Oil is likely to remain supported in the short term amid expectations Europe will soon announce a plan to ban Russian oil imports and bets that the JCPOA nuclear deal will not be reinstated soon.
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Saturday, 30 April 2022
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Selloff Stalls Ahead of Fed Rate Decision
The Federal Reserve interest rate decision is likely to sway EUR/USD as the central bank is widely expected to normalize monetary policy at a faster pace.
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US Dollar Fundamental Forecast: Rally May Fade on Fed Balance Sheet Announcement
The US Dollar's impressive run may be interrupted by the upcoming FOMC policy decision, but a pullback may be short lived as an expected balance sheet reduction plan could strain liquidity in markets.
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Friday, 29 April 2022
Australian Dollar Forecast: Will the RBA Hike? If So, AUD/USD Still Faces Roadblocks
The Australian Dollar underperformed against the US Dollar last week despite a hotter-than-expected local CPI report. Could an RBA rate hike revive AUD/USD bulls?
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Thursday, 28 April 2022
Rising Rates and Volatility are Features, Not Bugs: Top Trade Opportunities
The first few months of 2022 worked out as anticipated in the 1Q '22 Top Trading Opportunities. What comes next in 2Q'22?
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Robinhood Shares Drop on Earnings Report as Meme Traders Disappear
Robinhood posted poor results for the first quarter, prompting traders to hit the sell button in after-hours trading. The brokerage company missed on users and revenue per user amid broader economi...
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Apple Earnings Q2: AAPL Stock Price Rises on Buyback, Dividend Boost
Apple stock rose in after-hours trading following a rosy second-quarter earnings report despite logistical challenges. The iPhone maker boosted its dividend and share buyback program.
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Amazon Earnings: AMZN Sinks After the Bell as Inflation Eats at Outlook
Amazon stock dropped in after-hours trading after the e-commerce giant posted weak forward guidance amid soaring inflation and shipping costs.
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AUD/USD Outlook: RSI Flirts with Oversold Territory Ahead of RBA Meeting
Developments in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) warn of a further decline in AUD/USD as the indicator pushes into oversold territory for the first time in 2022.
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How to Read a Candlestick Chart
Learn how to read and interpret candlestick charts for day trading, with top strategies and tips.
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Equities Forecast Q2 2022: Fed Policy Remains the Biggest Risk for Equity Markets
A volatile first quarter for US equities, which grappled with not only an inflation-fighting Federal Reserve but also increased geopolitical tensions.
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US Dollar (DXY) Probes a New 20-Year High, US Q1 GDP May Disappoint
The US dollar is nearing highs last seen in December 2002 ahead of the first look at Q1 GDP which may stall the recent greenback surge.
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Wednesday, 27 April 2022
Crude Oil Price Breakout Ahead? Iran Nuclear Deal in Focus
Brent crude oil prices may spike if the US and Iran cannot revive the 2015 nuclear deal, with the ensuing geopolitical fallout in the region increasing supply disruptions risks.
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AUD Forecast Q2 2022: Commodities and Central Banks in Focus
The Australian Dollar made an 18-month low in January, eclipsing the November 2020 nadir of 0.6991 by a small margin.
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Japanese Yen Falls, USD/JPY Soars as Bank of Japan Commits to Defending 10Y JGB Target
The Japanese Yen weakened as the Bank of Japan maintained benchmark lending rates and the 10-year bond yield target despite boosting inflation estimates. Where to for USD/JPY?
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Crude Oil Price Reversal Emerges Ahead of April Low
The price of crude oil appears to be reversing course ahead of the monthly low ($92.93) as it extends the series of higher highs and lows from earlier this week.
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Gold Price Outlook Mired by Failure to Defend March Low
Failure to defend the March low ($1890) raises the scope for a further decline in the price of gold as it trades below the 50-Day SMA ($1939) for the first time since February.
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NASDAQ's Slide: Find a Short Position | tastytrade clips
Chris and Victor talk about avoiding a "long-only" mentality, the likelihood of the Nasdaq continuing to move down and some of Chris' long and short positions through 2022.
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Tuesday, 26 April 2022
Australian Dollar Soars as CPI Shoots Past Expectations Ahead of RBA Next Week. Where to for AUD/USD?
The Australian Dollar firmed after the much-anticipated Q1 CPI came in way above expectations at 5.1%. Will the RBA be ready for action?
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU Rebound is Likely a Fake-out as US Dollar, Fed Pressures Mount
Gold prices are trading modestly higher in the APAC hours following a sharp drop earlier this week. However, the lackluster rebound isn't inspiring confidence as bullion headwinds strengthen.
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EUR/USD Rate Clears 2020 Low Ahead of Euro Area Inflation Report
The update to the Euro Area’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) may generate a rebound in EUR/USD as inflation is expected to increase for the third consecutive month.
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Pummeled as Tesla Sinks 12%, Economic Worries Mount
U.S. stocks plummet across the board on Tuesday, with technology stocks bearing the brunt of the sell-off on growing fears that the U.S. economy is headed for a hard landing.
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Alphabet Q1 Earnings: Google Stock Drops on Disappointing Earnings Report
Alphabet, Inc., Google's parent company, reported disappointing earnings numbers for the first quarter after today's closing bell, sending share prices lower in after-hours trading.
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Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Susceptible to RSI Sell Signal
Looming developments in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) may warn of a larger pullback in USD/JPY if the oscillator falls below 70 to indicate a textbook sell signal.
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How to Short Sell a Stock When Trading Falling Markets
Short selling is a great way to trade on a falling market. Learn how to short stocks
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Monday, 25 April 2022
Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Rally Materializes Ahead of April Low
USD/CAD appears to have reversed course ahead of the April low (1.2403) as the exchange rate extends the series of higher highs and lows from last week.
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USD/CNH Price Forecast: Beijing Lockdowns Pressure Yuan as PBOC Monitors
The Chinese Yuan fell sharply versus the US Dollar overnight, extending its slide as Beijing expanded its Covid lockdown to additional districts. Japan's March unemployment rate is due out this mor...
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Earnings Preview – Will Microsoft and Alphabet Rescue the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500?
Microsoft and Alphabet will announce corporate results on Tuesday. Their quarterly performance and, more importantly, earnings guidance may set the tone for the broader market in the near term.
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Chinese Yuan (CNH) Sell-Off Adds to Market Turmoil, EUR/GBP Tests Key Pivot
Chinese Yuan posts largest weekly drop since currency devaluation.
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Long USD/ZAR: Top Trade Opportunities
After a strong Q1 in 2022 for the ZAR (which has been the trend over the past few years), the rand could be in for a turnaround. Before delving into potential Q2 influences it is important to remin...
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S&P 500 and FTSE Prepare for Major Earnings Reports
UK and US equities have struggled recently, in light of aggressive rate hike paths and lower forecast GDP data. FTSE and S&P 500 levels considered ahead of major earnings
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US Dollar Strength Sends EUR/USD, GBP/USD to Fresh Two-Year Lows
The US dollar continues to run amok in the FX market, racking up impressive gains across the board. Is the move starting to look stretched?
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Sunday, 24 April 2022
Copper Trading: Copper Trading Tips and Strategies
Copper may not be the world's most popular metal but it certainly is one of the more important.
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How to Trade the Impact of Politics on Global Financial Markets
In a slowing global economy, the threat of geopolitical risks destabilizing global growth are elevated and open the door to violent volatility – and trading opportunities.
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Forex Vs Stocks: Top Differences & How to Trade Them
Learn the main differences between forex and stocks to understand the best market to trade based on your trading style and strategy.
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AUD/USD, JPY in Focus as APAC Trading Kicks Off as Fed Bets, BOJ Eyed
The Australian Dollar and Japanese Yen are in focus after hawkish Fed rhetoric supercharged the US Dollar last week. AUD/USD and USD/JPY's direction may be telling for the week ahead.
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Weekly Fundamental US Dollar Forecast: Up, Up, and Away
The US Dollar (via the DXY Index) closed last week at its highest level in two years, and a lot of that has to do with the Federal Reserve.
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Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, EU CPI, BOJ, US GDP
Traders will continue to recalibrate trades after a hawkish shift in Fed rhetoric sent bond prices plummeting. European CPI data, US GDP growth and the Bank of Japan are in focus for the week ahead.
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S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Weekly Forecasts – Bond Yields Hammer Equity Sentiment
Heightened US interest rate hike expectations are weighing heavily on US indices. Will next week's bumper crop of Q1 US earnings help to steady the market?
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Saturday, 23 April 2022
Crude Oil Forecast: Stronger US Dollar, Weaker S&P 500 Key Risks in the Week Ahead
Crude oil prices weakened as a stronger US Dollar and another drop in the S&P 500 undermined the sentiment-linked commodity. All eyes are on US GDP and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge next.
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EUR/USD Vulnerable: Policy Divergence and Lagarde’s Unusual Request
The ECB has no intention to raise rates in Q2 while the Fed is weighing up multiple 50 basis point hikes and Lagarde requests dissenting members to delay criticisms.
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Gold Price Outlook Hinges on US Inflation During Fed Blackout Period
The update to the US PCE Price Index may drag on the price of gold as the Fed’s preferred gauge for inflation is expected to downtick for the first time since August.
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Friday, 22 April 2022
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD at Risk of Further Losses as the UK Economy Weakens
Slowing economic growth in the UK and bets that the Bank of England will not be as aggressive as the Fed during its tightening cycle are likely to weigh on GBP/USD in the near term.
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Central Bank Watch: Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update
Rates markets are fully pricing in a 50-bps rate hike by the Federal Reserve in May.
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Bearish GBP: Rates Market Far Too Aggressive vs Cautious BoE: Top Trade Opportunities
Despite the Bank of England hiking at the fastest pace in over a decade, Cable is on course for its worst quarterly performance since Q1 2020.
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Thursday, 21 April 2022
Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100 Drop on Fed Powell Commentary. ASX 200 Trendline Break Eyed
The Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 fell as Fed Chair Jerome Powell kept boosting 50-basis point rate hike bets. Ahead, the ASX 200 is pressuring a key trendline despite strong Australian PMI data.
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AUD/USD Falls as US Yield Surge Pressures Risk-Sensitive Currencies Against US Dollar
The Australian Dollar fell overnight as a surge in Treasury yields boosted the US Dollar. Australian PMI data showed the Aussie economy's recovery is gaining steam. Japanese CPI data is in focus to...
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As Fed Hikes Rates, Will ARKK Continue to Sink?
Has Cathie Wood lost her golden touch? Not necessarily.
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3 Key Tips To Building Your Confidence As A Trader
Successful traders understand the importance psychology and how reacting to risk is one of the most crucial aspects of success in the market. As with anything we do in life, confidence is a signifi...
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Wednesday, 20 April 2022
The DAX 40 has held up despite uncertainty of German energy supply from Russia coming under further scrutiny.
The DAX 40 remains range bound amid energy uncertainty, continuing geopolitical conflicts and inflationary pressures. Can the DAX rally?
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Crude Oil Price Forecast: China Key to Direction Amid Record US Exports
WTI and Brent crude oil prices are steady in Asia-Pacific trade despite a rapidly shifting fundamental backdrop around US exports, Russian supply and Chinese demand. Where are oil prices headed?
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USD May Need a Recession | tastytrade clips
The Fed hiking interest rates likely won't have a big impact on the current values of homes in the US, or inflation-causing supply chain constraints.
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USD/CNH Surges Despite US Dollar Weakness as Fed Pressures PBOC
The Chinese Yuan continued to weaken overnight as China's yield advantage evaporates versus the US as an aggressive Fed path pressures the PBOC. APAC traders are digesting New Zealand inflation dat...
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GBP/USD Bounces Off Support, but Descending Triangle Pattern Signals Further Losses
GBP/USD stages a moderate rebound on Wednesday, supported by broad-based weakness in the U.S. dollar, but the fundamental and technical outlook for the pair remains bearish.
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Tuesday, 19 April 2022
Japanese Yen Melts as Fed and BoJ Policies Diverge. How High for USD/JPY?
The Japanese Yen is at 20-year lows against the US Dollar as the Fed and Bank of Japan go down different roads. Where to for USD/JPY?
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU Weighs Yields, US Dollar, Fed Path Amid Crude Oil Pullback
Gold prices may stagnate as nominal and real yields push higher amid increased chances for a soft landing from the Fed after oil prices eased, but traders may be reluctant to unwind XAU positions.
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Crude Oil Price Tumbles on IMF Outlook Concerns of War, Lockdowns and Fed Tightening
Crude oil lost ground in the aftermath of the IMF downgrading global growth on the back off the Ukraine war, Chinese lockdowns and inflation fighting central banks.
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Equities Forecast Q2 2022: Fed Policy Remains the Biggest Risk for Equity Markets
A volatile first quarter for US equities, which grappled with not only an inflation-fighting Federal Reserve but also increased geopolitical tensions.
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US Dollar, USD/JPY, USD/CNH Gain as Wall Street, Treasury Yields Rise. PBOC Cut Next?
The US Dollar extended its advance against the Japanese Yen as stocks and Treasury yields gained on Wall Street. USD/CNH broke above a year-long trendline ahead of expected PBOC cuts.
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Rally as Risk Appetite Recovers Ahead of Tesla’s Earnings
After a mixed start to the week, U.S. stocks rally on Tuesday as risk appetite recovers on encouraging corporate earnings and signs that the economy remains resilient.
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Netflix Plunges Over 20% on Huge Miss on Subscribers: Q1 Earnings Report
Netflix stock plunged over 20% in after-hours trading after its Q1 earnings report crossed the wires, showing a huge miss in subscriber growth.
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The Fed Can't Fix Housing Prices (or supply chain inflation) | tastytrade clips
The Fed hiking interest rates likely won't have a big impact on the current values of homes in the US, or inflation-causing supply chain constraints.
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German DAX Remains Rangebound as European Equities Take Strain
Dismal growth forecast weighs on sentiment as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine intensifies. EUR/USD pauses while DAX prices edge lower.
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Monday, 18 April 2022
Natural Gas Hits 14-Year High on Cold Snap, Oil Rises on Libya Protests
Natural gas prices in the United States surged to a 14-year high as cold weather boosts demand amid supply shortages. Oil prices rose as protestors in Libya shut down oil fields.
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What is Leverage in Forex? Forex Leverage Explained
Find out how leverage works and how to manage your risk when trading FX with leverage.
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Gold Prices Up Alongside Dollar as Ukraine, Fed Worries Spook Markets
Gold prices rose amid renewed worries about the war in Ukraine after Russia signaled an impasse in talks, despite a stronger US Dollar and higher bond yields thanks to swelling Fed rate hike bets.
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EUR Forecast Q2 2022: A Badly Battered Euro May Find a Lifeline in Ukraine, But Can an Upswing Last?
The Euro suffered punishing losses in the first quarter of 2022. The currency is on pace to shed almost 3 percent against an average of its major counterparts, marking the worst three-month perform...
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Sunday, 17 April 2022
10 Trading Mistakes to Avoid in Forex Trading
Human error in the FX market is common and can lead to common trading mistakes. See the top 10.
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Short S&P 500: Top Trade Opportunities
The S&P 500 has staged an extraordinary rally since stimulus measures were implemented in the wake of the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic in early 2020.
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How to Short Sell a Stock When Trading Falling Markets
Short selling is a great way to trade on a falling market. Learn how to short stocks
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What is Earnings Season & What to Look for in Earnings Reports?
Earnings announcements are a key driver for stock prices: Learn the what and when of earnings.
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S&P 500, FTSE 100 & DAX 40 Forecast For The Week Ahead
Risk assets pressured as S&P 500 closes at weekly lows. FTSE 100 underpinned. DAX risks remain lower
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Markets Week Ahead: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, US Dollar, Euro, Crude Oil, Bitcoin, Inflation
Global financial markets saw risk assets catch a bid as market mood soured amid inflationary concerns, boosting the US Dollar and punishing equity markets. Traders are set to digest more inflation ...
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Saturday, 16 April 2022
Equities Forecast Q2 2022: Fed Policy Remains the Biggest Risk for Equity Markets
A volatile first quarter for US equities, which grappled with not only an inflation-fighting Federal Reserve but also increased geopolitical tensions.
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Euro Outlook Weakens Further, EUR/USD Support Levels Breaking Down
A combination of a strong US dollar and an under pressure Euro leaves EUR/USD sitting on a two-year support level that is looking increasingly shaky
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GBP Forecast Q2 2022: The Bank of England's Inflation and Growth Puzzle
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to raise UK interest rates further in the second quarter of 2022 as the UK central bank tries to stem soaring prices pressures. The BoE has already lifted the ...
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to Fall Alongside Inflation Expectations
Gold bulls put in work last week, pushing bullion prices up around 1.5% after a red-hot US CPI report. However, sellers may step in soon on falling inflation expectations and growingly hawkish cent...
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JPY Forecast Q2 2022: Will Inflation Surpass the Bank of Japan’s Target?
The anti-risk Japanese Yen put in a dismal performance during the first quarter of 2022, particularly as March wrapped up. A majors-based Japanese Yen Index that averages JPY against USD, AUD, GBP ...
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Friday, 15 April 2022
AUD Forecast Q2 2022: Commodities and Central Banks in Focus
The Australian Dollar made an 18-month low in January, eclipsing the November 2020 nadir of 0.6991 by a small margin.
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US Dollar Forecast: Fed Chairman Powell to Speak at IMF Meeting
Developments coming out of the IMF 2022 Spring Meeting may influence the US Dollar as Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at the event.
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US Dollar Forecast Q2 2022: Dollar Rate Hikes, Conversion and Safety Appeal
It is difficult to tell what role the Dollar will play in the global financial system heading into the second quarter of 2022. On the one hand, traditional risk assets have held back the tide of a ...
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Bitcoin Price Forecast Q2 2022: Still Not Immune from Market Risk
Q1 hasn't been easy for investors. In fact, the stock market had one of its worst starts to a year in history, rivaled by the GFC and great depression. Of course, Bitcoin as a high beta asset hasn'...
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EUR Forecast Q2 2022: A Badly Battered Euro May Find a Lifeline in Ukraine, But Can an Upswing Last?
The Euro suffered punishing losses in the first quarter of 2022. The currency is on pace to shed almost 3 percent against an average of its major counterparts, marking the worst three-month perform...
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Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD Undermined by USD as Fed Hikes All Priced In
The Australian Dollar has strong fundamentals, but a hawkish Fed has favoured the US Dollar up to now. Fresh data is some way off, what will drive AUD/USD?
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Thursday, 14 April 2022
Crude Oil Price Forecast Q2 2022: Robust Demand Still Met with Limited Supply
The price of oil spiked to a fresh yearly high ($130.50) in March amid the disruptions caused by the Russia-Ukraine war. Current market conditions may lead to higher crude prices as expectations fo...
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British Pound (GBP) Forecast: Cable On the Back Foot Going Into Easter
GBP/USD looks to enter the Easter weekend in the red after a strong comeback on Wednesday. The pound is in for a quiet week next week with focus on the US.
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US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY
It was a big week for the US Dollar, with an 8.5% CPI print and fresh 20-year highs in USD/JPY.
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Top 8 Forex Trading Strategies and their Pros and Cons
Compare the pros and cons of different forex strategies, from day trading to position trading.
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Wednesday, 13 April 2022
Singapore Dollar Soars, Monetary Authority of Singapore Tightens, USD/SGD Eyes Support
The Singapore Dollar is aiming for its best day against the US Dollar in 5 weeks after the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) tightened policy. USD/SGD is eyeing support next.
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Crude Oil Price on Track to Clear Opening Range for April
The price of crude oil may stage a larger advance over the remainder of the week if it manages to clear the opening range for April.
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NZD/USD Breaks Support as APAC Traders Brace for Australian Jobs Report, PBOC Action
NZD/USD broke through a critical trendline overnight despite yesterday's RBNZ rate hike. APAC traders are bracing for Australia's March jobs report and a potential RRR cut from the PBOC.
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Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Citigroup & Morgan Stanley Earnings Eyed After JPMorgan Flops
Major banks will continue to report first quarter results in the coming days. On Thursday, earnings from Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley will be in the spotlight.
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Australian Dollar May Rise as Europe Seeks Alternatives: Top Trade Opportunities
The Australian Dollar could be poised to benefit in the second quarter, appreciating from the spillover effects caused by Russia's attack on Ukraine
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EUR/USD Technical Risks & More with John Kicklighter and Pete Mulmat
Every month, DailyFX Chief Strategist and IG US CEO Pete Mulmat sit down to discuss their favorite forex pairs. This week, John and Pete discussed USD sentiment, risks in EUR/USD, and commodity cur...
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AUD/USD Rebounds from Weekly Low with Australia Employment on Tap
Fresh data prints coming out of Australia may prop up AUD/USD as employment is expected to increase for the fifth consecutive month.
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How to Create a Trading Plan in 7 Steps
A trading plan guides traders through the trading process. Learn how to set one up in 7 steps.
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Tuesday, 12 April 2022
How Central Banks Impact the Forex Market
Discover how policies and interest rate hikes of central banks impact forex and trading decisions.
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AUD/USD Eyes Chinese Trade Data as APAC Traders Weigh RBNZ Bets
The Australian Dollar may react to today's trade data out of China where a Covid outbreak is ongoing. APAC traders are also weighing the chance for a 50-basis point rate hike from the RBNZ today.
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Nasdaq 100 Outlook: Traders Sell the Rip as Inflation Remains a Headwind
U.S. stocks rose earlier in the day after core CPI grew less than expected, but gave up all gains and finished lower as the macroeconomic environment remains challenging for risk assets.
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Using Stop Loss Orders in Forex Trading
Market movements can be unpredictable. The stop loss can provide protection against losses.
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USD/CAD Rate Pulls Back from 50-Day SMA Ahead of BoC Rate Hike
The Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision may drag on USD/CAD as the central bank is expected to deliver its third rate hike in 2022.
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Top 10 Candlestick Patterns To Trade the Markets
Discover the 10 most reliable candlestick patterns for trading the financial markets.
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Monday, 11 April 2022
GBP Forecast Q2 2022: The Bank of England's Inflation and Growth Puzzle
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to raise UK interest rates further in the second quarter of 2022 as the UK central bank tries to stem soaring prices pressures. The BoE has already lifted the ...
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EUR/USD Price Outlook: EUR Receives a Lift after Macron’s First Round Victory
The euro starts the week higher as Macron takes the lead in the French elections. All eyes on the ECB for hawkish clues as rate differentials weigh on the currency
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British Pound (GBP) Technical Outlook: Cable Revisits 1.30 After Soft Economic Data Release
GBP/USD price action shows traders flirting with the significant 1.30 level for a second time in 2022, while focus shifts to key US and UK economic data tomorrow.
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Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Surge Persists As Bond Yields Hit Fresh Highs
Firmer bond yields and BoJ calm over weaker Yen keeps USD/JPY bullish.
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Crude Oil Price Forecast Q2 2022: Robust Demand Still Met with Limited Supply
The price of oil spiked to a fresh yearly high ($130.50) in March amid the disruptions caused by the Russia-Ukraine war. Current market conditions may lead to higher crude prices as expectations fo...
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Sunday, 10 April 2022
Euro Challenged as US Dollar Skips Up on Higher Treasury Yields. Where to For EUR/USD?
The Euro may have got a reprieve from the French election potentially being resolved, but a strong US Dollar has dominated. Will EUR/USD break lower?
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Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, USD, Euro, Canadian Dollar, CPI, ECB, BoC, French Election
A busy week is ahead for the Dow Jones, US Dollar, Euro, Canadian Dollar, gold and crude oil. US inflation, the ECB and BoC rate decisions, as well as the French Presidential Election are on tap. W...
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Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Eyes China CPI Ahead of Event-Heavy Week
AUD/USD is in focus as Asia-Pacific trading kicks off for the week. The lockdowns in Shanghai are under watch as traders prep for several potential high-impact events, including Chinese CPI due out...
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S&P 500 Forecast: Rising US Consumer Prices to Drag on Risk Appetite
Fresh data prints coming out of the US may drag on the S&P 500 index as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to increase for the seventh consecutive month.
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Saturday, 9 April 2022
Crude Oil Fundamental Forecast: US-IEA Release, Shanghai Woes to Weigh as Inventories Rise
Crude oil prices dropped for a second week amid Chinese Covid woes and increasing US production and inventory levels. Along with headwinds from a coordinated IEA release, prices may drag.
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Euro Weekly Forecast – Will the ECB Disappoint the Hawks Next Week?
Next week's ECB monetary policy meeting will test President Christine Lagarde's ability to manage market expectations while at the same time proving that the central bank remains in control.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Lacks Directional Conviction on Conflicting Market Forces
Gold prices may lack directional conviction and chop around current levels in the coming days as U.S. dollar strength and rising yields are offset by elevated geopolitical risk premium and recessio...
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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: GBP Cheers Stimulus, Rally at Risk of Stalling
Fed hawks keep the USD on the front-front. Lack of alternatives sees USD remaining as king.
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Bitcoin Treads Cautiously Along Key Technical Levels
Bitcoin prices have stabilized above the key psychological level of $45,000 but can technical remain as prominent drivers of price action?
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Friday, 8 April 2022
Australian Dollar Outlook: Domestic Factors Sidelined as the Fed Talks Up Rates
The Australian Dollar has strong fundamentals, but external influences are dominating for now. Will the strong economy be realised in the AUD/USD price?
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EUR Forecast Q2 2022: A Badly Battered Euro May Find a Lifeline in Ukraine, But Can an Upswing Last?
The Euro suffered punishing losses in the first quarter of 2022. The currency is on pace to shed almost 3 percent against an average of its major counterparts, marking the worst three-month perform...
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Thursday, 7 April 2022
US Dollar Climbs Higher as Fed Speakers Hit “Peak Hawkishness”. Where to for USD?
The US Dollar has continued higher today as the rate hike cycle has been accelerated by Fed commentary. Will the DXY Index uptrend continue?
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How to Research Stocks: A Step by Step Guide
Do you know how to research stocks? Keep reading for insights and tools to supplement your stock investing strategy.
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Short S&P 500: Top Trade Opportunities
The S&P 500 has staged an extraordinary rally since stimulus measures were implemented in the wake of the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic in early 2020.
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Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Weighs Risks in APAC Trade Ahead of Weekend
The Australian Dollar fell overnight versus the Greenback despite gains on Wall Street. That momentum may bode well for APAC markets into the weekend, but the Shanghai lockdown is weighing on AUD/USD
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EUR/USD Eyes Yearly Low Even as ECB Warns of Interest Rate Adjustment
EUR/USD may continue to give back the rebound from the yearly low (1.0806) as it extends the decline from the 50-Day SMA (1.1145).
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Bitcoin Price Forecast Q2 2022: Still Not Immune from Market Risk
Q1 hasn't been easy for investors. In fact, the stock market had one of its worst starts to a year in history, rivaled by the GFC and great depression. Of course, Bitcoin as a high beta asset hasn'...
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Wednesday, 6 April 2022
Gold Price Holds Above 50-Day SMA Despite Rising US Yields
The rebound from the 50-Day SMA ($1903) may keep the price of gold afloat as the moving average continues to reflect a positive slope.
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Short Natural Gas: Top Trade Opportunities
Fresh on the heels of the US-EU partnership to reduce Europe's dependence on Russian energy sources, Natural Gas futures continue to reach new highs. Natural Gas contracts are up nearly 40% YTD and...
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The Most Volatile Currency Pairs and How to Trade Them
Find out what currency pairs may show the most volatility, and how you can tailor your strategy to capitalize on market volatility.
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Fed Minutes Lay Out Hawkish Balance Sheet Reduction Plan, Nasdaq 100 Holds Losses
Fed Minutes lay out aggressive quantitative tightening plan and signal appetite among policymakers to front-load hikes to lower inflation currently running at more than triple the 2% target.
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EUR Forecast Q2 2022: A Badly Battered Euro May Find a Lifeline in Ukraine, But Can an Upswing Last?
The Euro suffered punishing losses in the first quarter of 2022. The currency is on pace to shed almost 3 percent against an average of its major counterparts, marking the worst three-month perform...
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Top 8 Forex Trading Strategies and their Pros and Cons
Compare the pros and cons of different forex strategies, from day trading to position trading.
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Tuesday, 5 April 2022
Ilya Spivak: "USD Bonds; Capital Runs from Risk" | tastytrade clips
Victor and Ilya break down how inflation and inflation expectations may cause capital to continue to run from risk in hyper-speculative assets.
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Gold Price Forecast Q2 2022: Outlook Proves Mixed
There's no two-ways about it: gold prices outperformed our expectations in Q1 22. Our rationale for not taking a bullish outlook on gold was, and still is, well-grounded: central banks, including t...
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USD/JPY Approaches Yearly High as RSI Pushes Back into Overbought Zone
The overbought reading in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is likely to be accompanied by a further appreciation in USD/JPY like the price action seen last month.
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What is a Double Top Pattern?
Double top patterns are noteworthy technical trading structures to learn and integrate into a trader’s arsenal. Double tops can enhance technical analysis when trading both forex or stocks, making ...
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Rising Rates and Volatility are Features, Not Bugs: Top Trade Opportunities
The first few months of 2022 worked out as anticipated in the 1Q '22 Top Trading Opportunities. What comes next in 2Q'22?
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How to Read a Candlestick Chart
Learn how to read and interpret candlestick charts for day trading, with top strategies and tips.
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EUR/USD Falters Amid Fed Speeches but DAX and FTSE Resilience Holds
A series of Fed speeches & optimistic ISM data drive EUR/USD lower. Dax loses grip but remans resilient above 14,000. FTSE reclaims 7,600 but can bullish momentum hold?
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Monday, 4 April 2022
What Type of Forex Trader Are You?
What forex trading style best suits your personality? Read on to find out.
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Japanese Yen Slips, Crude Oil Prices Rise Before RBA Decision as China Extends Lockdown
The Yen fell and crude oil prices rose even as China extended a lockdown in Shanghai. The RBA policy decision and an EU move toward new sanctions on Russia are now in focus.
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Yield Curve Inversion Signals Possible Recession - Is the S&P 500 in the Danger Zone?
The 2s10s curve inversion has been a trustworthy recession harbinger, but may be less reliable this time considering that the structure of the U.S. economy has changed significantly in recent years.
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Sterling Price Forecast: Seasonality Supports Cable Reversal in April
Sterling has depreciated against the dollar since June 2021 but April tends to see a much higher sterling, on average since 2010. Key GBP/USD levels considered
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EUR/USD Latest: The Euro vs. US Dollar Battle Continues
The US dollar is underpinned by rising short-dated US Treasury yields but the Euro remains resolute as inflation in the single block soars.
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Crude Oil Trading Strategies and Tips
Crude oil is the most valuable market on Earth, and a key commodity for today's economy. But how can traders build strategy to trade crude oil?
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Sunday, 3 April 2022
US Dollar Up on Fed Hike Bets After Solid NFP. Can DXY Resume the Uptrend?
The US Dollar remains at elevated levels with a good economy adding to Fed hike expectations. Where to next for the US Dollar?
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US Dollar and Emerging Market Currencies Eyeing FOMC Minutes this Week
The US Dollar stabilized against Emerging Market currencies last week. Ahead, investors will be tuning in for FOMC minutes. Will balance sheet normalization boost USD?
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AUD/USD Chart Flags Bullish Potential as RBA Nears Amid China Lockdowns
AUD/USD is trading within a bullish Flag chart pattern as Asia-Pacific traders focus on central bank policy, the war in Ukraine and ongoing lockdowns in China.
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Cross Asset Forecasts for Q2 2022
Cross asset fundamental and technical forecasts to prepare you for Q2 2022.
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Bitcoin Price Forecast Q2 2022: Still Not Immune from Market Risk
Q1 hasn't been easy for investors. In fact, the stock market had one of its worst starts to a year in history, rivaled by the GFC and great depression. Of course, Bitcoin as a high beta asset hasn'...
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Saturday, 2 April 2022
Short EUR/CAD: Top Trade Opportunities
The first quarter of 2022 ended with the US dollar, Australian dollar and Canadian dollar as standout performers while the Turkish Lira, Russian Ruble, Japanese Yen and the Euro were among the wors...
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Short SPX: Top Trade Opportunities
As 2021 wound to a close, the animal spirits that had become the stock market for much of the previous year were being broken. Then in Q1 the market itself broke. The recent decline was deep, but h...
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JPY Forecast Q2 2022: Will Inflation Surpass the Bank of Japan’s Target?
The anti-risk Japanese Yen put in a dismal performance during the first quarter of 2022, particularly as March wrapped up. A majors-based Japanese Yen Index that averages JPY against USD, AUD, GBP ...
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Gold Price Forecast Q2 2022: Outlook Proves Mixed
There's no two-ways about it: gold prices outperformed our expectations in Q1 22. Our rationale for not taking a bullish outlook on gold was, and still is, well-grounded: central banks, including t...
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EUR Forecast Q2 2022: A Badly Battered Euro May Find a Lifeline in Ukraine, But Can an Upswing Last?
The Euro suffered punishing losses in the first quarter of 2022. The currency is on pace to shed almost 3 percent against an average of its major counterparts, marking the worst three-month perform...
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Bearish USD/CAD: Top Trade Opportunities
Amid heightened geopolitical and fundamental risks, the safe-haven appeal of the US Dollar and the hawkish rhetoric of the Federal Reserve has allowed USD to strengthen against its major counterpar...
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Friday, 1 April 2022
Energy Stocks Look Attractive on Soaring Oil: Top Trade Opportunities
The first quarter was quite eventful for Wall Street, but the war in Eastern Europe was clearly a standout. Geopolitical tensions rattled financial markets, weighed on equities, and sparked a commo...
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AUD Forecast Q2 2022: Commodities and Central Banks in Focus
The Australian Dollar made an 18-month low in January, eclipsing the November 2020 nadir of 0.6991 by a small margin.
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Long Ethereum (ETH/USD): Top Trade Opportunities
The outlook for Ethereum, both technically and fundamentally, is starting to look rosy and this should feed through into its price over the coming quarter.
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Getting Long the Semiconductor Space via SMH: Top Trade Opportunities
Whether we blame rising rates, supply chain issues, or the war in Ukraine, the semiconductor space has seen significant downside this year with SMH down 16% to end the first quarter of trading.
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Equities Forecast Q2 2022: Fed Policy Remains the Biggest Risk for Equity Markets
A volatile first quarter for US equities, which grappled with not only an inflation-fighting Federal Reserve but also increased geopolitical tensions.
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US Dollar Forecast Q2 2022: Dollar Rate Hikes, Conversion and Safety Appeal
It is difficult to tell what role the Dollar will play in the global financial system heading into the second quarter of 2022. On the one hand, traditional risk assets have held back the tide of a ...
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ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
The European Central Bank left all three official rates unchanged as expected. Traders are now focusing on the press conference for any clue...
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The Nikkei 225 has bounced at important long-term support and staged a modest turnaround. However, its down-channel endures and will need to...
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AUD prices remain hesitant ahead of the FOMC announcement later today. US PPI will also contribute to recent economic data. from DailyFX -...