The US dollar is pushing higher ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting, leaving a range of major currencies, including Sterling, struggling in its wake.
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Wednesday, 7 December 2022
Tuesday, 6 December 2022
The US Dollar Gripped the Ascendency as Risks of Recession Swirl. Will USD go Higher?
The US Dollar held on to overnight gains as markets recalibrate risks of an economic slowdown in the West against a re-opening of China. Will the DXY index (USD) rally?
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Australian Dollar Steady Despite GDP Disappointment. Where to for AUD/USD?
The Australian Dollar was little changed in the aftermath of underwhelming third quarter domestic GDP data and revisions lower of previous quarters. Will AUD/USD sink?
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A VIX ‘Breakout’, Heavy Dollar Technicals, BOC Volatility and Recession Signals
The markets carried over greater market activity this past session with the VIX clearing its two-month descending channel and the S&P 500 extending its slide; but systemic trends will still be difficult to form from here. Yet, that doesn’t preclude volatility in ranges like the Dollar-majors or from event risk like a BOC hike.
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S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow: Key Support Zones Now in Play
The high-flying Dow has pulled back to support at a prior swing-high, and the Nasdaq is brewing a double top formation.
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USDCAD May Not Be the Most Responsive Loonie Cross to the BOC Decision
The Bank of Canada rate decision is on tap for Wednesday, and there is debate around what the central bank intends to do with its policy. USDCAD will be a focus for many monitoring this higher profile event, but there are probably more volatile Loonie crosses to follow.
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Monday, 5 December 2022
Gold Price Sinks on ISM Services Surprise, XAU/USD Bearish Technical Warning Eyed
Gold prices sank on Monday as the US Dollar gained after an unexpectedly strong ISM Services print. XAU/USD left behind a bearish Evening Star, will that spell trouble ahead?
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Japanese Yen Tumbles as US Dollar Soars, Australian Dollar Turns to the RBA Next
The Japanese Yen slumped, sending USD/JPY higher in a very rare move as the US Dollar gained and stocks dropped. Ahead, the Australian Dollar is eyeing a likely RBA rate hike.
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Dollar and Risk Asset Reversals Throw Off Anticipation of Major Tend Developments
There was some exceptional volatility last week and the hints of tentative trend developments – most notably a breakdown of the Dollar and attempted rally for US indices. Yet, those moves have abated to start the new week with data and technical levels playing a bigger role in market conviction.
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S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Trendline Resistance, 4k Support Test
The S&P 500 found resistance last week at a key spot, but is this a mere speed bump for bulls on the way to a Santa rally? Or are bears gearing up for another downside push?
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USDJPY Attempts to Pull Out of Bear Wave as Retail FX Traders Flip Net Long
The Dollar has enjoyed a broad bounce to start the week and USDJPY is one key pair that is seeing the turn work around major technical levels. There is technical precedence from earlier this year that suggests such a large jump can revive bulls – but is the prevailing trend still bullish?
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US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY
The US Dollar is starting the week with a bounce and the FOMC is in the blackout period ahead of the next rate decision.
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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Fewer Risk Events Favors EURUSD Rise
EURUSD continues to grind higher as hopes of US peak inflation adds to USD selloff. The current move higher sees little in the way of economic data to reverse course
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Currency Carry Trade: What is it and how does it work?
Learn how to calculate and implement currency carry trades in your forex trading strategy.
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Sunday, 4 December 2022
Crude Oil Forecast: EU Sets Russian Oil Price Cap at $60, OPEC+ Unchanged
Brent crude oil is trading marginally higher this Monday after the EU decided on a Russian oil price cap of $60 per barrel.
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Euro Hits a High Note Amid China Re-opening Hopes and OPEC+. Where to for EUR/USD?
The Euro has run higher after the US Dollar collapsed again today amid a strong jobs number, OPEC+ news and China potentially re-opening. Will this drive EUR/USD higher?
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Japanese Yen Technical Outlook: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Setups
The Japanese Yen has held firm against major counterparts as the safe-haven currency stabilizes around technical levels. USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY price action.
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Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, Gold, US Dollar, Crude Oil, OPEC+, AUD/USD, RBA
The Dow Jones and S&P 500 have been benefiting from dovish Fed bets. Gold soared as the US Dollar sank. Ahead, crude oil prices face the OPEC+ meeting. AUD/USD awaits the RBA.
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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Looks Poised for Further Upside, BoC Rate Decision Holds the Key
The Canadian dollar looks set to continue its recent struggles. Will the Bank of Canada spring another surprise at next week’s policy meeting?
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Saturday, 3 December 2022
Euro Weekly Outlook: EUR/USD at the Dollar’s Mercy, 1.05 Still Key
The euro was unable to hold above 1.05 after NFP data bolstered the USD ahead of a relatively quiet week.
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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Fundamentals can seem overwhelming, but identifying and isolating the key driver behind a currnecy or capital can help refine our evaluation...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....