US Treasury yields have re-priced sharply higher after last Friday’s NFP report and this has left gold vulnerable to further losses in the short term.
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Tuesday, 7 February 2023
Brent Crude Oil Taking Advantage of Weaker USD, IEA Outlook & Supply Interruptions
Brent crude oil opens the European session on the front foot but markets are wary in anticipation of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today.
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Monday, 6 February 2023
US Dollar Bumped by Hawkish Fed and the RBA Joins the Rate Hike Party. Higher USD?
The US Dollar gave up some ground today after reclaiming the ascendency with the Federal Reserve picking up the hawkish message ahead of Powell’s speech today. Where to for DXY (USD) Index?
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Australian Dollar Jumps Post RBA Hike of 0.25% as Expected. Where to for AUD/USD?
The Australian Dollar skipped north after the RBA raised the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.35% as the central bank tries to rein in eye watering inflation. Will AUD/USD go higher?
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Dollar Extends Rally for a Few Key Breaks, S&P 500 Throttles its Descent
The strong trends of risk aversion and Dollar recovery at the end of last week have survived the weekend. EURUSD and USDJPY won significant technical progress as the market’s Fed rate forecast has jumped, but how far can this momentum carry? Meanwhile, will meme stock volatility unsettle the S&P 500 and core market?
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Dollar Advance and Uneven Risk Trends Amplify USDMXN, USDHKD, USDINR and USDTRY
There has been a notable swoon in risk-leaning assets that has also provided some predictable lift to the US Dollar. Combined, these forces have created some unique pressure on some of the more pressurized emerging market currencies. We look at the Dollar cross with the Mexican Peso, Hong Kong Dollar, Indian Rupee and Turkish Lira.
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Bank of Japan (BoJ) - Foreign Exchange Market Intervention
As interest rate differentials widen between Japan and other major economies, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken.
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How to Learn Technical Analysis with DailyFX
Getting started in technical analysis can seem daunting but understanding the basics will build a solid foundation. Learn more...
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EUR/USD Forecast: No Let Up for Euro Post-NFP, What Fed Pivot?
EUR/USD bears have capitalized on fading Fed pivot bets but have a lot to look forward to this week from both ECB and Fed officials.
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Sunday, 5 February 2023
US Dollar Blazes Higher on Solid Data as Geopolitics Play Out. Where to for USD?
The US Dollar jumped back in the driver’s seat after jobs data unveiled an economy that remains robust despite the Federal Reserve hiking rates. Will the DXY (USD) Index go higher?
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Australian Dollar Tanks as US Dollar Roars Back to Life Ahead of RBA. Lower AUD/USD?
The Australian Dollar ran out of puff after making a seven-month high last week before the US Dollar regained traction and claimed the ascendency. Where to for AUD/USD?
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Markets Week Ahead: Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones, US Dollar, Gold, Jerome Powell, RBA
The Nasdaq 100 and Dow Jones reversed lower after a blowout jobs report last week. The US Dollar rallied at the expense of gold. All eyes turn to Fedspeak, the RBA rate decision and Canadian employment figures.
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Friday, 3 February 2023
Dow’s Skepticism Anchors Nasdaq Volatility, Dollar Charged by NFPs and Rate Forecasts
What matters more to the markets: that the US economy looks less at risk of a recession or that the Fed will be able to fulfill its rate hike forecast? The volatile reaction to this past week’s rate decisions, NFPs and US growth data leaves the markets evaluating what trends lie ahead.
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Breaking News - US NFPs Surge to 517k vs 185k Expectations, Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.4%
The US jobs market enjoyed a red hot January with 517k new jobs added, with job growth widespread.
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Central Bank Recap: Crucial Takeaways from the FED, BoE and ECB
Find out what major developments took place in a week consisting of three major central bank meetings and what it means for markets going forward
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WTI Oil Update: Delicately Poised Ahead of NFP Release
WTI Oil has come in for a battering this week as fading optimism around China and a buildup in inventories weigh heavily on the commodity.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD on the Precipice
Spot gold pulled back sharply post-FOMC and now stands at a key inflection point ahead of NFP and ISM data that could send XAU/USD tumbling.
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Thursday, 2 February 2023
Crude Oil Price Under the Pump in the Face of Fed, ECB and BoE Hikes. Lower WTI?
Crude oil has steadied so far today after sliding lower throughout the week after multiple rate hikes in major economies that might be offset by China coming online. Will WTI recover?
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USD/JPY Post FOMC: Fading Recession Perceptions See Moderate USDJPY Move
Powell acknowledged the risk of complacency around disinflationary trends but markets perceived the address as dovish, lifting risk assets while USDJPY eased lower
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US Dollar (DXY) Latest: The Fed’s Dovish Nudge Sends the US Dollar Tumbling
The ‘disinflationary process has started’ according to Fed chair Jerome Powell at last night’s FOMC press conference, a comment that pushed the greenback to a fresh multi-month low
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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Fundamentals can seem overwhelming, but identifying and isolating the key driver behind a currnecy or capital can help refine our evaluation...
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The US Dollar is firmer ahead of the FOMC rate decision. Expectations is for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps to 2.00-2....