Sunday, 7 May 2023

US Dollar Treads Water Post Jobs and Ahead of CPI. Where to for the DXY Index?

The US Dollar dipped today as markets reassess risk appetite after strong US jobs data on Friday might indicate a more robust economy than previously thought. Will USD recover?

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Crude Oil Price Steadies After Tumultuous Week. Where to for WTI?

Crude oil prices consolidated into the week as markets take stock of the macroeconomic environment and OPEC+ continues to be on traders’ minds. Will WTI recover further?

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Markets Week Ahead: S&P 500, Gold, US Dollar, Oil, BOE, US CPI, China Inflation

Key focus in the coming week is on US CPI data, the Bank of England interest rate decision, and China inflation and new yuan loans data. Also, 32 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report results for the first quarter.

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Crude Oil Weekly Forecast: Oil Eyeing Further Recovery as Recession and Demand Fears Persist

Oil prices recovered aggressively from multi-month lows as WTI closed the week above the $70 a barrel mark. Technicals hint at a deeper recovery but market sentiment remains fragile.

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Saturday, 6 May 2023

British Pound Week Ahead: GBP/USD Stumbles, EUR/GBP Tests Support, BoE on Tap

The Bank of England will announce its latest monetary policy decision next Thursday with a 25bp Bank rate hike already fully priced-in. What Governor Bailey says post-decision will be key.

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Friday, 5 May 2023

Euro Fatiguing Heading Into an Inflation Filled Week?

EUR/USD looks to be prepping for a key technical breakout that could be catalyzed by upcoming US and German inflation data.

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S&P 500, Nasdaq Weekly Outlook: Banking Sector Stress Takes Center Stage

US equities have struggled to clear past their recent highs even as the US Federal Reserve hinted at a pause in the hiking cycle. As the earnings season draws to a close, banking sector concerns appear to be taking center stage, posing a risk to the multi-week uptrend.

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April Jobs Report: NFP Rises by 253k as Unemployment Falls and Average Hourly Earnings Rise

US Jobs numbers surge higher as average hourly earnings adds to inflationary concerns. Unemployment matches January print, a 50-year low.

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Swiss Franc Price Outlook: Banking Woes Support CHF Bid

The Swiss Franc has been one of the top performers against the dollar as its safe-haven allure provides shelter from the recent banking and economic uncertainty

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US Dollar (DXY) Struggles Continue as the Latest US Jobs Report (NFP) Nears

If current market pricing is to be believed, US interest rates will be 175 basis points lower this time next year, and that will hit the dollar hard. Next up, US NFPs.

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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Fresh Yearly Highs for Pound Ahead of NFP

GBP/USD extends its recent upside now hitting new 2023 highs but with NFP around the corner, will we see a continuation or pullback?

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Thursday, 4 May 2023

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Loonie Bid on Upbeat Canadian Balance of Trade Data

CAD is gaining ground on the US dollar but high impact economic data tomorrow will be in focus possibly resulting in a bull pennant break on USD/CAD daily chart.

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ECB Delivers 25bps Hike Leaving the Door Open for Further Hikes, EUR/USD Slides

ECB hikes rates by 25bps while pledging that future decisions will make rates sufficiently restrictive. EURUSD heading toward the 1.1000 level

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Gold (XAU/USD) Giving Back Post-FOMC Record Gains But The Future Seems Bright

A dovish interpretation of Jerome Powell’s FOMC statement on Wednesday sent gold spiking to a fresh all-time high before the precious metal retraced most of the move.

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British Pound Latest: GBP/USD Bid on FOMC Outlook, EUR/GBP Eyes the ECB

The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points as expected yesterday but the US hiking cycle may well be over. Next up the ECB.

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AUD/USD Price Forecast: Pro-growth Aussie Struggles to Capitalize on Dovish Fed

AUD/USD is trading at a key inflection point as the Aussie dollar faces a weakening USD while risk aversion takes hold. Where to next?

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Wednesday, 3 May 2023

US Dollar Crunched Post Fed Hike as Oil and Gold Rip Apart. New DXY Index Low?

The US Dollar descended again today after the market perceived the Fed to have delivered a dovish hike in rates. Crude went into a tailspin while gold found new legs. Will USD break lower?

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Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Sink after Fed, Powell, PacWest Woes Crush Sentiment

The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 plunged after the Fed rate decision, Powell’s press conference, and another troubled regional bank, PacWest, deteriorated sentiment. Where to?

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Sterling Update: GBP Takes Back Seat Ahead of Fed, ECB Meetings

The pound has held up nicely against the dollar but has lost ground against the euro. This week is all about the Fed and ECB which will be the driving forces behind FX

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Euro Latest: EUR/USD and EUR/JPY Prices and Outlooks

The Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will announce their latest policy decisions in the next 24 hours and that makes trading EUR/USD a tricky proposition.

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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...