Current Issues, Dollar Wobble at Decade Highs
This past week ended with a correction to significant market moves - a rebound in risk assets led by the S&P 500 and a slip from the US Dollar pushing a multi-decade high. The expectations of historical averages will charge serious anticipation, but our current conditions can result in substantially different market developments.
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US Dollar Direction to Dictate Market Sentiment as APAC Markets Eye a Green Open
Asia-Pacific markets look set to trade higher to kick off the week after market sentiment brightened last week on a falling USD. China and central bank rate bets are in focus.
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Friday, 9 September 2022
Check S&P 500 Historical Averages Against Current Issues, Dollar Wobble at Decade Highs
This past week ended with a correction to significant market moves - a rebound in risk assets led by the S&P 500 and a slip from the US Dollar pushing a multi-decade high. The expectations of historical averages will charge serious anticipation, but our current conditions can result in substantially different market developments.
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Thursday, 8 September 2022
Chinese Yuan Weakens as Inflationary Metrics Soften, Will USD/CNH Resume Higher?
The Chinese Yuan weakened as China reported softer CPI and PPI data for August. This is opening the door to more economic stimulus. Will USD/CNH resume the broader uptrend?
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Crude Oil Price Outlook Mired by Failure to Defend August Low
Failure to defend the defend the August low ($85.73) may lead to a further decline in the price of oil as it extends the series of lower highs and lows from earlier this week.
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NZD/USD Eyes Potential Relief Rally but China CPI Data May Threaten APAC Sentiment
The New Zealand Dollar fell alongside its APAC peers during a volatile US trading session. A relief rally may be in the cards soon. APAC market sentiment may shift on China's CPI data to close out the week.
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EUR/USD Rebound Takes Shape amid Failure to Test December 2002 Low
EUR/USD appears to be reversing ahead of the December 2002 low (0.9859) as it preserves the series of higher highs and lows from earlier this week.
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S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Play Seesaw. Finish Higher
It was a grinding session in US stocks with a flurry of headlines in the morning as a Powell speech aligned with the European Central Bank’s largest rate hike.
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The Impact of US Midterm Elections on the Federal Reserve and the US Dollar
The prospect of gridlock returning to Washington, D.C. has profound implications for the Federal Reserve and the US Dollar.
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Wednesday, 7 September 2022
Crude Oil Prices May Fall as EIA Report Nears Amid China Lockdown Woes
Crude oil prices are staging a recovery in Asia-Pacific trading after a sharp drop on Wednesday amid broadening Chinese Covid lockdowns. US inventory data from the EIA is in focus.
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USD/JPY Rate Rally to Persist as RSI Holds in Overbought Territory
The overbought reading in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) likely to be accompanied by a further advance in USD/JPY like the price action from earlier this year.
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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The US Dollar soared against the Indonesian Rupiah, with USD/IDR eyeing its best month since the 1997 Asia financial crisis amid the coronav...
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The Nikkei 225 has bounced at important long-term support and staged a modest turnaround. However, its down-channel endures and will need to...