Oil Forecast: Crude Prices Sink on Rising Rates & China’s Slow Demand Recovery

Oil prices slumped this week as rising rates raised fears of an economic downturn. China’s slow fuel demand recovery following the reopening of its economy also weighed on sentiment.

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Canadian Dollar Outlook: Canada’s CPI Eyed as USD/CAD Challenges Key Resistance

Canada’s January inflation report and broad market sentiment following the hawkish repricing of the Fed’s policy outlook will be key catalyst for USD/CAD in the coming days.

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Dollar Breakout and S&P 500 Breakdown Don’t Project Conviction Into Next Week

The technical levels were clear for the US-based S&P 500 and Dollar through the end of last week, and both tentatively earned a ‘break’ Friday. That said, follow through was clearly under scrutiny by the time liquidity drained. Have we already cleared the sentiment hurdle or do we need a more robust push next week for trends?

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What Past Global Recessions Can Teach Us About the Next One

The second global economic downturn in a decade could be the dark legacy of 2023. What can we learn about what’s to come from past recessions?

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Gold Prices Remain Vulnerable Amid Hawkish Fedspeak and Further Hike Odds

Gold prices extended losses during Friday’s Asia-Pacific trading session. Hawkish Fedspeak further pushed up bond yields, denting XAU/USD as it broke key technical levels.

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US Dollar Bumped Higher by Hawkish Fed and Blistering PPI. Higher USD?

The US Dollar regained the ascendency after Federal Reserve speakers Mester and Bullard cited potential 50 basis points hikes in the pipeline. Will the DXY index keep going north?

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Dollar’s Friday Breakout Potential: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and USDJPY

Risk assets were under pressure through the close of the New York session, but critical technical were still in place for benchmarks like the S&P 500. Could the market overcome a quiet Friday to produce an unusual week-ending break? If so, the Dollar is ready to leverage its safe haven status against EURUSD, GBPUSD and AUDUSD.

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S&P 500 Underwater but Exuberance Hasn’t Yet Cracked - What Now for Stocks?

The S&P 500 has lacked strong directional conviction in recent days after the powerful rally earlier in the year, but the balance of risks appears to be tipping to the downside.

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USDCAD Outlook Has Distinct Technical Levels to Work With

In indecisive markets – which we are currently facing – markets tend to better abide high profile technical boundaries. With USDCAD, there is a well established range from the past month and even larger levels just beyond that congestion. This may suit our conditions well.

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Euro Trapped in the Range as US Dollar Takes off Elsewhere. Where to for EUR/USD?

The Euro consolidated today after the US Dollar reclaimed the ascendency overnight as Treasury yields maintain lofty levels. The ECB is hawkish. Will it boost EUR/USD?

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Great Fall of China: Population Decline Will Have Global Impact

China’s vast population is starting to fall, and the rate of decline could accelerate sharply in the years ahead. What will this mean for the global economy and markets?

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US Dollar Gains as Markets Digest Rosy Retail Sales After CPI Data, Where to?

The US Dollar rallied on Wednesday as markets digested rosy US retail sales data after a red-hot CPI print. Is the Greenback readying to reverse more of its winter 2022 drop?

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Dollar Breaks Higher While Dow Holds its Range: Which Move Metabolizes?

The Dollar earned a potential technical break higher while the Dow Jones Industrial Average seemed to fade back into its well-established range. Which of these moves is more likely to reflect the baseline for speculative conviction moving forward?

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USDJPY Outlook Receives Bullish Charge on Break Higher

The Dollar earned a significant boost Wednesday which pushed USDJPY to a notable technical break above 133.00. Is this a break with follow through given the uneven fundamental backdrop?

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EUR/USD Threatens Key Support, Double Top Pattern in Play as Bears Tighten Grip

EUR/USD could extend recent losses if a bearish double top pattern is confirmed with a break below key technical support around the 1.0655 area.

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US Dollar Trades Up Post CPI Beat as Markets Grapple Fed Hikes. Higher USD?

The US Dollar ascendency got back on track after inflation gauges popped higher and the focus moved to the Federal Reserve with more hikes coming. Will USD trend north?

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Japanese Yen Slips as New BoJ Governor Takes the Helm. Where to for USD/JPY?

The Japanese Yen has lost ground against the US Dollar this week amidst the appointment of new Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. Will his policies drive USD/JPY higher?

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Dollar Rallies While VIX Drops After CPI, What Dictates the Market’s Next Move?

This week’s most highly-anticipated event risk has passed, and in its wake we are left with higher rate Fed expectations, an uncertain Dollar outlook and a drop in expected volatility. Has the market decided to suppress fundamental concerns or is the fuse already lit?

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What Has the Dow Done After Past CPI Releases?

The US CPI generated significant volatility for benchmarks like the Dow Jones Industrial Average this past session, but the important inflation indicator wouldn’t clarify the market’s direction. That isn’t uncommon for the index. What has followed the immediate reaction to this event in the past?

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British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Looks to UK Inflation Data for Directional Bias

The January UK CPI report will steal the limelight on Wednesday as traders will try to assess whether the inflation outlook could force the Bank of England to reconsider its dovish stance.

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