With traders already looking ahead to next week’s all-important CPI number and FOMC decision, today’s PPI and Michigan Confidence releases should not be disregarded.
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Friday, 9 December 2022
A Guide to Trading Psychology
The psychology of trading is often overlooked but is a key part of a professional trader’s skillset.
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Crude Oil Forecast: Brent Overcome by Recessionary Pressures Despite Several Fundamental Tailwinds
Brent crude oil looks to further clarity around supply and demand factors while the USD looks to push higher ahead of FOMC next week.
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EUR/USD at Key Inflection Point Ahead of US PPI Data
EUR/USD looks to break the 1.0600 level for the second time this week. A break higher does not seem sustainable given what lies ahead next week.
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Thursday, 8 December 2022
What’s the Probability of an End of Week S&P 500 or GBPUSD Break?
We are coming to the end of the week and a bookend of notable event risk stands between us and the weekend. With the S&P 500 and Dollar based majors carving out historically narrow ranges, there is some potential for breakouts. However, look closely at the statistical ranges and think hard on the weight of the FOMC.
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Gold Prices and US Dollar Turn to PPI and Sentiment Data Before the Weekend
Gold prices marked time as the US Dollar and Treasury yields diverged on Thursday. Ahead, XAU/USD and DXY face US PPI and consumer sentiment data before the weekend.
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AUD/USD Forecast: Aussie Steady but Key 0.67 Level at Risk
AUD/USD is trading at key technical levels that may result in a weaker Aussie dollar ahead of next week’s Fed rate decision.
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Wednesday, 7 December 2022
Japanese Yen Struggles Against a US Dollar Finding Firmer Footing. Higher USD/JPY?
The Japanese Yen dipped today as GDP weighs and the US Dollar regains its ascendency with building concern for a significant slowdown next year. Where to for USD/JPY?
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Euro Bumped up by US Dollar Weakness and a GDP Beat. Where to for EUR/USD?
The Euro has steadied against the US Dollar on Thursday as the market ponders the path of Fed rate hikes and technical resistance levels remain overhead for now. Will EUR/USD rally?
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Crude Oil Price Outlook: WTI Set for Worst Week Since March? Falling Wedge in Focus
Crude oil prices are nearing a 10 percent loss this week, which would be the worst since March amid rising recession woes. WTI appears to be trading within a Falling Wedge chart pattern.
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S&P 500 and USDJPY Abide Technical Ranges Even as Volatility and Recession Fears Grow
The economic docket is thinning out, shifting the focus from imminent volatility catalysts to anticipation for the heavy fundamental seas next week. That may or may not chasten the recent rebound in VIX, but it is likely to bolster the weight of technical barriers from the likes of the S&P 500 and USDJPY.
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Bitcoin Falling Wedge, Ethereum Triangle: Continued Consolidation
Bitcoin and Ethereum have been relatively calm given the headlines, with each market consolidating over the past few weeks.
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WTI Crude Oil Slumps to Fresh Yearly Low amid Recessionary Fears
WTI continued its decline in European trade printing a new YTD low. Continued dollar strength and EIA data could result in further losses.
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British Pound (GBP) Latest – GBP/USD Steered by Renewed Dollar Strength
The US dollar is pushing higher ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting, leaving a range of major currencies, including Sterling, struggling in its wake.
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Tuesday, 6 December 2022
The US Dollar Gripped the Ascendency as Risks of Recession Swirl. Will USD go Higher?
The US Dollar held on to overnight gains as markets recalibrate risks of an economic slowdown in the West against a re-opening of China. Will the DXY index (USD) rally?
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Australian Dollar Steady Despite GDP Disappointment. Where to for AUD/USD?
The Australian Dollar was little changed in the aftermath of underwhelming third quarter domestic GDP data and revisions lower of previous quarters. Will AUD/USD sink?
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A VIX ‘Breakout’, Heavy Dollar Technicals, BOC Volatility and Recession Signals
The markets carried over greater market activity this past session with the VIX clearing its two-month descending channel and the S&P 500 extending its slide; but systemic trends will still be difficult to form from here. Yet, that doesn’t preclude volatility in ranges like the Dollar-majors or from event risk like a BOC hike.
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S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow: Key Support Zones Now in Play
The high-flying Dow has pulled back to support at a prior swing-high, and the Nasdaq is brewing a double top formation.
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USDCAD May Not Be the Most Responsive Loonie Cross to the BOC Decision
The Bank of Canada rate decision is on tap for Wednesday, and there is debate around what the central bank intends to do with its policy. USDCAD will be a focus for many monitoring this higher profile event, but there are probably more volatile Loonie crosses to follow.
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Monday, 5 December 2022
Gold Price Sinks on ISM Services Surprise, XAU/USD Bearish Technical Warning Eyed
Gold prices sank on Monday as the US Dollar gained after an unexpectedly strong ISM Services print. XAU/USD left behind a bearish Evening Star, will that spell trouble ahead?
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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Fundamentals can seem overwhelming, but identifying and isolating the key driver behind a currnecy or capital can help refine our evaluation...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....