Volatility rippled through the financial system this past week with global indices tumbling and the Dollar’s rally amplified through counter-currency struggles. While conditions were still orderly through Friday, we may find financial stability at risk in the week ahead with the wrong prompts.
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Saturday, 24 September 2022
Friday, 23 September 2022
GBP/USD Slide Continues, ’Mini Budget’ Gets a Distinctly Lukewarm Welcome
The British Pound continues to languish at levels not seen since the mid-1980s as inflation and growth worries continue to glower.
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Crude Oil Update: Central Bank Hikes Weigh on Brent Ahead of Baker Hughes
Brent crude oil continues to fall as fundamental headwinds gain traction.
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Gold Price Outlook – Struggling to Make Any Headway, Further Downside Beckons
US Treasury yields have risen further over the last week as markets price in higher interest rates for longer in the US. And that's not good news for gold.
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Thursday, 22 September 2022
Australian Dollar Floored by Booming US Dollar as Rate Hikes Ricochet Through Markets?
The Australian Dollar has been hammered in the maelstrom running through markets this week as several central banks make their moves on interest rates. Will AUD/USD hit new lows?
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Japanese Yen Intervention Brings Most Volatile Day Since 2016, Where to for USD/JPY?
The Japanese Yen gained against the US Dollar as USD/JPY saw its most volatile day in over 6 years due to government intervention. What are key levels of support to watch ahead?
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Would a Louder Recession Signal Push the Dow Over the Ledge, Reverse the Dollar?
We have come through a flood of monetary policy from the Fed, BOE, BOJ and others. While the general trend is towards tightening, there is just as much disparity contributing to instability. The fallout I am most concerned over is an indeterminant recession. Our economic status is the primary fundamental focus Friday.
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US Dollar Rally Pauses as Japanese Yen Finds Respite: Asia-Pacific Outlook
Asia-Pacific markets face a risk-off day despite a US Dollar pullback driven mainly by Japanese Yen strength following an intervention in FX markets.
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S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Fall Amid Mounting Growth Concerns
U.S. equity indices continued to fall after the FOMC hiked interest rates yesterday and reaffirmed their commitment to bring inflation under control despite economic growth concerns
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USD/JPY Whipsaws Then Slumps on Official FX Intervention Reports
The Japanese Yen is whipping around in early trade against the US dollar as talk permeates the market of official currency intervention.
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Swiss National Bank Hikes by 75 Basis Points, EUR/CHF Pops Higher
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) raised interest rates by more than expected today and reiterated that rates could be raised further to ensure price stability.
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Wednesday, 21 September 2022
Japanese Yen Spikes Lower as the BOJ Holds Back FX Intervention Threat. Where to Next for USD/JPY?
The Japanese Yen spiked lower as the Bank of Japan stuck close to a familiar script with its monetary policy announcement, cooling worries about FX intervention.
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Will Dollar and Risk Assets Sift Through the Fed Decision to the Recession Warning?
The Federal Reserve pulled the trigger on a third consecutive, 75 basis point rate hike Wednesday afternoon. After considerable intraday volatility, the implications for high rates and economic troubled settled in for the Dollar and S&P 500. Will the coming wave of central bank updates emphasize the recession threat ahead?
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Gold Price Defends September Range as RSI Holds Above Oversold Zone
The price of gold may continue to defend the September range as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) appears to be reversing ahead of oversold territory.
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NZD/USD Trades at Critical Support as APAC Traders Prepare for Bank of Japan
The New Zealand Dollar is trading at a critical support level against the US Dollar after the FOMC decision. Asia-Pacific markets may fall as traders prepare for the Bank of Japan.
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SPX, Nasdaq, USD: Delayed Boom, 'Pain,' After September FOMC
It was a messy rate decision but the net response after the close of the presser is very clear.
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Fed Hikes Rates by 75 bp to Curb Inflation. What’s Next for Gold, USD & Bitcoin?
The Fed raised its benchmark rate by three-quarters of a percentage point to 3.00-3.25%, delivering the third straight 75 basis-point hike in an effort to curb strong inflationary pressures.
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Tuesday, 20 September 2022
Crude Oil Price Forecast: FOMC, Putin Speech, Inventory Data in Focus
The FOMC is in focus for crude oil traders as markets digest inventory data and prepare for a speech by Russian President Vladimir Putin.
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FOMC Decision Scenarios and Potential S&P 500, Dollar Impact
We are heading into a trading session principally defined by a heavily weighted event risk: the FOMC rate decision. Whether the central bank hikes 75 or 100 basis points matters for volatility, but the market’s course and tempo moving forward will depend heavily on the Fed’s forecasts and subsequent fundamental focus.
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USD/JPY Recovery Emerges Ahead of Federal Reserve Rate Decision
USD/JPY may continue to retrace the decline from the yearly high (144.99) as the Federal Reserve is expected to deliver another 75bp rate hike.
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