Monday, 17 July 2023

WTI and Brent Start Week on the Back Foot as Chinese GDP Underwhelms

Oil prices finished last week on the back foot with underwhelming Chinese data this morning unlikely to help. Are we in for a retracement before bullish continuation?

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Sunday, 16 July 2023

US Dollar Finds Traction While China GDP Misses Estimates. Where to for USD?

The US Dollar consolidated to start the week while soft Chinese GDP numbers highlight growing concern for the economic recovery there. With the Fed in a blackout, where to for USD?

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Gold Price Gives Up Some Gains as the US Dollar Steadies. Where to for XAU/USD?

The gold price is in the middle of its recent range near US$ 1,950 going into the new week with a US Dollar at a crossroads while the Fed is in a blackout period ahead of the FOMC.

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Australian Dollar Holds Losses After China GDP; How Much More Downside in AUD/USD?

The Australian dollar held the day’s losses against the US dollar after the Chinese economy grew less than expected in the second quarter. How much more downside in AUD/USD?

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Asia Day Ahead: Subdued Start to the Week Ahead of Key China Data

Earnings results from major US banks were somewhat mixed to end last week, with the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund having formed a bearish engulfing candle on its daily chart.

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Markets Week Ahead: Gold, EUR/USD, S&P 500 Break Out as USD Tanks; Tesla Earnings Eyed

Gold, the Nasdaq 100, EUR/USD and GBP/USD all soared this week, while the US dollar broke down after US CPI data surprised to the downside. Traders should keep an eye on whether recent market moves can be sustained as the US earnings season gets underway.

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Friday, 14 July 2023

Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Breakout Gains Momentum but Fibonacci Resistance on Radar

EUR/USD rallied aggressively this past week, rising to its best level since February 2022. With momentum on its side, the pair’s outlook remains positive, but Fibonacci resistance may cap its upside going forward.

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EUR/USD Catches its Breath at Multi-Months Highs, Where to Next?

EUR/USD has been on a tear this week, on course for its largest weekly gain since November 2022. Can the dollar regain any semblance of strength ahead of the July FOMC meeting?

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USD/JPY Edges Up After Bruising Week, Japanese Yields Rise

The Japanese Yen has gained fully from general Dollar weakness as markets reassess US rate-rise chances

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GBP/USD Price Outlook: Dollar Selloff Drives Cable Rally Ahead of UK CPI

Cable’s impressive rally has been largely driven by the USD selloff. Additionally, the disconnect in US/UK inflation dynamics bodes well for sterling ahead of UK CPI

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Equity Rally Loses Some Steam as U.S. Earnings Season Kicks Off in Earnest​​​

​​Outlook on FTSE 100, DAX 40 and S&P 500 as the Q2 earnings season kicks off with the likes of JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Blackrock.

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Gold (XAU/USD) Consolidates Recent Gains After Stubborn Resistance Falls

Renewed US dollar weakness has given gold the strength to take out a layer of stubborn resistance that has been holding the precious metal back for weeks.

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Thursday, 13 July 2023

Bitcoin & Ethereum After Ripple Wins SEC Case: Preparing for an Advance

Cryptocurrencies jumped after a US judge ruled on Thursday that Ripple Labs Inc did not violate federal securities law by selling its XRP token on public exchanges. Technical charts suggest Bitcoin and Ethereum could be preparing for another leg higher.

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Oil Price Forecast: WTI and Brent Face Technical Hurdles. Where to Next?

Oil prices recent rally has run into some technical headwinds with US data later today likely to be key once more. Can Oil prices sustain recent gains and head higher?

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Gold Prices Hang on At Highs, Benign US CPI Prompts Rate Rethink

Non-yielding gold got a boost from news that the Fed seems to be winning its war on inflation.

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Dow, Nikkei 225 and CAC40 Rise after US CPI data

Indices worldwide were given a lift by US inflation data yesterday, which showed a slower pace of price growth, easing the pressure on the Fed to raise rates again.

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EUR/USD Soars on USD Weakness, EUR/GBP Struggles Against GBP Strength

EUR/USD is back to highs seen at the end of March last year, while EUR/GBP is probing lows last seen just under a year ago.

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UK Economy Shrinks Less Than Expected in May, GBP/USD Breaches 1.3000

The UK economy continues to surprise as GDP is now estimated to be 0.2% above its pre-covid levels from February 2020. Given that further hikes are expected, are recessionary fears justified?

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Wednesday, 12 July 2023

Gold Boosted by US CPI; Reverse Head & Shoulders Triggers in XAU/USD

Gold rebounded after US inflation slowed more than expected in June, reinforcing market expectations that the US Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its tightening cycle. To what extent could gold rise?

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Asia Day Ahead: Promising US Inflation Progress Drives Upbeat Market Mood

Lower-than-expected read in US inflation suggests that the tightening cycle from the Fed thus far are having its desired effect in moderating pricing pressures.

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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference

The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...