Monday, 1 May 2023

Australian Dollar Spike After RBA Hikes. Will AUD/USD Find Higher Ground?

The Australian Dollar shot higher after the RBA raised the cash rate to 3.85% surprising markets. The bank cited inflation as being too high. If they hike again, will AUD/USD go higher?

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Crude Oil Steadies as Markets Eye Fed and ECB Rate Decisions. Where to for WTI?

Crude oil prices consolidated into Tuesday as markets digest data ahead of monetary policy meetings from the Federal Reserve and the ECB. If both banks tighten, will WTI go lower?

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USD/JPY Goes Ballistic, Pulverizes Key Fib Resistance, S&P 500 Wavers at 4,200

USD/JPY breaks above confluence resistance on Monday, bolstered by higher U.S. yields. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 struggles at the 4,200 level, with bulls and bears battling for control of the market.

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Gold Prices Turn Lower as US Economic Data Weakens Case for Fed Pause

Gold prices retreat as U.S. ISM manufacturing data weakens the case for a Fed pause, triggering a sharp rally in U.S. Treasury yields.

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Sunday, 30 April 2023

Crude Oil Slip on Soft Data Ahead of Fed and ECB Decisions. Where to for WTI?

The crude oil price gave up some of Friday’s gain to start the week after Chinese PMI data missed forecasts and several markets are closed for holidays. Will crude resume the recovery?

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Gold Price Trapped Ahead of a Busy Week as US Dollar Pauses. Where to for XAU/USD?

The gold price slipped at the open on Monday as traders prepare for the Fed’s interest rate decision and the potential for impact across the yield curve and on the US Dollar.

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Markets Week Ahead: Fed, ECB, RBA, S&P 500, Gold, US Dollar

Global equity markets ended mostly higher in the past week, led by the US, following better-than-expected earnings from big technology companies. Key focus in the coming week is on the Fed, ECB and RBA rate decisions, global manufacturing and services PMI data and earnings of around 160 companies in the S&P 500 index.

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US Dollar’s Direction Hinges on Fed’s Policy Outlook, US Labor Market Data

The Fed's policy decision at its May meeting and the April nonfarm payrolls report will steal the spotlight next week and will be key in determining the direction of the U.S. dollar going forward.

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Crude Oil Weekly Forecast: OPEC+ Production Gains Wiped Out Ahead of Pivotal Week for Oil Prices

Oil fluctuated between losses and gains this past week as recession fears continue to weigh on prices. Will huge swathes of data this week be pivotal in providing Oil with a medium-term direction?

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Saturday, 29 April 2023

British Pound Week Ahead: GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Will Dance to Different Music

The latest Fed and ECB monetary policy decisions next week will steer GBP/USD and EUR/GBP in the short-term.

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Friday, 28 April 2023

S&P 500, Nasdaq Weekly Forecast: Climbing the Wall of Worry

Earnings from the big technology companies may have boosted US equity indices but the bar for further gains is rising ahead of the US FOMC meeting next week. That said, the trend remains up and so far, there are no signs of a reversal of the uptrend on technical charts.

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Gold Wavers Ahead of Big Data Week, Fed and Jobs Report Eyed for Market Cues

Gold prices were subdued on Friday, but market moves were limited, with many traders sitting on the sidelines and avoiding taking large directional positions ahead of major events next week

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US Core and Headline Inflation Diverge, Employment Costs Rise, US Dollar Nudges Higher.

Core inflationary pressures in the US remain elevated, while headline inflation continues to fall. While the latter will please the Fed, it may not be enough to stop US rates being hiked again next week.

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USD/JPY Price Forecast: Dovish BoJ Inspires USD/JPY Rally, 200-Day MA in Sight

USD/JPY is facing some technical challenges following a 250-odd pip rally. Time for a retracement or bullish continuation?

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EU Breaking News: German Economy Stagnates, EU GDP Grows Marginally

The German economy failed to grow in the first quarter of 2023 but also narrowly avoided a contraction, Euro Area registered a minor gain. Euro and DAX head lower

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AUD/USD Price Forecast: New 2023 Low for Aussie dollar?

AUD/USD is on the backfoot this morning after housing credit remained subdued. The Aussie dollar now looks ahead to US core PCE and consumer sentiment for guidance.

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Thursday, 27 April 2023

Amazon Soars on Upbeat Earnings, S&P 500 Futures Add to Gains as Big Tech Delivers

Amazon’s financial results beat expectations, with both EPS and revenue clocking in above estimates. Shares of the e-commerce company soar after the earnings announcement.

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Nasdaq 100 Blasts Higher as Meta’s Earnings Boost Tech, Apple in Focus Next Week

The Nasdaq 100 rallies on Thursday as solid earnings from Meta Platforms boost sentiment on Wall Street, lifting tech stocks. Apple’s quarterly results will steal the limelight next week.

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GBP/USD Price Outlook: Cable Struggling for Bullish Continuation

GBP/USD edged towards the recent peak but bullish momentum appears to be waning ahead of a period of high importance US data including PCE data and the FOMC meeting

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US Q1 Growth (GDP) Disappoints, US Dollar Nudges Higher Post-Release

The US economy expanded by much less than expected in Q1 2023 while prices continue to rise, leaving the Fed with plenty to think about ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting.

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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...